Result
1:1
21/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 44
- Referee: Coy M. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 0.68 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 53% (154/292) | 63% (224/358) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 0.68 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 1.03 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 53% (154/292) | 63% (224/358) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 24% (20/84) | 22% (22/98) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 39% (46/119) | 41% (43/104) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (2/13) | 29% (5/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 0.49 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (7/12) | 70% (7/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 73 | 63 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 53 | 63 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.03 | 0.99 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.07 | -0.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 62', Woods J. ↓, O'Brien Whitmarsh J. ↑,
- 69', 1 - 0, Aljofree S. ⚽, Woods B. (A),
- 70', Fusire S. ↓, Vela J. ↑,
- 70', Wearne S. ↓, Embleton E. ↑,
- 76', Whalley S. ↓, Mooney K. ↑,
- 77', Hugill J. ↓, Bevan J. ↑,
- 86', Walton T. ↓, Caton C. ↑,
- 87', Ellis J. ↓, Barclay B. ↑,
- 90+2', 1 - 1, Whelan C. ⚽, Kelly G. (A),
- 90+3', Love D. 🟨,
- 90+4', Hayden A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Accrington Stanley
41.1% | Draw
27.7% | Carlisle United
31.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Accrington Stanley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)Carlisle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Accrington Stanley - Carlisle United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.3 ↓
(2.41) |
3.4 ↑
(3.29) |
3.01 ↑
(2.87) |
6.2%
(6.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Accrington Stanley - Carlisle United?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Accrington will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Carlisle will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Accrington: 9.6% – 70.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Carlisle (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 21 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Accrington won 2.
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
- There will not play in Accrington: Rich-Baghuelou J.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Carlisle: Davies A.
(Injury)
Dennis M.
(Red Card)
Dummett P.
(Hamstring Injury)
Jones J.
(Inactive)
McGeouch D.
(Inactive)
Williams J.
(Injury)
Wyke Ch.
(Broken ankle)
- There are questionable in Accrington: Conneely S.
(Injury)
- Last 11 head-to-head matches Accrington won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 13:15 (average 1.2:1.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams Accrington won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10:6 (average 1.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Accrington Stanley won against Carlisle United?
Accrington Stanley has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Carlisle United won against Accrington Stanley?
Carlisle United has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Accrington Stanley - Carlisle United were as follows:
29.12.2024
Carlisle United
-
Accrington Stanley
2:1
05.09.2023
Accrington Stanley
-
Carlisle United
1:0
Latest results of Accrington Stanley
Latest results of Carlisle United
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Walsall | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 26 |
| 2 | Swindon | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 24:19 | 5 | 25 |
| 3 | MK Dons | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 26:13 | 13 | 24 |
| 4 | Grimsby | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 25:15 | 10 | 24 |
| 5 | Gillingham | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 18:12 | 6 | 22 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 23:20 | 3 | 22 |
| 7 | Salford | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 18:17 | 1 | 22 |
| 8 | Notts Co | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 23:15 | 8 | 21 |
| 9 | Cambridge Utd | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16:13 | 3 | 21 |
| 10 | Barnet | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 16:13 | 3 | 20 |
| 11 | Crewe | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 17:16 | 1 | 19 |
| 12 | Fleetwood | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19:19 | 0 | 19 |
| 13 | Bromley | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 19:17 | 2 | 18 |
| 14 | Colchester | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 21:18 | 3 | 17 |
| 15 | Barrow | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 11:13 | -2 | 17 |
| 16 | Bristol Rovers | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14:21 | -7 | 17 |
| 17 | Oldham | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 10:10 | 0 | 15 |
| 18 | Tranmere | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 20:18 | 2 | 14 |
| 19 | Harrogate | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 15:20 | -5 | 14 |
| 20 | Accrington | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11:14 | -3 | 12 |
| 21 | Shrewsbury | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 10:20 | -10 | 12 |
| 22 | Cheltenham | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9:25 | -16 | 11 |
| 23 | Crawley | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10:22 | -12 | 9 |
| 24 | Newport | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 11:23 | -12 | 8 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
