Cienciano vs ADT Tarma – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

03/04/2026 at 19:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega (Cusco).

Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 9
Where to Watch on TV:


Peru	Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play, Movistar TV App
Usa	Fanatiz

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
2.59	1.75
Ball possession
44%	56%
Total shots
11	16
Shots on target
6	6
Big chances
2	1
Corner kicks
4	4
Passes
71% (186/263)	78% (264/337)
Yellow cards
2	4
Red cards
0	1
Expected goals (xG)
2.59	1.75
xG on target (xGOT)
2.62	0.97
Total shots
11	16
Shots on target
6	6
Shots off target
3	2
Blocked shots
2	8
Shots inside the box
6	11
Shots outside the box
5	5
Hit the woodwork
1	0
Big chances
2	1
Corner kicks
4	4
Touches in opposition box
15	25
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	3
Free kicks
10	18
Passes
71% (186/263)	78% (264/337)
Long passes
31% (15/48)	52% (38/73)
Passes in final third
51% (36/71)	58% (64/110)
Crosses
42% (5/12)	47% (8/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.50	0.52
Throw ins
15	19
Fouls
18	10
Tackles
74% (14/19)	50% (6/12)
Duels won
48	53
Clearances
20	14
Interceptions
11	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
4	3
xGOT faced
0.97	2.62
Goals prevented
-1.03	-0.38

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 2)
5', 1 - 0, Hohberg A. ⚽,
7', 1 - 1, Mazzo A. ⚽, Cabello C. (A),
18', 1 - 2, Guivin Tanta J. ⚽, Cedron V. (A),
35', Cedron V. 🟨,
39', 2 - 2, Garces C. (Penalty Awarded),
39', Rojas J. 🟨,
40', Garces C. 🟨,
41', Cabello C. 🟨,
45', Cavero S. 🟨,
45+2', Alvino J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', 3 - 2, Hohberg A. (Penalty Awarded),
61', Guivin Tanta J. ↓, Benites Vargas L. E. ↑,
61', Mazzo A. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
62', Cavero S. ↓, Caparo H. ↑,
68', Bandiera N. ↓, Succar M. ↑,
71', Bauman J. ↓, Gomez L. ↑,
71', Alvino J. ↓, Biojo R. ↑,
90+4', Hohberg A. ↓, Rojas A. ↑,
90+7', Cabello C. 🟥,

Chances of winning

Cienciano
60.8%

Draw
22.7%

ADT Tarma
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.5%

22.9%

15.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.3%

21.9%

14.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cienciano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ADT Tarma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cienciano than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ADT Tarma than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Cienciano - ADT Tarma Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.5)	4.12 ↑ (4.02)	5.65 ↓ (5.9)	7.3% (8.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Cienciano - ADT Tarma?

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Cienciano will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). ADT will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cienciano (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

DNB - Cienciano (1.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Cienciano (votes: 2 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cienciano won 1.
Cienciano has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
ADT has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Cienciano is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Cienciano: Arias Fierro S. D. (Injury) Romagnoli J. (Broken calfbone)
There will not play in ADT: Arakaki H. (Injury)
We predict that Cienciano will win today's game, with odds of 1.5.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Cienciano won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.3:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Cienciano won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Cienciano won against ADT Tarma?

Cienciano has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has ADT Tarma won against Cienciano?

ADT Tarma has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Cienciano - ADT Tarma were as follows:

19.07.2025 ADT Tarma - Cienciano 1:0

04.03.2025 ADT Tarma - Cienciano 1:2

09.02.2025 Cienciano - ADT Tarma 2:2

21.07.2024 Cienciano - ADT Tarma 0:1

03.02.2024 ADT Tarma - Cienciano 1:1

Latest results of Cienciano

20.03.2026 Cienciano - Cajamarca 3:0 ✺

15.03.2026 Cusco - Cienciano 1:2 ✺

09.03.2026 Cienciano - Sport Boys 3:1 ✺

05.03.2026 Cienciano - FBC Melgar 2:1 ✺

27.02.2026 Deportivo Garcilaso - Cienciano 2:3 ✺

Latest results of ADT Tarma

20.03.2026 ADT Tarma - FBC Melgar 1:1 ✺

14.03.2026 Sport Huancayo - ADT Tarma 0:1 ✺

08.03.2026 ADT Tarma - Juan Pablo II College 2:3 ✺

27.02.2026 Alianza Atlético - ADT Tarma 0:0 ✺

22.02.2026 ADT Tarma - Cajamarca 2:2 ✺

Peruvian Liga 1 Table

2026

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Los Chankas	9	7	2	0	18:10	8	23
2	Alianza Lima	9	6	2	1	12:5	7	20
3	Cienciano	9	6	1	2	22:12	10	19
4	U. de Deportes	9	5	3	1	12:7	5	18
5	Cajamarca	9	4	2	3	12:11	1	14
6	Cusco	9	4	1	4	12:10	2	13
7	Juan Pablo II	9	4	1	4	15:21	-6	13
8	Comerciantes Unidos	9	3	3	3	13:13	0	12
9	Sporting Cristal	9	3	2	4	16:13	3	11
10	Alianza Atl	9	2	5	2	9:8	1	11
11	FBC Melgar	9	3	2	4	13:13	0	11
12	Deportivo Garcilaso	9	2	4	3	9:10	-1	10
13	Moquegua	9	3	1	5	8:15	-7	10
14	AD Tarma	9	2	3	4	9:12	-3	9
15	Sport Huancayo	9	2	2	5	9:13	-4	8
16	Sport Boys	9	2	2	5	8:12	-4	8
17	Grau	9	1	4	4	5:10	-5	7
18	FC Cajamarca	9	1	2	6	10:17	-7	5

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