Result
0:0
25/01/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Paulista - Round 5
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | HBO Max |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.36 | 0.66 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (287/376) | 73% (251/344) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.36 | 0.66 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.65 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (287/376) | 73% (251/344) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 29% (16/56) | 48% (30/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 49% (41/84) | 50% (37/74) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (2/14) | 24% (4/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.29 | 0.33 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 35 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (12/15) | 47% (14/30) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.65 | 0.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.65 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 34', Eduardo Sasha 🟨,
- 35', Lucas Barbosa 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Willian Arao ↓, Joao Schmidt ↑,
- 60', Miguelito ↓, Rollheiser B. ↑,
- 61', Escobar G. 🟨,
- 71', Vinicinho ↓, Mosquera H. ↑,
- 71', Gustavo Neves ↓, Sosa I. ↑,
- 75', Diaz L. ↓, Mateus Xavier ↑,
- 81', Sant'Anna A. ↓, Hurtado A. ↑,
- 81', Eric Ramires ↓, Matheus Fernandes ↑,
- 83', Gabriel 🟨,
- 84', Eduardo Sasha ↓, Fernando Santos ↑,
- 84', Ze Rafael ↓, Robinho Jr. ↑,
- 84', Gabriel Menino ↓, Rincon T. ↑,
- 87', Sosa I. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Santos
40.4% | Draw
29.7% | Red Bull Bragantino
29.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)Red Bull Bragantino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Santos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
Santos - Red Bull Bragantino Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.29 ↑
(2.03) |
3.14 ↓
(3.17) |
3.1 ↓
(3.56) |
7.8%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Santos - Red Bull Bragantino?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Santos will win (votes: 1 - 25%). RB Bragantino will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Santos (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santos won 2.
- Santos has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- RB Bragantino is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- RB Bragantino may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Santos will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Santos: Gabriel Bontempo
(Inactive)
Neymar
(Knee Injury)
Tiquinho Soares
(Inactive)
- There will not play in RB Bragantino: Pitta I.
(Inactive)
Rodriguez G.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Santos won 6 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 31:22. (average 1.6:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Santos won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:10. (average 1.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Santos won against Red Bull Bragantino?
Santos has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Red Bull Bragantino won against Santos?
Red Bull Bragantino has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Santos - Red Bull Bragantino were as follows:
28.09.2025
Red Bull Bragantino
-
Santos
2:2
27.04.2025
Santos
-
Red Bull Bragantino
1:2
02.03.2025
Santos
-
Red Bull Bragantino
2:0
27.03.2024
Santos
-
Red Bull Bragantino
3:1
03.03.2024
Red Bull Bragantino
-
Santos
1:0
Latest results of Red Bull Bragantino
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Novorizontino (1) | Santos (8) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Portuguesa (4) | Corinthians (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Palmeiras (2) | Capivariano (7) | 4 : 0 |
| 4 | Bragantino (3) | Sao Paulo (6) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Novorizontino (1) | Corinthians (5) | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Palmeiras (2) | Sao Paulo (6) | 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Novorizontino (1) | Palmeiras (2) | |
