AFC Wimbledon vs Cardiff City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League One AFC Wimbledon - Cardiff City
Result
0:1
19/08/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 4
  • Referee: Rock D. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+
usaUsaParamount+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.661.48
Ball Possession
33%67%
Total shots
1616
Shots on target
21
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
52
Passes
63% (162/258)84% (445/530)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
0.661.48
xG on target (xGOT)
0.200.73
Total shots
1616
Shots on target
21
Shots off target
89
Blocked Shots
66
Shots inside the Box
910
Shots outside the Box
76
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
1824
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1010
Passes
63% (162/258)84% (445/530)
Long passes
38% (26/69)33% (17/52)
Passes in final third
53% (55/104)76% (130/171)
Crosses
31% (4/13)31% (5/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.601.23
Throw-ins
1925
Fouls
1011
Tackles
59% (10/17)80% (8/10)
Duels won
6148
Clearances
3126
Interceptions
76
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
02
xGOT faced
0.730.20
Goals prevented
-0.270.20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 28', Lewis J. , Harbottle R. ,
  • 34', Stevens M. 🟨,
  • 40', Salech Y. 🟨,
  • 45+4', Tanner O. , Willock C. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 63', Hippolyte M. , Browne M. ,
  • 63', Stevens M. , Hackford A. ,
  • 63', Orsi-Dadomo D. , Bugiel O. ,
  • 64', Colwill J. , Turnbull D. ,
  • 64', Ashford C. , Davies I. ,
  • 64', Salech Y. , Robinson C. ,
  • 71', Lawlor D. 🟨,
  • 82', Bagan J. , Chambers C. ,
  • 89', Seddon S. , Sasu A. ,
  • 90+2', 0 - 1, Davies I. ,
  • 90+6', Browne M. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


AFC Wimbledon
28.1%
Draw
28.9%
Cardiff City
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.7% 28.3% 41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3% 27% 42.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • AFC Wimbledon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • Cardiff City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • AFC Wimbledon - Cardiff City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.33
    (2.89)
    3.21
    (3.13)
    2.2
    (2.16)
    6.7%
    (12.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for AFC Wimbledon - Cardiff City?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Wimbledon will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). Cardiff will win (votes: 12 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Cardiff: 53.8%96.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cardiff City will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Wimbledon has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Cardiff is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, Wimbledon has had a series of away games.
    • Cardiff is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Cardiff: Robertson A. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Wimbledon: Hackford A. (Injury) Johnson R. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cardiff: Ng P. (Inactive)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Wimbledon won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    Latest results of AFC Wimbledon
    Latest results of Cardiff City
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bradford City1173120:13724
    2Stevenage971115:8722
    3Lincoln1063117:9821
    4Cardiff1062215:6920
    5Huddersfield1061316:11519
    6AFC Wimbledon1060414:12218
    7Luton1051414:11316
    8Stockport County1044215:13216
    9Barnsley951314:12216
    10Doncaster1051410:11-116
    11Bolton1035214:10414
    12Mansfield1042415:13214
    13Northampton94147:8-113
    14Wigan1033414:15-112
    15Plymouth1040615:18-312
    16Port Vale1032510:10011
    17Leyton Orient1032513:18-511
    18Exeter1030710:12-29
    19Reading923410:14-49
    20Wycombe1022611:13-28
    21Rotherham102269:15-68
    22Blackpool1022610:17-78
    23Burton92256:14-88
    24Peterborough102177:18-117

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two