Sporting Lisbon vs Casa Pia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Liga Portugal
Result
3:0
16/01/2026 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal - Round 18
  • Referee: Silva D. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 3
austriaAustriaDAZN
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaRing, Voyo
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 2
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
denmarkDenmarkSport Live
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 8
hungaryHungarySport 2
israelIsraelSport 3
italyItalyDAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kazakhstanKazakhstanSport+
lithuaniaLithuaniaSport 1
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayVG+
polandPolandEleven Sports 4
portugalPortugalSport TV1
russiaRussiaTV Start
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 3
slovakiaSlovakiaArena sport 1
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 2
south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Play Latinoamerica
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.290.20
Ball possession
61%39%
Total shots
166
Shots on target
41
Big chances
40
Corner kicks
46
Passes
88% (431/489)79% (246/310)
Yellow cards
02
Red cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
2.290.20
xG on target (xGOT)
1.110.06
Total shots
166
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
103
Blocked shots
22
Shots inside the box
82
Shots outside the box
84
Hit the woodwork
10
Big chances
40
Corner kicks
46
Touches in opposition box
236
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
13
Free kicks
1212
Passes
88% (431/489)79% (246/310)
Long passes
55% (12/22)45% (24/53)
Passes in final third
76% (125/164)67% (60/90)
Crosses
21% (3/14)13% (2/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.490.18
Throw ins
1617
Fouls
1212
Tackles
64% (9/14)50% (9/18)
Duels won
4647
Clearances
1928
Interceptions
412
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
11
xGOT faced
0.061.11
Goals prevented
0.06-1.89

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 12', Fonte J. 🟨,
  • 37', Fonte J. ↓, Kaly ↑,
  • 38', 1 - 0, Catamo G. ⚽, Trincao (A),
  • 43', 2 - 0, Catamo G. ⚽, Inacio G. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Nsona K. ↓, Morais T. ↑,
  • 66', Vagiannidis G. ↓, Mangas R. ↑,
  • 66', Luis Guilherme ↓, Braganca D. ↑,
  • 69', Livolant J. ↓, Severina X. ↑,
  • 69', Cassiano ↓, Mendes C. ↑,
  • 78', 3 - 0, Braganca D. ⚽, Suarez L. (A),
  • 83', Catamo G. ↓, Alisson Santos ↑,
  • 83', Simoes J. ↓, Kochorashvili G. ↑,
  • 83', Matheus Reis ↓, Debast Z. ↑,
  • 85', Nhaga R. ↓, Brito R. ↑,
  • 86', Sousa D. 🟨,
  • 90', Mendes C. 🟥,

Chances of winning


Sporting Lisbon
80.5%		Draw
12.6%		Casa Pia
6.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
85% 10.8% 4.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sporting Lisbon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • Casa Pia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
    •

    Sporting Lisbon - Casa Pia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.18 ↑
    (1.1)    		 7.7 ↓
    (8.65)    		 13.74 ↓
    (22.5)    		 5.3%
    (6.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Sporting Lisbon - Casa Pia?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Sporting will win (votes: 18 - 90%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Sporting: 76.9% – 100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 7.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -2 - Sporting (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sporting Lisbon will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Sporting (votes: 8 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting won 5.
    • Sporting is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Casa Pia has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Casa Pia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Sporting is the undeniable favorite.
    • There will not play in Sporting: Araujo M. (Yellow Cards) Blopa S. (Inactive) Debast Z. (Knee Injury) Goncalves P. (Muscle Injury) Hjulmand M. (Yellow Cards) Inacio G. (Red Card) Quenda G. (Foot Injury) Santos N. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Casa Pia: Geraldes A. (Yellow Cards) Kaique Rocha (Injury) Kiki (Knee Injury) Tchamba D. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Sporting: Ioannidis F. (Injury) Quaresma E. (Injury)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Sporting won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 26:7. (average 3.3:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sporting won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:1. (average 4.3:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sporting Lisbon - Casa Pia were as follows:
    08.08.2025 Casa Pia - Sporting Lisbon 0:2
    09.03.2025 Casa Pia - Sporting Lisbon 1:3
    05.10.2024 Sporting Lisbon - Casa Pia 2:0
    29.01.2024 Sporting Lisbon - Casa Pia 8:0
    18.08.2023 Casa Pia - Sporting Lisbon 1:2
    Latest results of Sporting Lisbon
    06.01.2026 Sporting Lisbon - Vitoria Guimarães 1:2 ✺
    02.01.2026 Gil Vicente - Sporting Lisbon 1:1 ✺
    28.12.2025 Sporting Lisbon - Rio Ave 4:0 ✺
    23.12.2025 Vitoria Guimarães - Sporting Lisbon 1:4 ✺
    18.12.2025 Santa Clara - Sporting Lisbon 2:3 ✺
    Latest results of Casa Pia
    04.01.2026 Rio Ave - Casa Pia 3:1 ✺
    28.12.2025 Casa Pia - Vitoria Guimarães 0:0 ✺
    21.12.2025 Tondela - Casa Pia 1:2 ✺
    17.12.2025 Casa Pia - Torreense 1:2 ✺
    13.12.2025 Casa Pia - Gil Vicente 1:1 ✺
    Liga Portugal Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Porto24212147:83965
    2Sporting CP24194162:125061
    3Benfica24177051:143758
    4Braga24136550:232745
    5Gil Vicente24117635:231240
    6Famalicao24106829:21836
    7Moreirense241041030:34-434
    8Estoril2496946:42433
    9Vitoria Guimaraes24951028:35-732
    10Alverca24761124:39-1527
    11Arouca24751232:52-2026
    12Estrela24591026:41-1524
    13Casa Pia24581126:44-1823
    14Nacional24561328:36-821
    15Rio Ave24491123:44-2121
    16Santa Clara24471320:31-1119
    17Tondela24471319:38-1919
    18AFS24161718:57-399

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          Liga Portugal (Relegation)
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