Atlético Grau vs ADT Tarma – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
31/08/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 2
  • Referee: Espinoza J. (Per)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
peruPeruLiga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.721.17
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
1514
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
41
Passes
76% (259/342)78% (294/379)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.721.17
xG on target (xGOT)
1.880.39
Total shots
1514
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
108
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
98
Shots outside the Box
66
Hit the Woodwork
20
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
41
Touches in opposition box
1518
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
07
Free Kicks
1020
Passes
76% (259/342)78% (294/379)
Long passes
48% (32/66)53% (48/91)
Passes in final third
58% (53/91)52% (55/106)
Crosses
31% (5/16)31% (4/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.020.78
Throw-ins
1423
Fouls
209
Tackles
75% (9/12)75% (9/12)
Duels won
4348
Clearances
2416
Interceptions
612
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
0.391.88
Goals prevented
0.39-0.12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Bandiera N. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Moyano A. , Cabello C. ,
  • 46', Rengifo H. , Fernandez A. ,
  • 51', 2 - 0, Ruidiaz R. , Bandiera N. (A),
  • 55', Choi G. , Pinto O. ,
  • 56', Tapia R. , Rodas E. ,
  • 62', Garro J. , Sandoval T. ,
  • 65', Perez A. 🟨,
  • 66', Bazan N. 🟨,
  • 67', Perez A. , Bersano F. ,
  • 68', Bazan N. , Barreto G. ,
  • 83', Reyes J. , Garcia B. ,
  • 83', Bandiera N. , Vasquez A. ,
  • 90', Sandoval T. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Atlético Grau
56.7%
Draw
25%
ADT Tarma
18.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.3% 26.9% 21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8% 28.7% 20.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético Grau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Grau's performance.
  • ADT Tarma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Grau than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for ADT Tarma than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • Atlético Grau - ADT Tarma Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.63
    (1.84)
    3.69
    (3.5)
    5.03
    (4.31)
    8.2%
    (6.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Atlético Grau - ADT Tarma?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Grau will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Grau (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • 1X2, 1st Half - Grau (2.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Grau (2.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Grau (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grau won 1.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • ADT may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Grau is seen as the favorite.
    • There are questionable in Grau: Soto D. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in ADT: Rojas J. (Injury)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Grau won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.9:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Grau won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 2.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Grau - ADT Tarma were as follows:
    15.02.2025 ADT Tarma - Atlético Grau 4:3
    04.08.2024 ADT Tarma - Atlético Grau 1:2
    25.02.2024 Atlético Grau - ADT Tarma 2:2
    23.07.2023 ADT Tarma - Atlético Grau 1:0
    19.02.2023 Atlético Grau - ADT Tarma 1:1
    Latest results of Atlético Grau
    Latest results of ADT Tarma
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cajamarca43108:4410
    2Alianza Lima43105:2310
    3FBC Melgar43019:459
    4U. de Deportes42207:438
    5Los Chankas42206:428
    6Sporting Cristal41216:515
    7FC Cajamarca41217:705
    8Deportivo Garcilaso41213:305
    9Alianza Atl41212:205
    10Cienciano41128:624
    11Sport Huancayo41125:504
    12Cusco41124:404
    13Sport Boys41122:3-14
    14Comerciantes Unidos41124:6-24
    15AD Tarma41123:5-24
    16Juan Pablo II41126:12-64
    17Moquegua41033:8-53
    18Grau40131:5-41

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