Accrington Stanley vs Cheltenham Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
31/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 30
  • Referee: Parkinson S. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.541.03
Ball possession
43%57%
Total shots
1613
Shots on target
84
Big chances
01
Corner kicks
108
Passes
64% (190/296)70% (274/390)
Yellow cards
12
Expected goals (xG)
0.541.03
xG on target (xGOT)
1.471.69
Total shots
1613
Shots on target
84
Shots off target
46
Blocked shots
43
Shots inside the box
610
Shots outside the box
103
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
10
Big chances
01
Corner kicks
108
Touches in opposition box
1620
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free kicks
107
Passes
64% (190/296)70% (274/390)
Long passes
25% (16/63)33% (26/80)
Passes in final third
63% (71/112)54% (49/91)
Crosses
11% (2/19)32% (6/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.001.02
Throw ins
2240
Fouls
710
Tackles
82% (9/11)45% (5/11)
Duels won
5554
Clearances
3125
Interceptions
66
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
35
xGOT faced
1.691.47
Goals prevented
0.69-1.53

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Whalley S. ,
  • 45+1', Cundy R. 🟨,
  • 45+2', 2 - 0, Love D. , Whalley S. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 55', Henderson A. 🟨,
  • 59', 3 - 0, Matthews D. , Whalley S. (A),
  • 60', Deeming C. , Davison J. ,
  • 66', O'Brien C. , Sass F. ,
  • 66', Henderson A. , Grant C. ,
  • 69', Nurse G. , Martin J. ,
  • 69', Wilson J. , Sherring S. ,
  • 73', Woods J. , Abimbola D. ,
  • 73', Conneely S. , Butterfield L. ,
  • 73', 3 - 1, Thomas J. ,
  • 77', Davison J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Accrington Stanley
47.9%
Draw
28.2%
Cheltenham Town
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.9% 28.5% 25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7% 27.4% 24.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Accrington Stanley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • Cheltenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • Accrington Stanley - Cheltenham Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.96
    (2)
    3.3
    (3.23)
    3.93
    (3.58)
    6.8%
    (8.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Accrington Stanley - Cheltenham Town?
  • Users Predictions: Accrington Stanley will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 14 and 18).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Accrington won 1.
    • Accrington is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Cheltenham's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Accrington may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Accrington is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Accrington: Hall C. (Inactive) Mooney K. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Cheltenham: Broom R. (Injury) King T. (Inactive) Sherring S. (Tendon Injury)
    • There are questionable in Accrington: Bauress J. (Inactive) Walton T. (Injury)
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Accrington won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 22:21. (average 1.2:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Accrington won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:11. (average 1.4:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Accrington Stanley - Cheltenham Town were as follows:
    06.09.2025 Cheltenham Town - Accrington Stanley 1:0
    28.01.2025 Accrington Stanley - Cheltenham Town 0:0
    01.10.2024 Cheltenham Town - Accrington Stanley 2:1
    11.02.2023 Cheltenham Town - Accrington Stanley 0:0
    17.09.2022 Accrington Stanley - Cheltenham Town 1:0
    Latest results of Accrington Stanley
    Latest results of Cheltenham Town
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley392213462:362679
    2MK Dons392111776:403674
    3Cambridge Utd382012656:282872
    4Notts Co382171065:392670
    5Swindon392161263:451869
    6Salford392141454:48667
    7Grimsby3817111056:401662
    8Chesterfield391614961:52962
    9Crewe391791358:471160
    10Walsall391791348:41760
    11Oldham371513944:311358
    12Barnet3915121249:43657
    13Fleetwood3914121348:46254
    14Colchester3814111350:41953
    15Accrington381391638:42-448
    16Gillingham3811121544:56-1245
    17Bristol Rovers391342240:60-2043
    18Cheltenham381191843:65-2242
    19Shrewsbury391182037:63-2641
    20Tranmere39992148:69-2136
    21Crawley396132036:60-2431
    22Newport39872439:67-2831
    23Harrogate39792329:58-2930
    24Barrow38782336:63-2729

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League