Damac vs Al-Najma – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:0
22/11/2025 at 08:40 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Saudi Professional League - Round 9
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaJACO Middle East
chinaChinaQQ Sports
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaThmanyah

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.450.41
Ball Possession
68%32%
Total shots
159
Shots on target
31
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
136
Passes
86% (397/463)70% (152/218)
Yellow Cards
51
Expected Goals (xG)
1.450.41
xG on target (xGOT)
0.130.23
Total shots
159
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
66
Blocked Shots
62
Shots inside the Box
97
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
136
Touches in opposition box
2316
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
14
Free Kicks
917
Passes
86% (397/463)70% (152/218)
Long passes
80% (57/71)36% (20/55)
Passes in final third
71% (107/151)52% (28/54)
Crosses
33% (11/33)29% (4/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.160.40
Throw-ins
2114
Fouls
179
Tackles
67% (10/15)38% (6/16)
Duels won
3943
Clearances
1430
Interceptions
67
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.230.13
Goals prevented
0.230.13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', David Kaiki , Alioui N. ,
  • 53', Meite Y. 🟨,
  • 56', Meite Y. , Al Ghamdi H. ,
  • 60', Al Qahtani A. 🟨,
  • 67', Quioto R. , Boutobba B. ,
  • 67', Al Tulayhi R. , Al Harabi A. ,
  • 69', Al Qahtani A. , Al Hawsawi S. ,
  • 71', Harkass J. 🟨,
  • 74', Flores D. 🟨,
  • 87', Jasim A. , Al Dubais H. ,
  • 90+3', Alioui N. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Al Shammeri A. , Al Mutairi F. ,
  • 90+7', Al Anazi D. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Damac
50.2%
Draw
26.5%
Al-Najma
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.5% 27.1% 30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3% 24.4% 33.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Damac has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Damac's performance.
  • Al-Najma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al-Najma might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Damac than the current prediction. (-11.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Damac that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Najma than the current prediction. (+10.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al-Najma could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Damac - Al-Najma Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.86
    (2.18)
    3.47
    (3.42)
    3.97
    (3.04)
    7.8%
    (8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Damac - Al-Najma?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Damac will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).
    • Damac has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Al-Najma has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Damac is the team to beat.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Damac won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Damac - Al-Najma were as follows:
    23.09.2025 Al-Najma - Damac 2:1
    25.09.2024 Al-Najma - Damac 2:0
    Latest results of Damac
    06.11.2025 Al-Riyadh - Damac 1:1
    30.10.2025 Damac - Al Fateh 1:1
    25.10.2025 Al-Shabab Riyadh - Damac 1:1
    19.10.2025 Al-Taawoun - Damac 6:1
    26.09.2025 Damac - Al-Ettifaq Dammam 1:3
    Latest results of Al-Najma
    07.11.2025 Al-Najma - Al-Hilal 2:4
    31.10.2025 Al Akhdoud - Al-Najma 2:1
    27.10.2025 Al-Kholood - Al-Najma 1:0
    23.10.2025 Al-Najma - Al-Ahli Jeddah 0:1
    17.10.2025 Al-Kholood - Al-Najma 5:1
    Saudi Professional League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Nassr24201365:194661
    2Al Ahli SC24185146:153159
    3Al Hilal24177062:233958
    4Al Qadsiah24166255:223354
    5Al Ittihad24126639:281142
    6Al Taawon24125742:291341
    7Al Ettifaq24115835:42-738
    8Neom SC24951029:33-432
    9Al Fateh24771032:43-1128
    10Al Hazem24771026:44-1828
    11Al Khaleej24761142:38427
    12Al Fayha24761128:41-1327
    13Al Shabab24671130:38-825
    14Al Kholood24811532:42-1025
    15Al Riyadh24371422:45-2316
    16Damac242101218:41-2316
    17Al Okhdood24341722:50-2813
    18Al Najma24151822:54-328

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