Akron Tolyatti vs Sochi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
21/11/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 16
  • Referee: Cheban S. (Rus)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaQ Sport Asia
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 3
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 2
russiaRussiaMatch! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.001.70
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
1014
Shots on target
74
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
13
Passes
78% (327/418)81% (349/430)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.001.70
xG on target (xGOT)
2.040.70
Total shots
1014
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
39
Blocked Shots
01
Shots inside the Box
58
Shots outside the Box
55
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
13
Touches in opposition box
2425
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1514
Passes
78% (327/418)81% (349/430)
Long passes
44% (27/61)63% (43/68)
Passes in final third
58% (82/141)74% (84/113)
Crosses
19% (3/16)50% (7/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.980.89
Throw-ins
1815
Fouls
1415
Tackles
67% (8/12)75% (9/12)
Duels won
4937
Clearances
1636
Interceptions
115
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
0.702.04
Goals prevented
-1.30-0.96

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 35', 0 - 1, Zinkovskiy A. , Volkov S. (A),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 46', Bistrovic K. , Rocha Y. ,
  • 46', Escoval R. , Loncar S. ,
  • 46', Savichev K. , Fernandez R. ,
  • 52', Kovalenko A. , Osipov A. ,
  • 53', Boldyrev M. 🟨,
  • 56', 0 - 2, Saavedra I. ,
  • 58', Boldyrev M. , Dzyuba A. ,
  • 59', Zinkovskiy A. 🟨,
  • 63', 1 - 2, Pestryakov D. , Djakovac I. (A),
  • 65', 2 - 2, Pestryakov D. , Dzyuba A. (A),
  • 66', Bakaev S. , Sevikyan E. ,
  • 78', Kamano F. , Bart R. ,
  • 80', 3 - 2, Bokoev M. , Dzyuba A. (A),
  • 84', Volkov S. , Zaika K. ,

Chances of winning


Akron Tolyatti
47.2%
Draw
27.1%
Sochi
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.1% 26.6% 24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8% 27.3% 25%

Akron Tolyatti - Sochi Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.06
(1.95)
3.58
(3.6)
3.77
(3.94)
3.2%
(4.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Akron Tolyatti - Sochi?
  • Users Predictions: Akron Tolyatti will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 68.36%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL).
    • Akron is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Sochi has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Akron has had a series of away games.
    • Akron will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Akron won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Akron won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Akron Tolyatti - Sochi were as follows:
    26.07.2025 Sochi - Akron Tolyatti 0:4
    21.02.2023 Akron Tolyatti - Sochi 1:3
    Latest results of Akron Tolyatti
    Latest results of Sochi
    08.11.2025 Sochi - Rostov 0:1
    02.11.2025 Orenburg - Sochi 3:1
    27.10.2025 Akhmat Grozny - Sochi 2:4
    23.10.2025 Krasnodar - Sochi 3:0
    19.10.2025 Sochi - Zenit 0:3
    Russian Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Krasnodar18124237:122540
    2Zenit18116134:122239
    3Lokomotiv Moscow18107139:231637
    4CSKA Moscow18113430:171336
    5Baltika1898124:71735
    6Spartak Moscow1885526:23329
    7Rubin Kazan1865716:22-623
    8Akhmat Grozny1864822:25-322
    9Akron Togliatti1856722:26-421
    10Dynamo Moscow1856727:26121
    11FK Rostov1856715:20-521
    12Krylya Sovetov1845920:33-1317
    13Dynamo Makhachkala183698:21-1315
    14Pari NN18421212:28-1614
    15Orenburg18261017:29-1212
    16Sochi18231316:41-259

          Premier League (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ FNL