Result
1:0
19/07/2025 at 16:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 1
- Referee: Perez R. B. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 1.55 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (201/284) | 76% (225/297) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 1.55 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 0.16 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 9 | 31 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (201/284) | 76% (225/297) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (26/67) | 42% (28/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 49% (44/90) | 64% (73/114) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (2/11) | 29% (8/28) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.32 | 1.30 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 81% (13/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 33 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.16 | 1.09 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.11 | 0.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 6', Valoyes J. 🟨,
- 28', Garces C. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 65', Torrejon C. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
- 69', 1 - 0, Cabello C. ⚽, Da Luz M. (A),
- 71', Ascues A. ↓, Benites Vargas L. E. ↑,
- 71', Da Silva B. ↓, Neira C. ↑,
- 74', Moyano A. 🟨,
- 76', Moyano A. ↓, Perez A. ↑,
- 79', La Torre D. ↓, Noronha O. ↑,
- 82', Narvaez J. 🟨,
- 87', Robles A. ↓, Fernandez A. ↑,
- 87', Da Luz M. ↓, Pinto O. ↑,
- 88', Benites Vargas L. E. 🟨,
- 89', Ortiz J. 🟨,
- 89', Barreto G. 🟨,
- 90+4', Barreto G. ↓, Hidalgo A. ↑,
Chances of winning
ADT Tarma
40.4% | Draw
29.5% | Cienciano
30.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
ADT Tarma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)Cienciano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for ADT Tarma than the current prediction. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cienciano than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
ADT Tarma - Cienciano Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.31 ↑
(2.1) |
3.22 ↑
(3.06) |
3.1 ↓
(3.64) |
6.7%
(7.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for ADT Tarma - Cienciano?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, ADT won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- ADT may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- ADT might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in ADT: Rengifo H.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Cienciano: Amondarain M.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in ADT: Cedron V.
(Muscle Injury)
Rojas J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Cienciano: Romagnoli J.
(Injury)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, ADT won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1.3:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, ADT won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1.3:2).
How many head-to-head matches has ADT Tarma won against Cienciano?
ADT Tarma has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cienciano won against ADT Tarma?
Cienciano has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between ADT Tarma - Cienciano were as follows:
04.03.2025
ADT Tarma
-
Cienciano
1:2
09.02.2025
Cienciano
-
ADT Tarma
2:2
21.07.2024
Cienciano
-
ADT Tarma
0:1
03.02.2024
ADT Tarma
-
Cienciano
1:1
20.09.2023
Cienciano
-
ADT Tarma
2:2
Latest results of ADT Tarma
Latest results of Cienciano
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sporting Cristal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | Juan Pablo II | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Cusco | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | FBC Melgar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Grau | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | AD Tarma | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Alianza Atl | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Sport Huancayo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Ayacucho | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Cajamarca | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Cienciano | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Comerciantes Unidos | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 | Alianza Lima | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 17 | Sport Boys | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 18 | Alianza Huanuco | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 19 | Los Chankas | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
