Result
2:0
26/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Saudi Professional League - Round 34
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Afghanistan | Solh Sports 1 |
Africa | New World Sport 3 |
Albania | SuperSport 5 |
Asia | GOBX Arabic |
Austria | DAZN |
Belgium | DAZN 1 |
Brazil | Canal GOAT |
Bulgaria | Max Sport 3 |
Canada | DAZN Canada |
China | ZhiBo8 |
Croatia | SportKlub 4 |
Czech-republic | Sport 1 |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Finland | Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch |
Greece | COSMOTE Sport 6 |
Iceland | Viaplay |
Mozambique | Startimes Mania |
New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand |
Norway | Viaplay |
Poland | Polsat Sport Premium 1 |
Portugal | Sport TV6 |
Romania | Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4, Prima TV |
Saudi-arabia | Shahid VIP, SSC Sports 1 |
Serbia | Arena Sport 5 |
Slovenia | SportKlub 6 |
South-korea | SPOTV Now |
Sweden | Viaplay |
Turkey | S Sport+ |
United-kingdom | DAZN 1 UK |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.09 | 0.15 |
Ball Possession |
---|
50% | 50% |
Total shots |
---|
16 | 4 |
Shots on target |
---|
8 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 2 |
Passes |
---|
87% (417/482) | 85% (410/483) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.09 | 0.15 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.25 | 0.02 |
Total shots |
---|
16 | 4 |
Shots on target |
---|
8 | 1 |
Shots off target |
---|
6 | 0 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
13 | 2 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
3 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
32 | 11 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
3 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
12 | 16 |
Passes |
---|
87% (417/482) | 85% (410/483) |
Long passes |
---|
60% (24/40) | 52% (35/67) |
Passes in final third |
---|
78% (116/149) | 64% (57/89) |
Crosses |
---|
38% (5/13) | 15% (2/13) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.35 | 0.21 |
Throw-ins |
---|
16 | 27 |
Fouls |
---|
16 | 12 |
Tackles |
---|
52% (12/23) | 73% (16/22) |
Duels won |
---|
53 | 51 |
Clearances |
---|
11 | 13 |
Interceptions |
---|
16 | 9 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 6 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.02 | 2.25 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.02 | 0.25 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 25', 1 - 0, Mitrovic A. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Abu Al Shamat M. ↓, Mahnashi I. ↑,
- 46', Thakri J. ↓, Qasem M. ↑,
- 62', Puertas C. ↓, Rajab S. ↑,
- 69', 2 - 0, Milinkovic-Savic S. ⚽, Al Dawsari S. (A),
- 72', Al Dawsari K. 🟨,
- 73', Aubameyang P. ↓, Fernandez E. ↑,
- 73', Al Qahtani H. ↓, Al Dosari A. ↑,
- 89', Al Dawsari N. ↓, Hadhood A. ↑,
- 90+4', Mitrovic A. ↓, Al Ghamil T. M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Al-Hilal 66.4% | Draw 18.5% | Al-Qadisiya 15.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Hilal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Hilal's performance.Al-Qadisiya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al-Qadisiya might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Hilal than the current prediction. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Qadisiya than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
Al-Hilal - Al-Qadisiya Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.44 ↓ (1.6) |
5.13 ↑ (4.39) |
6.22 ↑ (4.46) |
4.9% (7.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Al-Hilal - Al-Qadisiya?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Al-Hilal will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Al-Qadisiya will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Hilal: 44.1% – 94.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Hilal (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Al-Qadisiya (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 3).
- Al-Hilal is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Al-Qadisiya is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Al-Hilal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Al-Hilal is the team to beat.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Al-Hilal won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Al-Hilal won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Hilal won against Al-Qadisiya?
Al-Hilal has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Qadisiya won against Al-Hilal?
Al-Qadisiya has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Hilal - Al-Qadisiya were as follows:
27.01.2025
Al-Qadisiya
-
Al-Hilal
2:1
Latest results of Al-Hilal
Latest results of Al-Qadisiya
Saudi Professional League Table
2024/25 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Al Ittihad | 34 | 26 | 5 | 3 | 79:35 | 44 | 83 |
2 | Al Hilal | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 95:41 | 54 | 75 |
3 | Al Nassr | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 80:38 | 42 | 70 |
4 | Al Qadisiya | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 53:31 | 22 | 68 |
5 | Al Ahli SC | 34 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 69:36 | 33 | 67 |
6 | Al Shabab | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 65:41 | 24 | 60 |
7 | Al Ettifaq | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 44:45 | -1 | 50 |
8 | Al Taawon | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 40:39 | 1 | 45 |
9 | Al Kholood | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 42:64 | -22 | 40 |
10 | Al Fateh | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 47:61 | -14 | 39 |
11 | Al Riyadh | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 37:52 | -15 | 38 |
12 | Al Khaleej | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 40:57 | -17 | 37 |
13 | Al Fayha | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 27:49 | -22 | 36 |
14 | Damac | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 37:50 | -13 | 35 |
15 | Al Okhdood | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 33:56 | -23 | 34 |
16 | Al Wehda | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 42:67 | -25 | 33 |
17 | Al Orubah | 34 | 9 | 3 | 22 | 31:74 | -43 | 30 |
18 | Al Raed | 34 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 41:66 | -25 | 21 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Division 1