Result
0:1
19/08/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 4
- Referee: Rock D. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 1.48 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 33% | 67% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (162/258) | 84% (445/530) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 1.48 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.20 | 0.73 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (162/258) | 84% (445/530) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (26/69) | 33% (17/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 53% (55/104) | 76% (130/171) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (4/13) | 31% (5/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 1.23 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 59% (10/17) | 80% (8/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 61 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.73 | 0.20 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.27 | 0.20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 28', Lewis J. ↓, Harbottle R. ↑,
- 34', Stevens M. 🟨,
- 40', Salech Y. 🟨,
- 45+4', Tanner O. ↓, Willock C. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 63', Hippolyte M. ↓, Browne M. ↑,
- 63', Stevens M. ↓, Hackford A. ↑,
- 63', Orsi-Dadomo D. ↓, Bugiel O. ↑,
- 64', Colwill J. ↓, Turnbull D. ↑,
- 64', Ashford C. ↓, Davies I. ↑,
- 64', Salech Y. ↓, Robinson C. ↑,
- 71', Lawlor D. 🟨,
- 82', Bagan J. ↓, Chambers C. ↑,
- 89', Seddon S. ↓, Sasu A. ↑,
- 90+2', 0 - 1, Davies I. ⚽,
- 90+6', Browne M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
AFC Wimbledon
28.1% | Draw
28.9% | Cardiff City
43% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AFC Wimbledon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)Cardiff City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
AFC Wimbledon - Cardiff City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.33 ↑
(2.89) |
3.21 ↑
(3.13) |
2.2 ↑
(2.16) |
6.7%
(12.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for AFC Wimbledon - Cardiff City?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Wimbledon will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). Cardiff will win (votes: 12 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cardiff: 53.8% – 96.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cardiff City will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Wimbledon has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Cardiff is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Wimbledon has had a series of away games.
- Cardiff is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Cardiff: Robertson A.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Wimbledon: Hackford A.
(Injury)
Johnson R.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Cardiff: Ng P.
(Inactive)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Wimbledon won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has AFC Wimbledon won against Cardiff City?
AFC Wimbledon has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cardiff City won against AFC Wimbledon?
Cardiff City has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AFC Wimbledon - Cardiff City were as follows:
Latest results of AFC Wimbledon
Latest results of Cardiff City
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cardiff | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11:1 | 10 | 16 |
| 2 | Doncaster | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 16 |
| 3 | Huddersfield | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 14:8 | 6 | 15 |
| 4 | Stevenage | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 15 |
| 5 | Bradford City | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11:9 | 2 | 14 |
| 6 | Barnsley | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 | Luton | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8:3 | 5 | 12 |
| 8 | Lincoln | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 12 |
| 9 | Stockport County | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12:11 | 1 | 11 |
| 10 | Bolton | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 10 |
| 11 | Mansfield | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:9 | 2 | 10 |
| 12 | Leyton Orient | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 10 |
| 13 | Exeter | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9:7 | 2 | 9 |
| 14 | Wigan | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 9 |
| 15 | AFC Wimbledon | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8:9 | -1 | 9 |
| 16 | Northampton | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 7 |
| 17 | Rotherham | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 7 |
| 18 | Plymouth | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8:15 | -7 | 6 |
| 19 | Wycombe | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7:9 | -2 | 5 |
| 20 | Reading | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 5 |
| 21 | Burton | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 4 |
| 22 | Blackpool | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:13 | -6 | 4 |
| 23 | Port Vale | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4:9 | -5 | 2 |
| 24 | Peterborough | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4:14 | -10 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
