Spartak Moscow vs CSKA Moscow: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Russian Premier League
Soccer Russian Premier League Spartak Moscow - CSKA Moscow
Result
1:2
26/04/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Premier League - Round 26
  • Referee: Levnikov K. (Rus)
Spartak Moscow - CSKA Moscow - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.290.62
Ball Possession
67%33%
Total shots
1110
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
62
Passes
90% (475/529)80% (206/259)
Yellow Cards
76
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.290.62
xG on target (xGOT)
1.011.06
Total shots
1110
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
42
Blocked Shots
44
Shots inside the Box
55
Shots outside the Box
65
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
2414
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1213
Passes
90% (475/529)80% (206/259)
Long passes
68% (32/47)51% (29/57)
Passes in final third
80% (154/193)63% (29/46)
Crosses
13% (4/32)45% (5/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.990.25
Throw-ins
1116
Fouls
1312
Tackles
75% (9/12)75% (12/16)
Duels won
3953
Clearances
1743
Interceptions
128
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
1.061.01
Goals prevented
-0.940.01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 4', Martins Pereira C. 🟨,
  • 16', Fayzullaev A. 🟨,
  • 41', Babic S. 🟨,
  • 44', 0 - 1, Guarirapa S. ⚽,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Denisov D. ↓, Zobnin R. ↑,
  • 46', Ugalde M. ↓, Garcia L. ↑,
  • 51', Pjanic M. 🟨,
  • 60', Gajic M. 🟨,
  • 62', Duarte A. 🟨,
  • 64', Prutsev D. ↓, Reabciuk O. ↑,
  • 65', Bongonda T. ↓, Medina J. ↑,
  • 72', Koita S. ↓, Glebov K. ↑,
  • 72', Fayzullaev A. ↓, Bistrovic K. ↑,
  • 80', Guarirapa S. ↓, Musaev T. ↑,
  • 80', Umyarov N. ↓, Ignatov M. ↑,
  • 87', 1 - 1, Barco E. (Pen),
  • 89', Barco E. 🟨,
  • 89', Pjanic M. ↓, Zhemaletdinov R. ↑,
  • 89', Maksimenko A. 🟨,
  • 89', Glebov K. 🟨,
  • 89', 1 - 2, Bistrovic K. ⚽, Zhemaletdinov R. (A),
  • 90+1', 🟨,
  • 90+2', 🟨,
  • 90+3', Babic S. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Moises 🟨,

Chances of winning


Spartak Moscow
52.5%		Draw
26.1%		CSKA Moscow
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.7% 27.1% 33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5% 29% 31%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Spartak Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Spartak Moscow's performance.
  • CSKA Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and CSKA Moscow might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Moscow than the current prediction. (-10%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Spartak Moscow that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for CSKA Moscow than the current prediction. (+9.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that CSKA Moscow could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    Spartak Moscow - CSKA Moscow Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.88 ↓
    (2.48)    		 3.78 ↑
    (3.63)    		 4.61 ↑
    (2.97)    		 1.4%
    (1.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    •
    What is the prediction for Spartak Moscow - CSKA Moscow?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Spartak M (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Spartak Moscow will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 3 and 4).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Spartak M won 2.
    • Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.
    • Spartak M could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Spartak M will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Spartak M: Solari P. (Yellow Cards)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Spartak M won 10 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 29:24 (average 1.5:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Spartak M won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 19:12 (average 1.9:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Spartak Moscow - CSKA Moscow were as follows:
    02.11.2024 CSKA Moscow - Spartak Moscow 0:2
    25.04.2024 CSKA Moscow - Spartak Moscow 0:0
    08.10.2023 Spartak Moscow - CSKA Moscow 2:2
    21.05.2023 Spartak Moscow - CSKA Moscow 2:1
    16.10.2022 CSKA Moscow - Spartak Moscow 2:2
    Latest results of Spartak Moscow
    19.04.2025 Akron Tolyatti - Spartak Moscow 2:3 ✺
    15.04.2025 Spartak Moscow - Ural 3:0
    11.04.2025 Spartak Moscow - Dynamo Makhachkala 1:2 ✺
    06.04.2025 Rostov - Spartak Moscow 0:3 ✺
    30.03.2025 Akhmat Grozny - Spartak Moscow 0:0 ✺
    Latest results of CSKA Moscow
    20.04.2025 CSKA Moscow - Krylya Sovetov 1:1 ✺
    16.04.2025 Dynamo Moscow - CSKA Moscow 0:0
    12.04.2025 Orenburg - CSKA Moscow 0:2 ✺
    06.04.2025 CSKA Moscow - Dynamo Moscow 3:1 ✺
    29.03.2025 CSKA Moscow - Dynamo Makhachkala 2:0 ✺
    Russian Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Baltika00000:000
    2Torpedo Moscow00000:000
    3FK Rostov00000:000
    4Zenit00000:000
    5Spartak Moscow00000:000
    6CSKA Moscow00000:000
    7Lokomotiv Moscow00000:000
    8Dynamo Moscow00000:000
    9Rubin Kazan00000:000
    10Krylya Sovetov00000:000
    11Akhmat Grozny00000:000
    12Krasnodar00000:000
    13Pari NN00000:000
    14Akron Togliatti00000:000
    15Dynamo Makhachkala00000:000
    16Sochi00000:000

          Premier League (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ FNL

    Which TV channels are streaming of Spartak Moscow - CSKA Moscow?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    asiaAsiaQ Football Asia
    belarusBelarusBelarus 5
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 10, Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
    russiaRussiaMatch! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
    serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1, Arena Premium 2
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