Cheltenham Town vs Accrington Stanley – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Two Cheltenham Town - Accrington Stanley
Result
1:0
06/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 7
  • Referee: Byrne A. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.940.37
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
138
Shots on target
31
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
55
Passes
65% (176/271)67% (205/307)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
0.940.37
xG on target (xGOT)
0.980.01
Total shots
138
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
32
Blocked Shots
75
Shots inside the Box
84
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
2915
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1712
Passes
65% (176/271)67% (205/307)
Long passes
35% (27/78)39% (32/83)
Passes in final third
60% (78/129)60% (76/127)
Crosses
17% (4/24)28% (8/29)
Expected assists (xA)
0.390.97
Throw-ins
2621
Fouls
1317
Tackles
68% (13/19)80% (12/15)
Duels won
7470
Clearances
5350
Interceptions
69
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.010.98
Goals prevented
0.01-0.02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Hutchinson I. ,
  • 20', Matthews D. 🟨,
  • 30', Love D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 59', Madden P. , Caton C. ,
  • 59', Love D. , Brown C. ,
  • 59', Henderson A. , Sinclair I. ,
  • 65', Young L. 🟨,
  • 65', Martin D. , Bauress J. ,
  • 68', Walton T. 🟨,
  • 72', Coyle L. , Conneely S. ,
  • 75', Jude-Boyd A. , Power D. ,
  • 82', Willcox F. , Broom R. ,
  • 82', Hutchinson I. , Martin J. ,
  • 90+1', Miller G. , Bickerstaff J. ,

Chances of winning


Cheltenham Town
42.3%
Draw
26.6%
Accrington Stanley
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.9% 27.2% 31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7% 26.1% 30.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cheltenham Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • Accrington Stanley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • Cheltenham Town - Accrington Stanley Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.25
    (2.29)
    3.64
    (3.44)
    3.2
    (2.95)
    3.2%
    (6.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Cheltenham Town - Accrington Stanley?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Cheltenham will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Cheltenham: 29.6%90.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cheltenham (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cheltenham won 1.
    • Cheltenham has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Accrington has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Accrington may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Cheltenham: Anderson T. (Inactive) Cundy R. (Injury) Pell H. (Inactive) Thomas J. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Accrington: Whalley S. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Cheltenham: Power D. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Accrington: Matthews D. (Injury) Rawson F. (Injury)
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Cheltenham won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:22. (average 1.1:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cheltenham won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cheltenham Town - Accrington Stanley were as follows:
    28.01.2025 Accrington Stanley - Cheltenham Town 0:0
    01.10.2024 Cheltenham Town - Accrington Stanley 2:1
    11.02.2023 Cheltenham Town - Accrington Stanley 0:0
    17.09.2022 Accrington Stanley - Cheltenham Town 1:0
    Latest results of Cheltenham Town
    Latest results of Accrington Stanley
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Walsall1382319:12726
    2Swindon1381424:19525
    3MK Dons1373326:131324
    4Grimsby1373325:151024
    5Gillingham1364318:12622
    6Chesterfield1364323:20322
    7Salford1371518:17122
    8Notts Co1363423:15821
    9Cambridge Utd1363416:13321
    10Barnet1362516:13320
    11Crewe1361617:16119
    12Fleetwood1354419:19019
    13Bromley1346319:17218
    14Colchester1345421:18317
    15Barrow1352611:13-217
    16Bristol Rovers1352614:21-717
    17Oldham1336410:10015
    18Tranmere1235420:18214
    19Harrogate1342715:20-514
    20Accrington1233611:14-312
    21Shrewsbury1333710:20-1012
    22Cheltenham133289:25-1611
    23Crawley1323810:22-129
    24Newport1322911:23-128

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League