CSKA Moscow vs Rubin Kazan – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:1
09/08/2025 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 4
  • Referee: Moskalev V. (Rus)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
belarusBelarusBelarus 5
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 2
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 1
russiaRussiaMatch! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.721.55
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
1417
Shots on target
85
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
26
Passes
85% (410/484)81% (300/372)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.721.55
xG on target (xGOT)
2.840.70
Total shots
1417
Shots on target
85
Shots off target
510
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
814
Shots outside the Box
63
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
30
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
26
Touches in opposition box
1930
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
177
Passes
85% (410/484)81% (300/372)
Long passes
59% (36/61)42% (19/45)
Passes in final third
73% (66/91)67% (61/91)
Crosses
50% (5/10)32% (7/22)
Expected assists (xA)
1.281.37
Throw-ins
199
Fouls
818
Tackles
63% (12/19)68% (13/19)
Duels won
5245
Clearances
1612
Interceptions
88
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
0.702.84
Goals prevented
-0.30-2.16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (4 - 1)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Glebov K. , Krugovoy D. (A),
  • 17', Kislyak M. 🟨,
  • 29', 2 - 0, Krugovoy D. ,
  • 33', 3 - 0, Diveev I. , Oblyakov I. (A),
  • 40', 3 - 1, Daku M. ,
  • 44', 4 - 1, Glebov K. , Kislyak M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Jukic A. , Rozhkov I. ,
  • 46', Kabutov D. , Jocic B. ,
  • 46', Alerrandro , Musaev T. ,
  • 56', 5 - 1, Musaev T. , Moises (A),
  • 63', Matheus Alves , Verde L. ,
  • 64', Krugovoy D. , Koita S. ,
  • 74', Glebov K. , Bandikyan A. ,
  • 74', Shabanhaxhaj D. , Cumic N. ,
  • 74', Hodza V. , Zotov A. ,
  • 81', Moises , Abdulkadyrov D. ,
  • 82', Vujacic I. 🟨,
  • 85', Daku M. , Mukba E. ,

Chances of winning


CSKA Moscow
50.5%
Draw
26.8%
Rubin Kazan
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.3% 27.2% 23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2% 26.7% 23.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • CSKA Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • Rubin Kazan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for CSKA Moscow than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rubin Kazan than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • CSKA Moscow - Rubin Kazan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.9
    (2)
    3.59
    (3.62)
    4.25
    (4.2)
    4%
    (1.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for CSKA Moscow - Rubin Kazan?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. CSKA will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Rubin will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTS - yes (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): CSKA Moscow will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, CSKA won 1.
    • CSKA is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Rubin is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Recently, Rubin has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, CSKA is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in CSKA: Shumansky A. (Inactive) Villagra R. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Rubin: Kuznetsov D. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Rubin: Rozhkov I. (Injury)
    • We predict that CSKA will win today's game, with odds of 1.77.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, CSKA won 7 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 30:17. (average 1.5:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, CSKA won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 24:11. (average 2.4:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between CSKA Moscow - Rubin Kazan were as follows:
    30.11.2024 CSKA Moscow - Rubin Kazan 2:2
    26.11.2024 CSKA Moscow - Rubin Kazan 3:0
    06.11.2024 Rubin Kazan - CSKA Moscow 0:0
    21.09.2024 Rubin Kazan - CSKA Moscow 1:1
    06.05.2024 CSKA Moscow - Rubin Kazan 2:2
    Latest results of CSKA Moscow
    03.08.2025 Zenit - CSKA Moscow 1:1
    21.07.2025 Orenburg - CSKA Moscow 0:0
    12.07.2025 Krasnodar - CSKA Moscow 0:1
    Latest results of Rubin Kazan
    04.08.2025 Rubin Kazan - Sochi 2:1
    31.07.2025 Rubin Kazan - Orenburg 2:0
    27.07.2025 Rubin Kazan - Zenit 2:2
    12.07.2025 Rubin Kazan - Ural 1:0
    Russian Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Krasnodar24165349:173253
    2Zenit24157244:172752
    3Lokomotiv Moscow24129350:331745
    4Baltika241111234:132144
    5CSKA Moscow24133836:261042
    6Spartak Moscow24126638:32642
    7Dynamo Moscow2497843:35834
    8Rubin Kazan2497823:25-234
    9Akhmat Grozny2487929:31-231
    10FK Rostov24681019:26-726
    11Dynamo Makhachkala24581115:30-1523
    12Akron Togliatti24571230:43-1322
    13Krylya Sovetov24571225:44-1922
    14Pari NN24631520:39-1921
    15Orenburg24481224:36-1220
    16Sochi24331821:53-3212

          Premier League (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ FNL