Result
0:2
23/04/2023 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 37
- Referee: Moreno A. (Esp)
Chances of winning
Lugo
27% | Draw
30.4% | Málaga
42.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lugo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lugo's form might have worsened.Málaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Málaga's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (+10.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lugo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (-12.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Málaga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Lugo - Málaga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.49 ↑
(2.63) |
3.1 ↑
(2.8) |
2.2 ↓
(2.75) |
6.4%
(10.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Lugo - Málaga?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Málaga will win (votes: 9 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Málaga: 35.2% – 84.8%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 19 in the zone Relegation).
- Lugo has the most likely position - 22 (68.72%), project points - 33, currently - 27, a very good chance of relegated (>99%), not chance of prom. playoffs.
- Málaga has the most likely position - 19 (53.76%), project points - 45, currently - 36, a good chance of relegated (77%), not chance of prom. playoffs.
- This event has small quality 25, small importance 27, small match rating 26. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Lugo won 1.
- Lugo is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Málaga is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Málaga could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Málaga will have a mini benefit in this match.
- Last 9 head-to-head matches Lugo won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 8-12.
- Including matches at home between the teams Lugo won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-3.
How many head-to-head matches has Lugo won against Málaga?
Lugo has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Málaga won against Lugo?
Málaga has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lugo - Málaga were as follows:
16.10.2022
Málaga
-
Lugo
3:2
Spanish LaLiga2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Santander | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 56:36 | 20 | 53 |
| 2 | Castellon | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 46:29 | 17 | 49 |
| 3 | Almeria | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 53:40 | 13 | 49 |
| 4 | Dep. La Coruna | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 44:31 | 13 | 49 |
| 5 | Malaga | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 41:31 | 10 | 47 |
| 6 | Las Palmas | 28 | 11 | 12 | 5 | 34:22 | 12 | 45 |
| 7 | Ceuta | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 36:39 | -3 | 44 |
| 8 | Burgos CF | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 30:26 | 4 | 43 |
| 9 | Gijon | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 38:36 | 2 | 42 |
| 10 | Cordoba | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 38:37 | 1 | 41 |
| 11 | Eibar | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 31:30 | 1 | 38 |
| 12 | Andorra | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 35:40 | -5 | 35 |
| 13 | Albacete | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 33:39 | -6 | 35 |
| 14 | Cadiz CF | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 29:35 | -6 | 35 |
| 15 | Leganes | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 29:28 | 1 | 34 |
| 16 | Real Sociedad B | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 38:39 | -1 | 34 |
| 17 | Granada CF | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 32:33 | -1 | 32 |
| 18 | Valladolid | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 29:38 | -9 | 32 |
| 19 | Huesca | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 26:37 | -11 | 30 |
| 20 | Cultural Leonesa | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 27:44 | -17 | 27 |
| 21 | Mirandes | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 28:45 | -17 | 24 |
| 22 | Zaragoza | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 23:41 | -18 | 24 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga
Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation
