Accrington Stanley vs Cheltenham Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
31/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 30
  • Referee: Parkinson S. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.541.03
Ball possession
43%57%
Total shots
1613
Shots on target
84
Big chances
01
Corner kicks
108
Passes
64% (190/296)70% (274/390)
Yellow cards
12
Expected goals (xG)
0.541.03
xG on target (xGOT)
1.471.69
Total shots
1613
Shots on target
84
Shots off target
46
Blocked shots
43
Shots inside the box
610
Shots outside the box
103
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
10
Big chances
01
Corner kicks
108
Touches in opposition box
1620
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free kicks
107
Passes
64% (190/296)70% (274/390)
Long passes
25% (16/63)33% (26/80)
Passes in final third
63% (71/112)54% (49/91)
Crosses
11% (2/19)32% (6/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.001.02
Throw ins
2240
Fouls
710
Tackles
82% (9/11)45% (5/11)
Duels won
5554
Clearances
3125
Interceptions
66
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
35
xGOT faced
1.691.47
Goals prevented
0.69-1.53

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Whalley S. ,
  • 45+1', Cundy R. 🟨,
  • 45+2', 2 - 0, Love D. , Whalley S. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 55', Henderson A. 🟨,
  • 59', 3 - 0, Matthews D. , Whalley S. (A),
  • 60', Deeming C. , Davison J. ,
  • 66', O'Brien C. , Sass F. ,
  • 66', Henderson A. , Grant C. ,
  • 69', Nurse G. , Martin J. ,
  • 69', Wilson J. , Sherring S. ,
  • 73', Woods J. , Abimbola D. ,
  • 73', Conneely S. , Butterfield L. ,
  • 73', 3 - 1, Thomas J. ,
  • 77', Davison J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Accrington Stanley
47.9%
Draw
28.2%
Cheltenham Town
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.9% 28.5% 25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7% 27.4% 24.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Accrington Stanley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • Cheltenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • Accrington Stanley - Cheltenham Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.96
    (2)
    3.3
    (3.23)
    3.93
    (3.58)
    6.8%
    (8.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Accrington Stanley - Cheltenham Town?
  • Users Predictions: Accrington Stanley will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 14 and 18).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Accrington won 1.
    • Accrington is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Cheltenham's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Accrington may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Accrington is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Accrington: Hall C. (Inactive) Mooney K. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Cheltenham: Broom R. (Injury) King T. (Inactive) Sherring S. (Tendon Injury)
    • There are questionable in Accrington: Bauress J. (Inactive) Walton T. (Injury)
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Accrington won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 22:21. (average 1.2:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Accrington won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:11. (average 1.4:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Accrington Stanley - Cheltenham Town were as follows:
    06.09.2025 Cheltenham Town - Accrington Stanley 1:0
    28.01.2025 Accrington Stanley - Cheltenham Town 0:0
    01.10.2024 Cheltenham Town - Accrington Stanley 2:1
    11.02.2023 Cheltenham Town - Accrington Stanley 0:0
    17.09.2022 Accrington Stanley - Cheltenham Town 1:0
    Latest results of Accrington Stanley
    Latest results of Cheltenham Town
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley351912458:352369
    2Cambridge Utd341810649:272264
    3MK Dons341711663:342962
    4Swindon351951157:411662
    5Notts Co34187952:331961
    6Chesterfield351414755:441156
    7Crewe351681152:411156
    8Grimsby341510949:381155
    9Salford341741347:46155
    10Barnet3514111044:37753
    11Walsall341581142:37553
    12Colchester3413101148:381049
    13Fleetwood341391244:42248
    14Oldham331113936:30646
    15Accrington341371437:36146
    16Gillingham3311111141:41044
    17Shrewsbury351081734:54-2038
    18Cheltenham331061734:55-2136
    19Tranmere35981847:62-1535
    20Bristol Rovers34942133:57-2431
    21Crawley356101933:56-2328
    22Newport35772135:61-2628
    23Barrow33762033:51-1827
    24Harrogate35692025:52-2727

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League