Result
0:0
22/11/2025 at 08:40 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Saudi Professional League - Round 9
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Asia | JACO Middle East |
China | QQ Sports |
Saudi-arabia | Thmanyah |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 0.41 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 68% | 32% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (397/463) | 70% (152/218) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 0.41 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.13 | 0.23 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (397/463) | 70% (152/218) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 80% (57/71) | 36% (20/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (107/151) | 52% (28/54) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (11/33) | 29% (4/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 0.40 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 38% (6/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.23 | 0.13 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.23 | 0.13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', David Kaiki ↓, Alioui N. ↑,
- 53', Meite Y. 🟨,
- 56', Meite Y. ↓, Al Ghamdi H. ↑,
- 60', Al Qahtani A. 🟨,
- 67', Quioto R. ↓, Boutobba B. ↑,
- 67', Al Tulayhi R. ↓, Al Harabi A. ↑,
- 69', Al Qahtani A. ↓, Al Hawsawi S. ↑,
- 71', Harkass J. 🟨,
- 74', Flores D. 🟨,
- 87', Jasim A. ↓, Al Dubais H. ↑,
- 90+3', Alioui N. 🟨,
- 90+4', Al Shammeri A. ↓, Al Mutairi F. ↑,
- 90+7', Al Anazi D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Damac 50.2% | Draw 26.5% | Al-Najma 23.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Damac has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Damac's performance.Al-Najma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al-Najma might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Damac than the current prediction. (-11.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Damac that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Najma than the current prediction. (+10.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al-Najma could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Damac - Al-Najma Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.86 ↓ (2.18) |
3.47 ↑ (3.42) |
3.97 ↑ (3.04) |
7.8% (8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Damac - Al-Najma?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Damac will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).
- Damac has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Al-Najma has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Damac is the team to beat.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Damac won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Damac won against Al-Najma?
Damac has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Najma won against Damac?
Al-Najma has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Damac - Al-Najma were as follows:
23.09.2025
Al-Najma
-
Damac
2:1
25.09.2024
Al-Najma
-
Damac
2:0
Latest results of Al-Najma
Saudi Professional League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Nassr | 24 | 20 | 1 | 3 | 65:19 | 46 | 61 |
| 2 | Al Ahli SC | 24 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 46:15 | 31 | 59 |
| 3 | Al Hilal | 24 | 17 | 7 | 0 | 62:23 | 39 | 58 |
| 4 | Al Qadsiah | 24 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 55:22 | 33 | 54 |
| 5 | Al Ittihad | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 39:28 | 11 | 42 |
| 6 | Al Taawon | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 42:29 | 13 | 41 |
| 7 | Al Ettifaq | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 35:42 | -7 | 38 |
| 8 | Neom SC | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 29:33 | -4 | 32 |
| 9 | Al Fateh | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 32:43 | -11 | 28 |
| 10 | Al Hazem | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 26:44 | -18 | 28 |
| 11 | Al Khaleej | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 42:38 | 4 | 27 |
| 12 | Al Fayha | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 28:41 | -13 | 27 |
| 13 | Al Shabab | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 30:38 | -8 | 25 |
| 14 | Al Kholood | 24 | 8 | 1 | 15 | 32:42 | -10 | 25 |
| 15 | Al Riyadh | 24 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 22:45 | -23 | 16 |
| 16 | Damac | 24 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 18:41 | -23 | 16 |
| 17 | Al Okhdood | 24 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 22:50 | -28 | 13 |
| 18 | Al Najma | 24 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 22:54 | -32 | 8 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Division 1