AFC Wimbledon vs Barnsley – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League One AFC Wimbledon - Barnsley
Result
2:0
23/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 5
  • Referee: Yates O. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.501.36
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
1616
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
33
Passes
75% (277/368)82% (463/563)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.501.36
xG on target (xGOT)
1.641.23
Total shots
1616
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
65
Blocked Shots
58
Shots inside the Box
1211
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
33
Touches in opposition box
1932
Accurate through passes
21
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
911
Passes
75% (277/368)82% (463/563)
Long passes
34% (25/73)43% (34/80)
Passes in final third
57% (59/103)69% (105/153)
Crosses
27% (3/11)28% (5/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.991.09
Throw-ins
1624
Fouls
119
Tackles
50% (9/18)61% (11/18)
Duels won
4550
Clearances
3217
Interceptions
62
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
1.231.64
Goals prevented
1.23-0.36

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 8', Ogundere I. 🟨,
  • 29', 1 - 0, Stevens M. , Hippolyte M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 47', Earl J. 🟨,
  • 50', Seddon S. 🟨,
  • 62', Kelly P. , Yoganathan V. ,
  • 62', Ogbeta N. , Farrugia N. ,
  • 64', Stevens M. , Bugiel O. ,
  • 65', Browne M. , Hackford A. ,
  • 70', 2 - 0, Hackford A. , Smith A. (A),
  • 73', Connell L. , Russell J. ,
  • 73', McGoldrick D. , Cleary R. ,
  • 77', Watson T. , Bland J. ,
  • 85', Hippolyte M. , Maycock C. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


AFC Wimbledon
30.5%
Draw
27.8%
Barnsley
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.4% 28.1% 41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4% 27.2% 42.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • AFC Wimbledon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • Barnsley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnsley than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • AFC Wimbledon - Barnsley Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.07
    (3)
    3.37
    (3.25)
    2.26
    (2.2)
    6.5%
    (9.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for AFC Wimbledon - Barnsley?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Wimbledon will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Barnsley will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Barnsley: 11.9%76.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Wimbledon (votes: 1 - 20%). Barnsley (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Wimbledon has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Barnsley is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There are questionable in Wimbledon: Lewis J. (Injury) Seddon S. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Barnsley: Kelly P. (Injury) Roberts M. (Injury)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Wimbledon won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
    • Including home match between the teams, Wimbledon won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.
    Latest results of AFC Wimbledon
    Latest results of Barnsley
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cardiff54107:1613
    2Huddersfield540110:3712
    3Stevenage54018:4412
    4Bradford City53207:4311
    5Stockport County53119:6310
    6Barnsley53118:6210
    7Lincoln53117:5210
    8Doncaster53115:4110
    9Mansfield530210:649
    10AFC Wimbledon53026:339
    11Luton53025:329
    12Wigan52127:617
    13Leyton Orient52126:9-37
    14Exeter52036:606
    15Bolton51315:506
    16Burton41125:6-14
    17Rotherham41124:7-34
    18Northampton51133:6-34
    19Plymouth51044:9-53
    20Blackpool51046:12-63
    21Wycombe50235:8-32
    22Port Vale50232:5-32
    23Reading50234:9-52
    24Peterborough50142:8-61

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