Porto B vs Penafiel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
12/12/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal 2 - Round 14
  • Referee: Nogueira M. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalPorto Canal

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
710
Shots on target
51
Corner Kicks
66
Yellow Cards
42
Total shots
710
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
29
Corner Kicks
66
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1716
Throw-ins
2426
Fouls
1316

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 40', 1 - 0, Karamoh Y. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Pedro Lima , Rodrigues D. ,
  • 47', Melnichenko T. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 56', Melnichenko T. 🟨,
  • 58', Karamoh Y. , Andrade T. ,
  • 67', Sery J. , Alcaina R. ,
  • 76', Negrao G. , Xico ,
  • 76', Alves R. , Ze Leite ,
  • 81', Bras G. 🟨,
  • 84', Teixeira J. , Oliveira A. ,
  • 84', Melnichenko T. , Vonic L. ,
  • 87', Andrade T. 🟨,
  • 87', lano Imbene , Pereira B. ,
  • 88', Santos A. , Suker H. ,
  • 89', Moreira C. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Oliveira A. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Kaue Rodrigues , Gomes L. ,
  • 90+4', Ze Leite 🟨,

Chances of winning


Porto B
41.7%
Draw
29.3%
Penafiel
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.5% 26.6% 30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1% 26.2% 29.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Porto B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • Penafiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porto B than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penafiel than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • Porto B - Penafiel Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.22
    (2.15)
    3.18
    (3.52)
    3.23
    (3.12)
    7.4%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Porto B - Penafiel?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Porto B will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Penafiel will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Porto B: 39.2%89.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Porto B (votes: 1 - 50%). Penafiel (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Porto B won 3.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Porto B will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Porto B won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 32:23. (average 1.6:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Porto B won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:10. (average 2.2:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Porto B - Penafiel were as follows:
    16.02.2025 Porto B - Penafiel 3:2
    15.09.2024 Penafiel - Porto B 1:1
    30.03.2024 Porto B - Penafiel 3:1
    11.11.2023 Penafiel - Porto B 3:2
    03.04.2023 Penafiel - Porto B 1:2
    Latest results of Porto B
    06.12.2025 Leixões - Porto B 2:4
    30.11.2025 Porto B - Lusitânia 1:2
    23.11.2025 Porto B - Portimonense 1:0
    08.11.2025 Chaves - Porto B 0:1
    29.10.2025 Oliveirense - Porto B 1:0
    Latest results of Penafiel
    05.12.2025 Penafiel - Leiria 1:0
    23.11.2025 Marítimo - Penafiel 2:1
    02.11.2025 Vizela - Penafiel 1:3
    Portuguese Liga 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Maritimo24145538:191947
    2Academico Viseu24135644:261844
    3Sporting CP B241221037:231438
    4FC Porto B24114931:31037
    5Torreense241131028:27136
    6Leiria2398634:31335
    7Vizela2498730:28235
    8Lusitania FC2497833:37-434
    9Feirense2488828:27132
    10Benfica B24710733:31231
    11Leixoes24941127:40-1331
    12Chaves24861027:24330
    13Felgueiras2478924:30-629
    14Penafiel24771021:23-228
    15SC Farense24761122:31-927
    16Oliveirense24681026:33-726
    17Pacos Ferreira2359920:32-1224
    18Portimonense24661225:35-1024

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