AFC Wimbledon vs Cardiff City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League One AFC Wimbledon - Cardiff City
Result
0:1
19/08/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 4
  • Referee: Rock D. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+
usaUsaParamount+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.661.48
Ball Possession
33%67%
Total shots
1616
Shots on target
21
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
52
Passes
63% (162/258)84% (445/530)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
0.661.48
xG on target (xGOT)
0.200.73
Total shots
1616
Shots on target
21
Shots off target
89
Blocked Shots
66
Shots inside the Box
910
Shots outside the Box
76
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
1824
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1010
Passes
63% (162/258)84% (445/530)
Long passes
38% (26/69)33% (17/52)
Passes in final third
53% (55/104)76% (130/171)
Crosses
31% (4/13)31% (5/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.601.23
Throw-ins
1925
Fouls
1011
Tackles
59% (10/17)80% (8/10)
Duels won
6148
Clearances
3126
Interceptions
76
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
02
xGOT faced
0.730.20
Goals prevented
-0.270.20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 28', Lewis J. , Harbottle R. ,
  • 34', Stevens M. 🟨,
  • 40', Salech Y. 🟨,
  • 45+4', Tanner O. , Willock C. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 63', Hippolyte M. , Browne M. ,
  • 63', Stevens M. , Hackford A. ,
  • 63', Orsi-Dadomo D. , Bugiel O. ,
  • 64', Colwill J. , Turnbull D. ,
  • 64', Ashford C. , Davies I. ,
  • 64', Salech Y. , Robinson C. ,
  • 71', Lawlor D. 🟨,
  • 82', Bagan J. , Chambers C. ,
  • 89', Seddon S. , Sasu A. ,
  • 90+2', 0 - 1, Davies I. ,
  • 90+6', Browne M. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


AFC Wimbledon
28.1%
Draw
28.9%
Cardiff City
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.7% 28.3% 41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3% 27% 42.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • AFC Wimbledon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • Cardiff City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • AFC Wimbledon - Cardiff City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.33
    (2.89)
    3.21
    (3.13)
    2.2
    (2.16)
    6.7%
    (12.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for AFC Wimbledon - Cardiff City?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Wimbledon will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). Cardiff will win (votes: 12 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Cardiff: 53.8%96.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cardiff City will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Wimbledon has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Cardiff is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, Wimbledon has had a series of away games.
    • Cardiff is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Cardiff: Robertson A. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Wimbledon: Hackford A. (Injury) Johnson R. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cardiff: Ng P. (Inactive)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Wimbledon won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    Latest results of AFC Wimbledon
    Latest results of Cardiff City
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cardiff1282221:101126
    2Stevenage1181217:9825
    3Bradford City1274122:15725
    4Stockport County1374219:14525
    5AFC Wimbledon1381419:14525
    6Lincoln1273218:10824
    7Bolton1355318:15320
    8Huddersfield1261518:15319
    9Mansfield1253418:14418
    10Barnsley1153318:16218
    11Northampton1352610:12-217
    12Doncaster1352612:18-617
    13Wigan1344516:17-116
    14Luton1251614:15-116
    15Leyton Orient1342720:23-314
    16Reading1335514:18-414
    17Rotherham1242612:16-414
    18Wycombe1334615:16-113
    19Port Vale1334611:12-113
    20Exeter1341812:14-213
    21Plymouth1241717:21-413
    22Burton1233610:16-612
    23Peterborough123189:20-1110
    24Blackpool1323811:21-109

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two