Result
2:2
29/01/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Saudi Professional League - Round 19
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Africa | Azam Sports 3, DStv Now, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football, SupeSport ESPN 1, ZAP |
Angola | Z Sports 1 |
Asia | JACO Middle East |
Austria | DAZN |
Brazil | Canal GOAT |
China | QQ Sports |
France | DAZN France |
Germany | DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
Greece | COSMOTE Sport 9 |
Hong-kong | on.cc |
Hungary | Spiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium |
India | FanCode, FanCode |
Kenya | Gotv |
Mexico | FOX One |
Mozambique | Startimes Mania |
Nigeria | SupeSport ESPN 1 |
Portugal | Sport TV3 |
Romania | Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2 |
Russia | Okko Sport |
Saudi-arabia | Thmanyah App, Thmanyah |
South-africa | SupeSport ESPN |
Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones 2, Movistar Plus+, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 2 |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Thailand | True ID, True Premier Football 4 |
Turkey | S Sport+ |
Ukraine | Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports Premium |
Usa | Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports 2, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 2.60 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (252/320) | 83% (329/396) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 2.60 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.69 | 2.57 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 14 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (252/320) | 83% (329/396) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (27/51) | 57% (34/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (55/87) | 74% (72/97) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (2/10) | 17% (5/29) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 1.36 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (6/8) | 67% (12/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 33 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.57 | 1.69 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.57 | -0.31 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 8', 0 - 1, Neves R. ⚽,
- 10', 1 - 1, Nandez N. ⚽, Al Juwayr M. (A),
- 16', Malcom 🟨,
- 22', Kanno M. 🟨,
- 22', Nandez N. 🟨,
- 44', Thakri J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 59', Tambakti H. 🟨,
- 67', Kanno M. ↓, Al Dawsari N. ↑,
- 76', 2 - 1, Quinones J. ⚽, Al Juwayr M. (A),
- 80', Al Juwayr M. ↓, Hazazi A. A. ↑,
- 82', Al Yami H. ↓, Darisi A. ↑,
- 82', Tambakti H. ↓, Marcos Leonardo ↑,
- 89', Bonsu Baah C. 🟨,
- 90', 2 - 2, Al Dawsari S. ⚽,
- 90+1', Bonsu Baah C. ↓, Al Shahrani Y. ↑,
Chances of winning
Al-Qadisiya 30.8% | Draw 23.6% | Al-Hilal 45.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Qadisiya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)Al-Hilal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Qadisiya than the current prediction. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Hilal than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
Al-Qadisiya - Al-Hilal Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.05 ↓ (3.28) |
4 ↑ (3.82) |
2.04 ↑ (1.98) |
6.9% (7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Al-Qadisiya - Al-Hilal?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Al-Qadisiya will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Al-Hilal will win (votes: 6 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Hilal: 21.7% – 78.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Qadisiya (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Al-Hilal (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Al-Qadisiya (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Qadisiya (votes: 3 - 75%). Al-Hilal (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
- Both teams have recently enjoyed a winning streak.
- Al-Hilal is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Al-Qadisiya won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Al-Qadisiya won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Qadisiya won against Al-Hilal?
Al-Qadisiya has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Hilal won against Al-Qadisiya?
Al-Hilal has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Qadisiya - Al-Hilal were as follows:
13.09.2025
Al-Hilal
-
Al-Qadisiya
2:2
26.05.2025
Al-Hilal
-
Al-Qadisiya
2:0
27.01.2025
Al-Qadisiya
-
Al-Hilal
2:1
Latest results of Al-Qadisiya
Latest results of Al-Hilal
Saudi Professional League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Ahli SC | 24 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 46:15 | 31 | 59 |
| 2 | Al Nassr | 23 | 19 | 1 | 3 | 62:18 | 44 | 58 |
| 3 | Al Hilal | 23 | 16 | 7 | 0 | 57:20 | 37 | 55 |
| 4 | Al Qadsiah | 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 54:21 | 33 | 53 |
| 5 | Al Taawon | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 41:28 | 13 | 40 |
| 6 | Al Ittihad | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 38:28 | 10 | 39 |
| 7 | Al Ettifaq | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 34:39 | -5 | 38 |
| 8 | Neom SC | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 28:31 | -3 | 32 |
| 9 | Al Fateh | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 32:43 | -11 | 28 |
| 10 | Al Khaleej | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 42:37 | 5 | 27 |
| 11 | Al Fayha | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 27:38 | -11 | 27 |
| 12 | Al Shabab | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 27:33 | -6 | 25 |
| 13 | Al Hazem | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 23:43 | -20 | 25 |
| 14 | Al Kholood | 23 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 30:41 | -11 | 22 |
| 15 | Al Riyadh | 24 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 22:45 | -23 | 16 |
| 16 | Damac | 24 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 18:41 | -23 | 16 |
| 17 | Al Okhdood | 23 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 19:49 | -30 | 10 |
| 18 | Al Najma | 23 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 21:51 | -30 | 8 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Division 1