Accrington Stanley vs Carlisle United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

21/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

The Wham Stadium (Accrington).

League Two - Round 44
Referee: Coy M. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.94	0.68
Ball Possession
45%	55%
Total shots
5	10
Shots on target
1	4
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
2	2
Passes
53% (154/292)	63% (224/358)
Yellow Cards
1	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.94	0.68
xG on target (xGOT)
0.99	1.03
Total shots
5	10
Shots on target
1	4
Shots off target
2	5
Blocked Shots
2	1
Shots inside the Box
2	7
Shots outside the Box
3	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
2	2
Touches in opposition box
12	17
Offsides
3	3
Free Kicks
9	8
Passes
53% (154/292)	63% (224/358)
Long passes
24% (20/84)	22% (22/98)
Passes in final third
39% (46/119)	41% (43/104)
Crosses
15% (2/13)	29% (5/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.56	0.49
Fouls
8	9
Tackles
58% (7/12)	70% (7/10)
Duels won
73	63
Clearances Total
53	63
Interceptions
9	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	0
xGOT faced
1.03	0.99
Goals prevented
-0.07	-0.01

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
62', Woods J. ↓, O'Brien Whitmarsh J. ↑,
69', 1 - 0, Aljofree S. ⚽, Woods B. (A),
70', Fusire S. ↓, Vela J. ↑,
70', Wearne S. ↓, Embleton E. ↑,
76', Whalley S. ↓, Mooney K. ↑,
77', Hugill J. ↓, Bevan J. ↑,
86', Walton T. ↓, Caton C. ↑,
87', Ellis J. ↓, Barclay B. ↑,
90+2', 1 - 1, Whelan C. ⚽, Kelly G. (A),
90+3', Love D. 🟨,
90+4', Hayden A. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Accrington Stanley
41.1%

Draw
27.7%

Carlisle United
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

28.5%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

28.3%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Accrington Stanley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Carlisle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Accrington Stanley - Carlisle United Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (2.41)	3.4 ↑ (3.29)	3.01 ↑ (2.87)	6.2% (6.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Accrington Stanley - Carlisle United?

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Accrington will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Carlisle will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Accrington: 9.6% – 70.4%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Carlisle (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Carlisle (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Carlisle (2.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Carlisle (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 21 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Accrington won 2.
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
There will not play in Accrington: Rich-Baghuelou J. (Injury)
There will not play in Carlisle: Davies A. (Injury) Dennis M. (Red Card) Dummett P. (Hamstring Injury) Jones J. (Inactive) McGeouch D. (Inactive) Williams J. (Injury) Wyke Ch. (Broken ankle)
There are questionable in Accrington: Conneely S. (Injury)
Last 11 head-to-head matches Accrington won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 13:15 (average 1.2:1.4).
Including matches at home between the teams Accrington won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10:6 (average 1.7:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Accrington Stanley won against Carlisle United?

Accrington Stanley has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Carlisle United won against Accrington Stanley?

Carlisle United has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Accrington Stanley - Carlisle United were as follows:

29.12.2024 Carlisle United - Accrington Stanley 2:1

05.09.2023 Accrington Stanley - Carlisle United 1:0

Latest results of Accrington Stanley

18.04.2025 Salford City - Accrington Stanley 1:2 ✺

12.04.2025 Accrington Stanley - Tranmere Rovers 3:3 ✺

05.04.2025 Bromley - Accrington Stanley 4:0 ✺

01.04.2025 Accrington Stanley - Fleetwood Town 1:4 ✺

29.03.2025 Accrington Stanley - Bradford City 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Carlisle United

18.04.2025 Carlisle United - Port Vale 3:2 ✺

12.04.2025 Morecambe - Carlisle United 0:2 ✺

05.04.2025 Carlisle United - Newport County 3:2 ✺

01.04.2025 Chesterfield - Carlisle United 2:1 ✺

29.03.2025 Doncaster Rovers - Carlisle United 3:0 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bromley	39	22	13	4	62:36	26	79
2	MK Dons	39	21	11	7	76:40	36	74
3	Cambridge Utd	38	20	12	6	56:28	28	72
4	Notts Co	38	21	7	10	65:39	26	70
5	Swindon	39	21	6	12	63:45	18	69
6	Salford	39	21	4	14	54:48	6	67
7	Grimsby	38	17	11	10	56:40	16	62
8	Chesterfield	39	16	14	9	61:52	9	62
9	Crewe	39	17	9	13	58:47	11	60
10	Walsall	39	17	9	13	48:41	7	60
11	Oldham	37	15	13	9	44:31	13	58
12	Barnet	39	15	12	12	49:43	6	57
13	Fleetwood	39	14	12	13	48:46	2	54
14	Colchester	38	14	11	13	50:41	9	53
15	Accrington	38	13	9	16	38:42	-4	48
16	Gillingham	38	11	12	15	44:56	-12	45
17	Bristol Rovers	39	13	4	22	40:60	-20	43
18	Cheltenham	38	11	9	18	43:65	-22	42
19	Shrewsbury	39	11	8	20	37:63	-26	41
20	Tranmere	39	9	9	21	48:69	-21	36
21	Crawley	39	6	13	20	36:60	-24	31
22	Newport	39	8	7	24	39:67	-28	31
23	Harrogate	39	7	9	23	29:58	-29	30
24	Barrow	38	7	8	23	36:63	-27	29

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League