Cardiff City vs AFC Wimbledon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:5
02/12/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EFL Trophy - Play Offs - 1/16-finals
  • Referee: Byrne A. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.661.08
Ball Possession
65%35%
Total shots
912
Shots on target
66
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
12
Passes
88% (577/655)74% (257/346)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.661.08
xG on target (xGOT)
1.151.19
Total shots
912
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
25
Blocked Shots
11
Shots inside the Box
79
Shots outside the Box
23
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
02
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
12
Touches in opposition box
1016
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
125
Passes
88% (577/655)74% (257/346)
Long passes
58% (30/52)45% (31/69)
Passes in final third
69% (79/115)49% (46/93)
Crosses
0% (0/5)43% (3/7)
Expected assists (xA)
0.320.91
Throw-ins
2020
Fouls
512
Tackles
80% (8/10)56% (10/18)
Duels won
4042
Clearances
1813
Interceptions
67
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
15
xGOT faced
1.191.15
Goals prevented
-3.810.15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 29', 0 - 1, Sasu A. , Asiimwe N. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 4)
  • 46', Kellyman O. , Pearce L. ,
  • 46', Osho G. , Williams N. ,
  • 46', 0 - 2, Sasu A. , Bugiel O. (A),
  • 49', 0 - 3, Bugiel O. ,
  • 54', 0 - 4, Sasu A. ,
  • 67', Ashford C. , Donczew A. ,
  • 67', Perrett T. , George T. ,
  • 72', Bugiel O. , Orsi-Dadomo D. ,
  • 76', 0 - 5, Sasu A. ,
  • 83', Lawlor D. , Parfitt T. ,
  • 84', Sasu A. , Nkeng R. ,
  • 86', Lewis J. , Young L. ,
  • 88', 1 - 5, Giles L. ,

Chances of winning


Cardiff City
41.2%
Draw
25.8%
AFC Wimbledon
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.1% 23.8% 21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.5% 23.2% 20.6%

Cardiff City - AFC Wimbledon Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.25
(1.67)
3.52
(3.85)
2.77
(4.34)
9%
(9.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Cardiff City - AFC Wimbledon?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Cardiff will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Wimbledon will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Cardiff: 44.1%94.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Cardiff (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Wimbledon (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Cardiff has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Wimbledon has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Cardiff might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Cardiff won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).
    • Including home match between the teams, Cardiff won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cardiff City - AFC Wimbledon were as follows:
    19.08.2025 AFC Wimbledon - Cardiff City 0:1
    Latest results of Cardiff City
    Latest results of AFC Wimbledon
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1LincolnHuddersfield0 : 2
    2SalfordRotherham2 : 7
    3DoncasterChesterfield5 : 1
    4TranmereFleetwood0 : 3
    5BoltonBradford City3 : 0
    6Port ValeBarnsley5 : 0
    7CreweStockport County1 : 2
    8HarrogateBlackpool4 : 2
    9ColchesterWest Ham U21
    10CardiffAFC Wimbledon1 : 5
    11LutonExeter4 : 0
    12SwindonPeterborough1 : 0
    13NorthamptonWycombe2 : 0
    14StevenageWalsall1 : 2
    15Bristol RoversCambridge Utd3 : 2
    16Leyton OrientPlymouth0 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1HuddersfieldRotherham
    2DoncasterFleetwood
    3BoltonPort Vale
    4Stockport CountyHarrogate
    5TBD #9AFC Wimbledon
    6LutonSwindon
    7NorthamptonWalsall
    8Bristol RoversPlymouth