Result
4:1
17/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 33
- Referee: Mather S. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.16 | 1.30 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (424/502) | 76% (237/311) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.16 | 1.30 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.60 | 1.41 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 37 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (424/502) | 76% (237/311) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (29/58) | 44% (27/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (126/164) | 67% (80/120) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (1/9) | 24% (5/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 0.99 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (12/18) | 50% (12/24) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.41 | 2.60 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.41 | -1.40 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 22', 1 - 0, Colwill J. ⚽, Robertson A. (A),
- 37', Bugiel O. ↓, Stevens M. ↑,
- 45+1', 1 - 1, Stevens M. ⚽, Seddon S. (A),
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 50', Johnson R. 🟨,
- 58', 2 - 1, Ng P. ⚽, Tanner O. (A),
- 61', 3 - 1, Tanner O. ⚽, Ng P. (A),
- 65', Robertson A. ↓, Turnbull D. ↑,
- 66', Colwill J. ↓, Colwill R. ↑,
- 66', Willock C. ↓, Ashford C. ↑,
- 74', Tanner O. ↓, Robinson C. ↑,
- 74', Hippolyte M. ↓, Reeves J. ↑,
- 74', Browne M. ↓, Hackford A. ↑,
- 74', Maycock C. ↓, Bauer P. ↑,
- 83', Reeves J. 🟨,
- 86', Smith A. ↓, Nelson Z. ↑,
- 87', 4 - 1, Kellyman O. ⚽, Robinson C. (A),
- 90+1', Kellyman O. ↓, Scanlon C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Cardiff City
68.3% | Draw
19.5% | AFC Wimbledon
12.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cardiff City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cardiff City's performance.AFC Wimbledon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
Cardiff City - AFC Wimbledon Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.38 ↓
(1.48) |
4.8 ↑
(4.15) |
7.76 ↑
(5.84) |
6.4%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Cardiff City - AFC Wimbledon?
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Cardiff will win (votes: 18 - 85.7%). Wimbledon will win (votes: 1 - 4.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 9.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cardiff: 70.7% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cardiff City will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship and 15).
- Cardiff is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Wimbledon has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Wimbledon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Cardiff is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Cardiff: King E.
(Knee Injury)
Salech Y.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Wimbledon: McCoy-Splatt D.
(Inactive)
Sasu A.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Cardiff: Davies I.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Wimbledon: Lewis J.
(Inactive)
Stewart L.
(Inactive)
- We predict that Cardiff will win today's game, with odds of 1.46.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Cardiff won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cardiff won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5. (average 1:2.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Cardiff City won against AFC Wimbledon?
Cardiff City has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AFC Wimbledon won against Cardiff City?
AFC Wimbledon has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cardiff City - AFC Wimbledon were as follows:
02.12.2025
Cardiff City
-
AFC Wimbledon
1:5
19.08.2025
AFC Wimbledon
-
Cardiff City
0:1
Latest results of Cardiff City
Latest results of AFC Wimbledon
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln | 39 | 25 | 9 | 5 | 74:34 | 40 | 84 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 39 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 73:41 | 32 | 77 |
| 3 | Bolton | 39 | 17 | 15 | 7 | 55:39 | 16 | 66 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 39 | 19 | 8 | 12 | 49:44 | 5 | 65 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 51:48 | 3 | 60 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 41:38 | 3 | 60 |
| 7 | Plymouth | 39 | 18 | 5 | 16 | 60:54 | 6 | 59 |
| 8 | Reading | 39 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 57:51 | 6 | 58 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 39 | 16 | 9 | 14 | 59:51 | 8 | 57 |
| 10 | Wycombe | 39 | 15 | 11 | 13 | 55:43 | 12 | 56 |
| 11 | Luton | 39 | 15 | 10 | 14 | 52:49 | 3 | 55 |
| 12 | Peterborough | 38 | 15 | 5 | 18 | 57:52 | 5 | 50 |
| 13 | Barnsley | 37 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 59:60 | -1 | 50 |
| 14 | AFC Wimbledon | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 49:55 | -6 | 50 |
| 15 | Mansfield | 37 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 47:41 | 6 | 49 |
| 16 | Leyton Orient | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 55:62 | -7 | 48 |
| 17 | Doncaster | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 41:59 | -18 | 47 |
| 18 | Burton | 39 | 12 | 10 | 17 | 44:54 | -10 | 46 |
| 19 | Wigan | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
| 20 | Exeter | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 42:52 | -10 | 42 |
| 21 | Blackpool | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 46:63 | -17 | 42 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 35:58 | -23 | 36 |
| 23 | Northampton | 39 | 9 | 8 | 22 | 33:56 | -23 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 29:49 | -20 | 31 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
