Result
1:1
02/02/2026 at 07:50 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Division 1 - Round 20
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | JACO Middle East |
 Saudi-arabia | Thmanyah |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 0.43 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (320/397) | 81% (286/351) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 0.43 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 0.13 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 7 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (320/397) | 81% (286/351) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (32/67) | 42% (24/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (58/100) | 62% (42/68) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 8% (1/13) | 11% (1/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.15 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 94% (16/17) | 40% (4/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 31 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.13 | 1.13 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.87 | 0.13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 27', Pinero F. 🟨,
- 32', Al Sunaytan I. 🟨,
- 45+3', Ousmane Pato 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Al Khamali B. ↓, Jawhar M. ↑,
- 50', Narvaez J. ↓, Al Shanqiti W. ↑,
- 54', Ousmane Pato 🟨,
- 58', 1 - 0, Gano Z. ⚽, Bouzok Y. (A),
- 67', Al-Eissa H. ↓, Jaafari I. ↑,
- 72', Sane M. ↓, Al Malki M. ↑,
- 78', Gano Z. ↓, Sunbul Y. ↑,
- 78', Shami A. ↓, Al Shaikhi A. ↑,
- 81', Sharahili R. ↓, Al Muwallad S. ↑,
- 82', Moya J. ↓, Al Nakhli M. ↑,
- 82', Al Yousif A. 🟨,
- 90+3', Al Salouli S. ↓, Al Shuqayran T. ↑,
- 90+3', Bouzok Y. ↓, Al Shaikh M. ↑,
- 90+3', 1 - 1, Al Malki M. ⚽, Al Sunaytan I. (A),
- 90+3', Al Malki M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Al Raed
48.7% | Draw
26.8% | Al-Bukayriyah
24.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al Raed has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al Raed's form might have worsened.Al-Bukayriyah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Raed than the current prediction. (+7.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al Raed, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Bukayriyah than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
Al Raed - Al-Bukayriyah Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.87 ↑
(1.68) |
3.4 ↓
(3.73) |
3.72 ↓
(4.38) |
9.7%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Al Raed - Al-Bukayriyah?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Al-Bukayriyah (1.93) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Users Predictions:
Al Raed will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Al Raed will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Al Raed (votes: 2 - 50%). Al-Bukayriyah (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 8 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ))
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- In this match, Al Raed is a strong favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Al Raed won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Al Raed won against Al-Bukayriyah?
Al Raed has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Bukayriyah won against Al Raed?
Al-Bukayriyah has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al Raed - Al-Bukayriyah were as follows:
29.09.2025
Al-Bukayriyah
-
Al Raed
0:1
Latest results of Al Raed
Latest results of Al-Bukayriyah
Saudi Division 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Abha | 25 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 53:20 | 33 | 62 |
| 2 | Al Diriyah | 26 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 62:27 | 35 | 56 |
| 3 | Al-Ula | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 55:25 | 30 | 52 |
| 4 | Al Jabalain | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 49:30 | 19 | 49 |
| 5 | Al Orubah | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 41:33 | 8 | 47 |
| 6 | Al-Faisaly | 26 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 53:32 | 21 | 46 |
| 7 | Al Raed | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 48:35 | 13 | 41 |
| 8 | Al Bukiryah | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 29:36 | -7 | 37 |
| 9 | Al Zulfi | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 32:32 | 0 | 35 |
| 10 | Al Taee | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 38:39 | -1 | 32 |
| 11 | Al Wehda | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 39:44 | -5 | 32 |
| 12 | Al Anwar | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 35:38 | -3 | 31 |
| 13 | Jeddah | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 28:36 | -8 | 31 |
| 14 | Al Jandal | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 22:45 | -23 | 26 |
| 15 | Al Adalah | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 32:58 | -26 | 17 |
| 16 | Al Arabi | 26 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 12:44 | -32 | 16 |
| 17 | Al Batin | 26 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 27:53 | -26 | 14 |
| 18 | Al Jubail | 25 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 22:50 | -28 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Saudi Professional League
Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation
