Result
2:0
08/11/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Apertura - Round 17
- Referee: Santander Aguirre L. E. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, Canal 5, FOX One, TUDN, VIX+, ViX Premium |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Usa | CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+, TUDN App, TUDN, Univision |
 World | VIX App |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 0.51 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (269/329) | 87% (383/438) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 0.51 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 0.44 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (269/329) | 87% (383/438) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (23/47) | 58% (30/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (76/105) | 76% (84/111) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (2/9) | 19% (3/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 0.39 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 38% (5/13) | 86% (12/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.44 | 1.56 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.44 | -0.44 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 37', Pereira F. 🟨,
- 37', Saint-Maximin A. 🟨,
- 40', 1 - 0, Paulinho ⚽, Castro N. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Gutierrez Torres A. H. ↓, Aguirre R. ↑,
- 46', Rodriguez B. ↓, Zendejas A. ↑,
- 56', 2 - 0, Helinho (Pen),
- 63', Helinho ↓, Dominguez Chonteco J. P. ↑,
- 63', Castro N. ↓, Angulo J. ↑,
- 81', del Villar E. ↓, Briseno A. ↑,
- 81', Reyes I. ↓, Lichnovsky I. ↑,
- 87', Caceres S. ↓, dos Santos J. ↑,
- 87', Fidalgo A. ↓, Salas P. ↑,
- 90', Ruiz M. ↓, Herrera H. ↑,
- 90', Paulinho ↓, Morales R. ↑,
- 90+3', dos Santos J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Toluca
42.3% | Draw
26% | Club América
31.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toluca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)The chances for Club América have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toluca than the current prediction. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club América than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Toluca - Club América Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.24 ↑
(2.19) |
3.64 ↑
(3.63) |
2.98 ↑
(2.94) |
5.8%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Toluca - Club América?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - América (2.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. América (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Toluca is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
- América is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toluca won 2.
- At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
- Toluca may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Toluca is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Toluca: Luan
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in América: Espinoza D.
(Knee Injury)
Violante I.
(Muscle Injury)
Zuniga J.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in América: Martin H.
(Knee Injury)
Zendejas A.
(Thigh Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toluca won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 23:30. (average 1.2:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Toluca won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:9. (average 1.9:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Toluca won against Club América?
Toluca has won 4 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Club América won against Toluca?
Club América has won 5 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Toluca - Club América were as follows:
20.07.2025
Club América
-
Toluca
1:3
25.05.2025
Toluca
-
Club América
2:0
22.05.2025
Club América
-
Toluca
0:0
01.03.2025
Club América
-
Toluca
3:0
30.11.2024
Toluca
-
Club América
0:2
Latest results of Club América
Mexican Liga MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cruz Azul | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 17:9 | 8 | 22 |
| 2 | Toluca | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 14:4 | 10 | 21 |
| 3 | Guadalajara Chivas | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 18 |
| 4 | Pachuca | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 17 |
| 5 | UNAM Pumas | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 17:10 | 7 | 16 |
| 6 | Tigres UANL | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15:9 | 6 | 13 |
| 7 | Atlas | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 13 |
| 8 | Club America | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:7 | 1 | 11 |
| 9 | Atl. San Luis | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 16:15 | 1 | 10 |
| 10 | Monterrey | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10:9 | 1 | 10 |
| 11 | Club Leon | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 10 |
| 12 | Club Tijuana | 8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 9 |
| 13 | Necaxa | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 11:15 | -4 | 9 |
| 14 | Puebla | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 8 |
| 15 | Juarez | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11:13 | -2 | 7 |
| 16 | Mazatlan FC | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9:18 | -9 | 7 |
| 17 | Queretaro | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 6 |
| 18 | Santos Laguna | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10:25 | -15 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
