San Lorenzo vs Sarmiento de Junín – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
15/11/2025 at 17:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 16
  • Referee: Lamolina N. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaHBO Max, TNT Sports
brazilBrazilDisney+, ESPN 2
chinaChinaK-Ball
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
usaUsaFanatiz
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.150.20
Ball Possession
37%63%
Total shots
105
Shots on target
22
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
18
Passes
55% (107/196)76% (246/325)
Yellow Cards
56
Expected Goals (xG)
1.150.20
xG on target (xGOT)
0.890.83
Total shots
105
Shots on target
22
Shots off target
52
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
31
Shots outside the Box
74
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
18
Touches in opposition box
1016
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
2217
Passes
55% (107/196)76% (246/325)
Long passes
27% (18/66)41% (26/63)
Passes in final third
39% (27/70)60% (48/80)
Crosses
29% (2/7)17% (4/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.370.60
Throw-ins
1718
Fouls
1722
Tackles
57% (13/23)64% (7/11)
Duels won
7254
Clearances
3519
Interceptions
99
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
0.830.89
Goals prevented
-0.17-0.11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Tripichio N. ,
  • 23', Garcia M. 🟨,
  • 28', Vigo A. 🟨,
  • 32', Gomez J. 🟨,
  • 34', Herrera D. , Dominguez N. ,
  • 42', Godoy J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Gomez J. , Villalba C. ,
  • 46', Godoy J. , Arismendi Y. ,
  • 46', Frias F. , Pratto L. ,
  • 61', Suhr L. , Ardaiz J. ,
  • 61', Ladstatter A. , Reali M. ,
  • 61', Tripichio N. , Rattalino J. ,
  • 65', Cuello A. 🟨,
  • 71', Cerutti E. 🟨,
  • 74', Orihuela R. 🟨,
  • 75', Cerutti E. , Salinardi Branco ,
  • 75', Gulli F. , Cecchini E. ,
  • 80', Reali M. 🟨,
  • 87', Renteria J. , Marquez B. ,
  • 90', Villalba C. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Hernandez G. 🟨,
  • 90+3', 1 - 1, Villalba C. ,
  • 90+5', Salinardi Branco 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


San Lorenzo
55.4%
Draw
29.1%
Sarmiento de Junín
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.4% 31.6% 17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2% 30.5% 17.3%

San Lorenzo - Sarmiento de Junín Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.72
(1.85)
3.24
(2.95)
5.92
(5.2)
5.8%
(7.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for San Lorenzo - Sarmiento de Junín?
  • Users Predictions: San Lorenzo will win (17 of 18 users predict this - 94.44%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 83.85%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): San Lorenzo will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • San Lorenzo is Qualified for Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Lorenzo won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • San Lorenzo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, San Lorenzo is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in San Lorenzo: Arias N. (Knee Injury) Cordoba A. (Inactive) Insaurralde M. (Elbow Injury) Vombergar A. (Illness)
    • There will not play in Sarmiento: Contrera J. (Yellow Cards) Magnin P. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in San Lorenzo: Romana J. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Sarmiento: Gonzalez G. (Knee Injury) Vigo A. (Injury)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, San Lorenzo won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:8. (average 1.3:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, San Lorenzo won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:3. (average 1.3:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between San Lorenzo - Sarmiento de Junín were as follows:
    03.05.2025 Sarmiento de Junín - San Lorenzo 1:1
    03.06.2024 San Lorenzo - Sarmiento de Junín 0:1
    16.03.2024 San Lorenzo - Sarmiento de Junín 1:0
    30.10.2023 Sarmiento de Junín - San Lorenzo 0:0
    20.02.2023 Sarmiento de Junín - San Lorenzo 0:1
    Latest results of San Lorenzo
    Latest results of Sarmiento de Junín
    Draw
    Clausura - Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Boca JuniorsTalleres Cordoba2 : 0
    2Velez SarsfieldArgentinos Jrs0 : 2
    3Racing ClubRiver Plate3 : 2
    4LanusTigre0 : 1
    5Central CordobaSan Lorenzo2 : 1
    6Rosario CentralEstudiantes L.P.0 : 1
    7Dep. RiestraBarracas Central0 : 1
    8Union de Santa FeGimnasia L.P.1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Boca JuniorsArgentinos Jrs
    2Racing ClubTigre
    3Central CordobaEstudiantes L.P.0 : 1
    4Barracas CentralGimnasia L.P.

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2Estudiantes L.P.TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2