Leyton Orient vs AFC Wimbledon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
01/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 24
  • Referee: Atkinson B. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.280.72
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
510
Shots on target
25
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
36
Passes
69% (261/380)58% (180/313)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
0.280.72
xG on target (xGOT)
0.201.27
Total shots
510
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
33
Blocked Shots
02
Shots inside the Box
28
Shots outside the Box
32
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
36
Touches in opposition box
1420
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
14
Free Kicks
58
Passes
69% (261/380)58% (180/313)
Long passes
33% (22/67)22% (19/86)
Passes in final third
61% (63/104)44% (48/108)
Crosses
5% (1/19)21% (4/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.210.74
Throw-ins
3732
Fouls
85
Tackles
89% (8/9)67% (10/15)
Duels won
5157
Clearances
3020
Interceptions
128
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
1.270.20
Goals prevented
-0.73-0.80

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Ballard D. , O'Neill O. (A),
  • 14', James T. , Mitchell D. ,
  • 17', Browne M. 🟨,
  • 24', 1 - 1, Mitchell D. (Own goal),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 61', Moorhouse J. , Lloyd A. ,
  • 61', O'Neill O. , Wellens C. ,
  • 67', Obiero Z. 🟨,
  • 69', 1 - 2, Hippolyte M. , Seddon S. (A),
  • 75', Bakinson T. , Craig M. ,
  • 76', Mitchell D. , Koroma J. ,
  • 81', Lewis J. , Bauer P. ,
  • 81', Bugiel O. , Stevens M. ,
  • 86', 1 - 3, Browne M. ,
  • 89', Simpson J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Leyton Orient
45.2%
Draw
28.2%
AFC Wimbledon
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.3% 27.6% 25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1% 26.6% 24.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Leyton Orient has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • AFC Wimbledon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leyton Orient than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • Leyton Orient - AFC Wimbledon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.08
    (1.94)
    3.31
    (3.32)
    3.46
    (3.66)
    7.2%
    (9.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Leyton Orient - AFC Wimbledon?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Leyton Orient will win (votes: 15 - 75%). Wimbledon will win (votes: 3 - 15%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Leyton Orient: 56%94%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Leyton Orient will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 16 and 17).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leyton Orient won 2.
    • The current form of both teams is below expectations.
    • Leyton Orient is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Leyton Orient: Connolly A. (Injury) Edmonds-Green R. (Inactive) El Mizouni I. (Injury) Graham J. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Leyton Orient won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.7:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Leyton Orient won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Leyton Orient - AFC Wimbledon were as follows:
    04.02.2023 Leyton Orient - AFC Wimbledon 1:0
    08.11.2022 AFC Wimbledon - Leyton Orient 2:0
    Latest results of Leyton Orient
    Latest results of AFC Wimbledon
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cardiff33216664:362869
    2Lincoln33208559:312868
    3Bolton341513645:331258
    4Bradford City33177942:36658
    5Stockport County33168946:41556
    6Huddersfield341571255:451052
    7Reading331212948:43548
    8Stevenage321391035:34148
    9Wycombe3312111046:361047
    10Luton331371342:40246
    11Plymouth331441549:49046
    12Peterborough341431749:48145
    13AFC Wimbledon321261439:46-742
    14Exeter321181337:34341
    15Barnsley301181150:52-241
    16Mansfield311091237:35239
    17Burton331091438:46-839
    18Doncaster321161536:51-1539
    19Blackpool331071640:50-1037
    20Leyton Orient321061643:53-1036
    21Wigan328101434:46-1234
    22Northampton34971830:46-1634
    23Rotherham32871732:47-1531
    24Port Vale31681725:43-1826

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