Result
2:3
22/04/2025 at 12:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Saudi Professional League - Round 29
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Afghanistan | Meraj Sport, Meraj TV, Solh Sports 1 |
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 1, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football |
 Asia | GOBX Arabic |
 Australia | 10 Play |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Belgium | DAZN 1 |
 Brazil | BandSports, Canal GOAT |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 2 |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 Czech-republic | Sport 1 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Ecuador | El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Finland | V Sport+, V Sport Ultra |
 France | CANAL+ Foot |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 3 |
 Hong-kong | NOW Sports 3 |
 Iceland | Viaplay, Vodafone Sport |
 India | Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2 |
 Mexico | Azteca Deportes |
 Mozambique | Startimes Mania |
 New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Poland | Polsat Sport 2 |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 Puerto-rico | Fox Sports 2 |
 Romania | Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2 |
 Saudi-arabia | Shahid VIP, SSC Sports 1 |
 South-korea | SPOTV, SPOTV Now |
 Spain | Marca |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | S Sport+ |
 United-kingdom | DAZN 1 UK |
 Usa | Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports 1, Fox Sports 2, Foxsports.com |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 1.08 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 34% | 66% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (199/250) | 88% (426/485) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 1.08 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 2.66 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 38 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (199/250) | 88% (426/485) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (37/65) | 50% (14/28) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (34/57) | 77% (125/162) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (3/11) | 12% (3/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.30 | 1.68 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 85% (11/13) | 71% (12/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 48 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 42 | 10 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.66 | 1.19 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.34 | -0.81 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 18', 1 - 0, Solan R. ⚽,
- 25', 1 - 1, Laporte A. ⚽,
- 39', Al Najdi S. 🟨,
- 43', Al Nemer M. 🟨,
- 45+3', Al Subiani F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Chafai F. ↓, Al Khaibari M. ↑,
- 46', Al Najdi S. ↓, Boushal N. ↑,
- 54', Al Subiani F. ↓, Fallatah A. ↑,
- 56', Bedrane A. 🟨,
- 57', Boushal N. 🟨,
- 66', Duran J. 🟨,
- 66', Yahya A. ↓, Otavio ↑,
- 66', Al Khaibari A. ↓, Al Hassan A. ↑,
- 66', Simakan M. ↓, Lajami A. ↑,
- 70', 1 - 2, Al Hassan A. ⚽, Otavio (A),
- 73', 2 - 2, Stanciu N. ⚽, Al Anazi D. (A),
- 75', Solan R. ↓, Al Hawsawi S. ↑,
- 76', Al Anazi D. ↓, Al Ghamdi H. ↑,
- 82', Angelo ↓, Marran M. ↑,
- 85', Al Ghannam S. 🟨,
- 90+4', 2 - 3, Al Ghannam S. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Damac
13.4% | Draw
19.2% | Al-Nassr Riyadh
67.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Damac has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Al-Nassr Riyadh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Damac than the current prediction. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Nassr Riyadh than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al-Nassr Riyadh could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Damac - Al-Nassr Riyadh Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.99 ↓
(7) |
4.91 ↓
(5.4) |
1.39 ↑
(1.32) |
6.6%
(8.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Damac - Al-Nassr Riyadh?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Damac will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Al-Nassr will win (votes: 9 - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Nassr: 71.4% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Al-Nassr Riyadh will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Damac won 0.
- Recent matches Damac is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Al-Nassr is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- In this match Al-Nassr is indisputable favorite.
- Last 12 head-to-head matches Damac won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 11:27 (average 0.9:2.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Damac won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6:13 (average 1:2.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Damac won against Al-Nassr Riyadh?
Damac has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Nassr Riyadh won against Damac?
Al-Nassr Riyadh has won 5 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Damac - Al-Nassr Riyadh were as follows:
29.11.2024
Al-Nassr Riyadh
-
Damac
2:0
05.04.2024
Damac
-
Al-Nassr Riyadh
0:1
21.10.2023
Al-Nassr Riyadh
-
Damac
2:1
25.02.2023
Damac
-
Al-Nassr Riyadh
0:3
10.09.2022
Al-Nassr Riyadh
-
Damac
2:1
Latest results of Al-Nassr Riyadh
Saudi Professional League Table
2024/25 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Ittihad | 34 | 26 | 5 | 3 | 79:35 | 44 | 83 |
| 2 | Al Hilal | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 95:41 | 54 | 75 |
| 3 | Al Nassr | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 80:38 | 42 | 70 |
| 4 | Al Qadisiya | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 53:31 | 22 | 68 |
| 5 | Al Ahli SC | 34 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 69:36 | 33 | 67 |
| 6 | Al Shabab | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 65:41 | 24 | 60 |
| 7 | Al Ettifaq | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 44:45 | -1 | 50 |
| 8 | Al Taawon | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 40:39 | 1 | 45 |
| 9 | Al Kholood | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 42:64 | -22 | 40 |
| 10 | Al Fateh | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 47:61 | -14 | 39 |
| 11 | Al Riyadh | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 37:52 | -15 | 38 |
| 12 | Al Khaleej | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 40:57 | -17 | 37 |
| 13 | Al Fayha | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 27:49 | -22 | 36 |
| 14 | Damac | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 37:50 | -13 | 35 |
| 15 | Al Okhdood | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 33:56 | -23 | 34 |
| 16 | Al Wehda | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 42:67 | -25 | 33 |
| 17 | Al Orubah | 34 | 9 | 3 | 22 | 31:74 | -43 | 30 |
| 18 | Al Raed | 34 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 41:66 | -25 | 21 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
