AFC Wimbledon vs Cardiff City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League One AFC Wimbledon - Cardiff City
Result
0:1
19/08/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 4
  • Referee: Rock D. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+
usaUsaParamount+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.661.48
Ball Possession
33%67%
Total shots
1616
Shots on target
21
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
52
Passes
63% (162/258)84% (445/530)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
0.661.48
xG on target (xGOT)
0.200.73
Total shots
1616
Shots on target
21
Shots off target
89
Blocked Shots
66
Shots inside the Box
910
Shots outside the Box
76
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
1824
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1010
Passes
63% (162/258)84% (445/530)
Long passes
38% (26/69)33% (17/52)
Passes in final third
53% (55/104)76% (130/171)
Crosses
31% (4/13)31% (5/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.601.23
Throw-ins
1925
Fouls
1011
Tackles
59% (10/17)80% (8/10)
Duels won
6148
Clearances
3126
Interceptions
76
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
02
xGOT faced
0.730.20
Goals prevented
-0.270.20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 28', Lewis J. , Harbottle R. ,
  • 34', Stevens M. 🟨,
  • 40', Salech Y. 🟨,
  • 45+4', Tanner O. , Willock C. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 63', Hippolyte M. , Browne M. ,
  • 63', Stevens M. , Hackford A. ,
  • 63', Orsi-Dadomo D. , Bugiel O. ,
  • 64', Colwill J. , Turnbull D. ,
  • 64', Ashford C. , Davies I. ,
  • 64', Salech Y. , Robinson C. ,
  • 71', Lawlor D. 🟨,
  • 82', Bagan J. , Chambers C. ,
  • 89', Seddon S. , Sasu A. ,
  • 90+2', 0 - 1, Davies I. ,
  • 90+6', Browne M. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


AFC Wimbledon
28.1%
Draw
28.9%
Cardiff City
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.7% 28.3% 41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3% 27% 42.9%

AFC Wimbledon - Cardiff City Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.33
(2.89)
3.21
(3.13)
2.2
(2.16)
6.7%
(12.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for AFC Wimbledon - Cardiff City?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Wimbledon will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). Cardiff will win (votes: 12 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Cardiff: 53.8%96.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cardiff City will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Wimbledon has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Cardiff is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, Wimbledon has had a series of away games.
    • Cardiff is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Cardiff: Robertson A. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Wimbledon: Hackford A. (Injury) Johnson R. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cardiff: Ng P. (Inactive)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Wimbledon won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    Latest results of AFC Wimbledon
    Latest results of Cardiff City
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Stockport County1584322:17528
    2Bradford City1576224:18627
    3Bolton1575323:15826
    4Cardiff1482422:14826
    5Stevenage1382318:11726
    6Lincoln1574418:14425
    7AFC Wimbledon1581619:20-125
    8Mansfield1564522:17522
    9Luton1471618:15322
    10Huddersfield1471621:19222
    11Barnsley1363420:18221
    12Rotherham1563618:18021
    13Northampton1562712:14-220
    14Wycombe1554622:17519
    15Burton1554615:19-419
    16Wigan1546518:19-118
    17Reading1546516:19-318
    18Doncaster1553714:21-718
    19Exeter1552815:15017
    20Leyton Orient1552822:27-517
    21Blackpool1543816:23-715
    22Peterborough1441915:22-713
    23Port Vale1534811:19-813
    24Plymouth15411018:28-1013

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two