Result
2:4
17/03/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 38
- Referee: Dale A. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.86 | 2.82 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (233/368) | 67% (202/303) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.86 | 2.82 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.66 | 3.28 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 34 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (233/368) | 67% (202/303) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (36/98) | 28% (20/72) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (84/147) | 61% (59/97) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (10/32) | 14% (1/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 1.07 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 37 | 30 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 56% (5/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 67 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 39 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 17 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.28 | 1.66 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.72 | -0.34 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 15', 0 - 1, Ballard D. ⚽,
- 39', 1 - 1, Nkeng R. ⚽, Bugiel O. (A),
- 45+1', 2 - 1, Nkeng R. ⚽, Seddon S. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 46', O'Neill O. ↓, Happe D. ↑,
- 46', Casey K. ↓, Archibald T. ↑,
- 48', 2 - 2, Ballard D. ⚽, Wellens C. (A),
- 53', Happe D. 🟨,
- 57', 2 - 3, Morris J. ⚽,
- 68', Mitchell D. ↓, El Mizouni I. ↑,
- 70', 2 - 4, Ballard D. ⚽,
- 74', Nelson Z. ↓, Reeves J. ↑,
- 74', Bugiel O. ↓, Stevens M. ↑,
- 74', Hippolyte M. ↓, Hackford A. ↑,
- 83', Ballard D. ↓, Perkins S. ↑,
- 84', Abdulai A. ↓, Fawunmi F. ↑,
- 90+5', Browne M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
AFC Wimbledon
40.3% | Draw
29.4% | Leyton Orient
30.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AFC Wimbledon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)Leyton Orient has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leyton Orient than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
AFC Wimbledon - Leyton Orient Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.33 ↓
(2.34) |
3.17 ↓
(3.2) |
3.08 ↑
(2.84) |
7%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for AFC Wimbledon - Leyton Orient?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Wimbledon will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Leyton Orient will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wimbledon: 35% – 88%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Wimbledon (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 13 and 19).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wimbledon won 3.
- Wimbledon is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Leyton Orient has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Wimbledon might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Wimbledon: Sasu A.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Leyton Orient: Connolly A.
(Injury)
Edmonds-Green R.
(Inactive)
Graham J.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Wimbledon: Stewart L.
(Inactive)
Tilley J.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Leyton Orient: Clare S.
(Injury)
Forrester W.
(Inactive)
Oluwayemi T.
(Inactive)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Wimbledon won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:5. (average 1.4:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Wimbledon won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:0. (average 2:0).
How many head-to-head matches has AFC Wimbledon won against Leyton Orient?
AFC Wimbledon has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Leyton Orient won against AFC Wimbledon?
Leyton Orient has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AFC Wimbledon - Leyton Orient were as follows:
01.01.2026
Leyton Orient
-
AFC Wimbledon
1:3
04.02.2023
Leyton Orient
-
AFC Wimbledon
1:0
08.11.2022
AFC Wimbledon
-
Leyton Orient
2:0
Latest results of AFC Wimbledon
Latest results of Leyton Orient
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln | 38 | 24 | 9 | 5 | 71:34 | 37 | 81 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 38 | 23 | 7 | 8 | 73:41 | 32 | 76 |
| 3 | Bolton | 38 | 17 | 15 | 6 | 55:38 | 17 | 66 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 48:42 | 6 | 65 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 36 | 17 | 8 | 11 | 50:47 | 3 | 59 |
| 6 | Reading | 38 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 57:50 | 7 | 58 |
| 7 | Huddersfield | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 58:48 | 10 | 57 |
| 8 | Stevenage | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 40:38 | 2 | 57 |
| 9 | Wycombe | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 55:41 | 14 | 56 |
| 10 | Plymouth | 38 | 17 | 5 | 16 | 57:53 | 4 | 56 |
| 11 | Luton | 38 | 15 | 9 | 14 | 51:48 | 3 | 54 |
| 12 | Barnsley | 36 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 59:59 | 0 | 50 |
| 13 | Peterborough | 37 | 15 | 4 | 18 | 56:51 | 5 | 49 |
| 14 | AFC Wimbledon | 37 | 14 | 7 | 16 | 48:54 | -6 | 49 |
| 15 | Mansfield | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43:40 | 3 | 46 |
| 16 | Leyton Orient | 37 | 13 | 6 | 18 | 53:62 | -9 | 45 |
| 17 | Doncaster | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 40:59 | -19 | 44 |
| 18 | Burton | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 42:53 | -11 | 43 |
| 19 | Exeter | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 42:50 | -8 | 42 |
| 20 | Wigan | 37 | 10 | 12 | 15 | 39:51 | -12 | 42 |
| 21 | Blackpool | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 46:63 | -17 | 41 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 37 | 9 | 9 | 19 | 35:55 | -20 | 36 |
| 23 | Northampton | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 32:52 | -20 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 35 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 28:49 | -21 | 28 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
