Al-Hilal vs Al-Qadisiya – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

26/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Kingdom Arena (Riyadh).

Saudi Professional League - Round 34
Where to Watch on TV:


Afghanistan	Solh Sports 1
Africa	New World Sport 3
Albania	SuperSport 5
Asia	GOBX Arabic
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Brazil	Canal GOAT
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	DAZN Canada
China	ZhiBo8
Croatia	SportKlub 4
Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 6
Iceland	Viaplay
Mozambique	Startimes Mania
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Polsat Sport Premium 1
Portugal	Sport TV6
Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4, Prima TV
Saudi-arabia	Shahid VIP, SSC Sports 1
Serbia	Arena Sport 5
Slovenia	SportKlub 6
South-korea	SPOTV Now
Sweden	Viaplay
Turkey	S Sport+
United-kingdom	DAZN 1 UK

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.09	0.15
Ball Possession
50%	50%
Total shots
16	4
Shots on target
8	1
Big Chances
4	0
Corner Kicks
3	2
Passes
87% (417/482)	85% (410/483)
Yellow Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
2.09	0.15
xG on target (xGOT)
2.25	0.02
Total shots
16	4
Shots on target
8	1
Shots off target
6	0
Blocked Shots
2	3
Shots inside the Box
13	2
Shots outside the Box
3	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
4	0
Corner Kicks
3	2
Touches in opposition box
32	11
Accurate through passes
3	0
Offsides
1	0
Free Kicks
12	16
Passes
87% (417/482)	85% (410/483)
Long passes
60% (24/40)	52% (35/67)
Passes in final third
78% (116/149)	64% (57/89)
Crosses
38% (5/13)	15% (2/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.35	0.21
Throw-ins
16	27
Fouls
16	12
Tackles
52% (12/23)	73% (16/22)
Duels won
53	51
Clearances
11	13
Interceptions
16	9
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	6
xGOT faced
0.02	2.25
Goals prevented
0.02	0.25

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Mitrovic A. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Abu Al Shamat M. ↓, Mahnashi I. ↑,
46', Thakri J. ↓, Qasem M. ↑,
62', Puertas C. ↓, Rajab S. ↑,
69', 2 - 0, Milinkovic-Savic S. ⚽, Al Dawsari S. (A),
72', Al Dawsari K. 🟨,
73', Aubameyang P. ↓, Fernandez E. ↑,
73', Al Qahtani H. ↓, Al Dosari A. ↑,
89', Al Dawsari N. ↓, Hadhood A. ↑,
90+4', Mitrovic A. ↓, Al Ghamil T. M. ↑,

Chances of winning

Al-Hilal
66.4%

Draw
18.5%

Al-Qadisiya
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58%

21.1%

20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.5%

23.1%

19%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Hilal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Hilal's performance.

Al-Qadisiya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al-Qadisiya might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Hilal than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Qadisiya than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Al-Hilal - Al-Qadisiya Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.6)	5.13 ↑ (4.39)	6.22 ↑ (4.46)	4.9% (7.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

What is the prediction for Al-Hilal - Al-Qadisiya?

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Al-Hilal will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Al-Qadisiya will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Hilal: 44.1% – 94.3%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Hilal (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Al-Qadisiya (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 3).
Al-Hilal is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Al-Qadisiya is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Al-Hilal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Al-Hilal is the team to beat.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Al-Hilal won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
Including home match between the teams, Al-Hilal won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

How many head-to-head matches has Al-Hilal won against Al-Qadisiya?

Al-Hilal has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Al-Qadisiya won against Al-Hilal?

Al-Qadisiya has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Hilal - Al-Qadisiya were as follows:

27.01.2025 Al-Qadisiya - Al-Hilal 2:1

Latest results of Al-Hilal

21.05.2025 Al-Wahda Mecca - Al-Hilal 1:1 ✺

16.05.2025 Al Fateh - Al-Hilal 3:4 ✺

12.05.2025 Al-Hilal - Al-Orobah 4:0 ✺

07.05.2025 Al Raed - Al-Hilal 3:5 ✺

29.04.2025 Al-Hilal - Al-Ahli Jeddah 1:3 ✺

Latest results of Al-Qadisiya

20.05.2025 Al-Qadisiya - Al-Orobah 3:1 ✺

15.05.2025 Al-Qadisiya - Al-Wahda Mecca 3:1 ✺

11.05.2025 Al-Taawoun - Al-Qadisiya 0:1 ✺

02.05.2025 Al-Qadisiya - Al-Kholood 4:1 ✺

23.04.2025 Al-Khaleej - Al-Qadisiya 1:1 ✺

Saudi Professional League Table

2024/25

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Al Ittihad	34	26	5	3	79:35	44	83
2	Al Hilal	34	23	6	5	95:41	54	75
3	Al Nassr	34	21	7	6	80:38	42	70
4	Al Qadisiya	34	21	5	8	53:31	22	68
5	Al Ahli SC	34	21	4	9	69:36	33	67
6	Al Shabab	34	18	6	10	65:41	24	60
7	Al Ettifaq	34	14	8	12	44:45	-1	50
8	Al Taawon	34	12	9	13	40:39	1	45
9	Al Kholood	34	12	4	18	42:64	-22	40
10	Al Fateh	34	11	6	17	47:61	-14	39
11	Al Riyadh	34	10	8	16	37:52	-15	38
12	Al Khaleej	34	10	7	17	40:57	-17	37
13	Al Fayha	34	8	12	14	27:49	-22	36
14	Damac	34	9	8	17	37:50	-13	35
15	Al Okhdood	34	9	7	18	33:56	-23	34
16	Al Wehda	34	9	6	19	42:67	-25	33
17	Al Orubah	34	9	3	22	31:74	-43	30
18	Al Raed	34	6	3	25	41:66	-25	21

Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Division 1