Result
2:1
13/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 8
- Referee: Swabey L. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.63 | 1.02 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (258/336) | 72% (274/383) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.63 | 1.02 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.77 | 0.54 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (258/336) | 72% (274/383) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (26/61) | 44% (27/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (83/126) | 59% (79/135) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (6/20) | 26% (6/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 0.71 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 31 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 86% (6/7) | 65% (11/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 42 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.54 | 1.77 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.46 | -0.23 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 2', Jules Z. 🟨,
- 7', Spence K. 🟨,
- 33', Johnson R. 🟨,
- 38', 0 - 1, Hugill J. ⚽, Kaleta M. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 50', 1 - 1, Reeves J. ⚽, Bugiel O. (A),
- 57', Spence K. ↓, Martha A. ↑,
- 63', Bauer P. ↓, Harbottle R. ↑,
- 63', McWilliams S. ↓, Yearwood D. ↑,
- 67', Hugill J. 🟨,
- 67', 2 - 1, Stevens M. (Pen),
- 79', Harbottle R. 🟨,
- 80', Bugiel O. ↓, Hackford A. ↑,
- 80', Hippolyte M. ↓, Maycock C. ↑,
- 83', Powell J. ↓, Benson J. ↑,
- 83', Jules Z. ↓, Kayode J. ↑,
- 88', Stevens M. ↓, Orsi-Dadomo D. ↑,
Chances of winning
AFC Wimbledon
37.4% | Draw
30.5% | Rotherham United
32.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AFC Wimbledon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that AFC Wimbledon's form might have worsened.Rotherham United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (+7.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AFC Wimbledon, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rotherham United than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
AFC Wimbledon - Rotherham United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.82 ↑
(2.07) |
3.29 ↓
(3.4) |
3.06 ↓
(3.34) |
-1.4%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for AFC Wimbledon - Rotherham United?
Users Predictions:
AFC Wimbledon will win
(13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): AFC Wimbledon will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 15 and 17).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wimbledon won 0.
- The current form of both teams is below expectations.
- Wimbledon could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Wimbledon: Browne M.
(Red Card)
Lewis J.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Rotherham: Agbaire L.
(Contusion)
Hatton B.
(Hamstring Injury)
Nombe S.
(Hamstring Injury)
Raggett S.
(Injury)
Sherif M.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Rotherham: Benson J.
(Calf Injury)
Hall D.
(Injury)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Wimbledon won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 0.7:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Wimbledon won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 0.8:1).
How many head-to-head matches has AFC Wimbledon won against Rotherham United?
AFC Wimbledon has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rotherham United won against AFC Wimbledon?
Rotherham United has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AFC Wimbledon - Rotherham United were as follows:
Latest results of AFC Wimbledon
Latest results of Rotherham United
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Stevenage | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 17:8 | 9 | 25 |
| 2 | Bradford City | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 20:13 | 7 | 24 |
| 3 | Cardiff | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 19:9 | 10 | 23 |
| 4 | Stockport County | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 18:14 | 4 | 22 |
| 5 | AFC Wimbledon | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 22 |
| 6 | Lincoln | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 17:10 | 7 | 21 |
| 7 | Huddersfield | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 19 |
| 8 | Bolton | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 17 |
| 9 | Barnsley | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 17 |
| 10 | Doncaster | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 11:16 | -5 | 17 |
| 11 | Luton | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14:13 | 1 | 16 |
| 12 | Mansfield | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 16:14 | 2 | 15 |
| 13 | Leyton Orient | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 20:22 | -2 | 14 |
| 14 | Northampton | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 8:10 | -2 | 14 |
| 15 | Port Vale | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 11:11 | 0 | 13 |
| 16 | Exeter | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 12:13 | -1 | 13 |
| 17 | Wigan | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15:17 | -2 | 13 |
| 18 | Plymouth | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16:19 | -3 | 13 |
| 19 | Wycombe | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14:15 | -1 | 12 |
| 20 | Burton | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10:15 | -5 | 12 |
| 21 | Reading | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12:16 | -4 | 11 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11:16 | -5 | 11 |
| 23 | Blackpool | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 10:20 | -10 | 8 |
| 24 | Peterborough | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8:20 | -12 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
