Result
1:1
03/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 16
- Referee: Martinez S. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | ESPN Premium |
 China | K-Ball |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 0.73 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 34% | 66% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (176/246) | 83% (407/492) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 0.73 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.32 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (176/246) | 83% (407/492) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (25/58) | 44% (17/39) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (45/78) | 66% (101/152) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (6/21) | 11% (2/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 1.06 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (8/15) | 74% (17/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 65 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.32 | 0.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.32 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 33', Cecchini E. 🟨,
- 37', 1 - 0, Vombergar A. (Own goal),
- 41', Vallejos J. 🟨,
- 45+1', Insaurralde J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Romana J. ↓, Herrera D. ↑,
- 56', Suhr L. 🟨,
- 58', Paradela F. 🟨,
- 59', Paradela F. ↓, Carabajal G. ↑,
- 64', Roncaglia F. 🟨,
- 65', Cecchini E. ↓, Insaurralde M. ↑,
- 65', Suhr L. ↓, Burgoa V. ↑,
- 66', Gho J. ↓, Renteria J. ↑,
- 70', Diaz G. ↓, Andrada J. ↑,
- 70', Frias F. ↓, Molina A. ↑,
- 87', 1 - 1, Molina A. (Own goal),
- 89', Herrera D. 🟨,
- 90+3', Perruzzi F. ↓, Dominguez N. ↑,
- 90+4', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sarmiento de Junín
28.1% | Draw
34.9% | San Lorenzo
37% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sarmiento de Junín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)San Lorenzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarmiento de Junín than the current prediction. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Sarmiento de Junín - San Lorenzo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.36 ↓
(3.51) |
2.72 ↑
(2.69) |
2.57 ↑
(2.49) |
5.4%
(5.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Sarmiento de Junín - San Lorenzo?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Sarmiento will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). San Lorenzo will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 63.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.2% – 92%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1.25, 1st Half - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
- O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
- O/U 1.75, 1st Half - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
- O/U 2.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- San Lorenzo is Qualified for Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- San Lorenzo might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Sarmiento: Garcia M.
(Yellow Cards)
Magnin P.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in San Lorenzo: Altamirano F.
(Elbow Injury)
Cerutti E.
(Yellow Cards)
Dominguez N.
(Muscle Injury)
Irala E.
(Yellow Cards)
Pagano R.
(Inactive)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 6:14. (average 0.6:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sarmiento won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Sarmiento de Junín won against San Lorenzo?
Sarmiento de Junín has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has San Lorenzo won against Sarmiento de Junín?
San Lorenzo has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sarmiento de Junín - San Lorenzo were as follows:
03.06.2024
San Lorenzo
-
Sarmiento de Junín
0:1
16.03.2024
San Lorenzo
-
Sarmiento de Junín
1:0
30.10.2023
Sarmiento de Junín
-
San Lorenzo
0:0
20.02.2023
Sarmiento de Junín
-
San Lorenzo
0:1
17.10.2022
Sarmiento de Junín
-
San Lorenzo
2:4
Latest results of Sarmiento de Junín
Latest results of San Lorenzo
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
ClausuraGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Union de Santa Fe | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 15:8 | 7 | 17 |
| 2 | Defensa y Justicia | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11:9 | 2 | 15 |
| 3 | Barracas Central | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 15 |
| 4 | Tigre | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 9:7 | 2 | 15 |
| 5 | Estudiantes L.P | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 10:10 | 0 | 15 |
| 6 | Boca Juniors | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 13:8 | 5 | 14 |
| 7 | Argentinos Jrs | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12:8 | 4 | 14 |
| 8 | Central Cordoba | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 12:9 | 3 | 14 |
| 9 | Banfield | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 9:13 | -4 | 14 |
| 10 | Belgrano | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9:7 | 2 | 12 |
| 11 | Huracan | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 12 |
| 12 | Racing Club | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10:12 | -2 | 10 |
| 13 | Ind. Rivadavia | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 9 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 9 |
| 15 | Aldosivi | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 1:14 | -13 | 3 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Dep. Riestra | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 12:5 | 7 | 19 |
| 2 | River Plate | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 16:7 | 9 | 18 |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 11:4 | 7 | 18 |
| 4 | San Lorenzo | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 16 |
| 5 | Lanus | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 9:8 | 1 | 16 |
| 6 | Rosario Central | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 15 |
| 7 | Atl. Tucuman | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:8 | 2 | 12 |
| 8 | Sarmiento Junin | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 12 |
| 9 | Platense | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10:13 | -3 | 10 |
| 10 | San Martin S.J | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 10 |
| 11 | Talleres Cordoba | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 10 |
| 12 | Gimnasia L.P | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 6:12 | -6 | 10 |
| 13 | Instituto | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 5:11 | -6 | 10 |
| 14 | Godoy Cruz | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 8:13 | -5 | 8 |
| 15 | Independiente | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
