Result
3:2
21/11/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 16
- Referee: Cheban S. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | Q Sport Asia |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 2 |
 Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 1.70 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (327/418) | 81% (349/430) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 1.70 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.04 | 0.70 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (327/418) | 81% (349/430) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (27/61) | 63% (43/68) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (82/141) | 74% (84/113) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (3/16) | 50% (7/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 0.89 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.70 | 2.04 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.30 | -0.96 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 35', 0 - 1, Zinkovskiy A. ⚽, Volkov S. (A),
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 46', Bistrovic K. ↓, Rocha Y. ↑,
- 46', Escoval R. ↓, Loncar S. ↑,
- 46', Savichev K. ↓, Fernandez R. ↑,
- 52', Kovalenko A. ↓, Osipov A. ↑,
- 53', Boldyrev M. 🟨,
- 56', 0 - 2, Saavedra I. ⚽,
- 58', Boldyrev M. ↓, Dzyuba A. ↑,
- 59', Zinkovskiy A. 🟨,
- 63', 1 - 2, Pestryakov D. ⚽, Djakovac I. (A),
- 65', 2 - 2, Pestryakov D. ⚽, Dzyuba A. (A),
- 66', Bakaev S. ↓, Sevikyan E. ↑,
- 78', Kamano F. ↓, Bart R. ↑,
- 80', 3 - 2, Bokoev M. ⚽, Dzyuba A. (A),
- 84', Volkov S. ↓, Zaika K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Akron Tolyatti
47.2% | Draw
27.1% | Sochi
25.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Akron Tolyatti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)Sochi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Akron Tolyatti than the current prediction. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sochi than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Akron Tolyatti - Sochi Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.06 ↑
(1.95) |
3.58 ↓
(3.6) |
3.77 ↓
(3.94) |
3.2%
(4.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Akron Tolyatti - Sochi?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Akron (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Akron Tolyatti will win
(8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL).
- Akron is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Sochi has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, Akron has had a series of away games.
- Akron will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Akron won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Akron won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Akron Tolyatti won against Sochi?
Akron Tolyatti has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sochi won against Akron Tolyatti?
Sochi has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Akron Tolyatti - Sochi were as follows:
26.07.2025
Sochi
-
Akron Tolyatti
0:4
21.02.2023
Akron Tolyatti
-
Sochi
1:3
Latest results of Akron Tolyatti
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Krasnodar | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 39:13 | 26 | 43 |
| 2 | Zenit | 19 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 35:12 | 23 | 42 |
| 3 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 19 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 41:24 | 17 | 40 |
| 4 | CSKA Moscow | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 30:18 | 12 | 36 |
| 5 | Baltika | 19 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 24:8 | 16 | 35 |
| 6 | Spartak Moscow | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 29:25 | 4 | 32 |
| 7 | Akhmat Grozny | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23:25 | -2 | 25 |
| 8 | Dynamo Moscow | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 31:26 | 5 | 24 |
| 9 | Rubin Kazan | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 17:24 | -7 | 23 |
| 10 | Akron Togliatti | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 22:28 | -6 | 21 |
| 11 | FK Rostov | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 16:22 | -6 | 21 |
| 12 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 10:22 | -12 | 18 |
| 13 | Krylya Sovetov | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 20:37 | -17 | 17 |
| 14 | Orenburg | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 19:29 | -10 | 15 |
| 15 | Pari NN | 19 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 13:30 | -17 | 14 |
| 16 | Sochi | 19 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 18:44 | -26 | 9 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL
