Al-Riyadh vs Al-Shabab Riyadh – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
15/05/2025 at 12:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Saudi Professional League - Round 32
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaGOBX Arabic
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaShahid VIP, SSC Sports 1
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.372.43
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
1213
Shots on target
27
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
86% (352/407)89% (396/447)
Yellow Cards
74
Expected Goals (xG)
1.372.43
xG on target (xGOT)
1.043.65
Total shots
1213
Shots on target
27
Shots off target
72
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
59
Shots outside the Box
74
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
2231
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
40
Free Kicks
188
Passes
86% (352/407)89% (396/447)
Long passes
49% (25/51)57% (31/54)
Passes in final third
77% (64/83)73% (93/127)
Crosses
9% (1/11)31% (5/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.501.88
Throw-ins
1417
Fouls
818
Tackles
61% (11/18)73% (8/11)
Duels won
4432
Clearances
2315
Interceptions
25
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
3.651.04
Goals prevented
0.650.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 15', 0 - 1, Al Juwayr M. , Carrasco Y. (A),
  • 28', Hoedt W. 🟨,
  • 29', 1 - 1, Mensah B. (Pen),
  • 32', Asiri A. 🟨,
  • 39', Al Shwirekh M. 🟨,
  • 44', 1 - 2, Camara H. , Podence D. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Lega S. , Al Shehri Y. ,
  • 55', Zaydan S. 🟨,
  • 63', Bayesh I. 🟨,
  • 65', Al Hawsawi N. 🟨,
  • 67', Camara H. , Bonaventura G. ,
  • 73', Al Hawsawi N. , Al Nuweqi H. ,
  • 73', Zaydan S. , Al Abed N. ,
  • 76', Bonaventura G. 🟨,
  • 76', Toze 🟨,
  • 77', Mensah B. 🟨,
  • 87', Asiri A. , Haji T. ,
  • 89', Podence D. , Al Dubais H. ,
  • 90', Al Juwayr M. , Al Saadi N. ,
  • 90+1', Borjan M. 🟨,
  • 90+2', 1 - 3, Guanca C. , Hoedt W. (A),
  • 90+5', Kamara G. , Kanabah M. ,
  • 90+5', Al Sharari N. , Harbush M. ,
  • 90+6', Robert Renan 🟨,

Chances of winning


Al-Riyadh
23%
Draw
22.5%
Al-Shabab Riyadh
54.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.6% 23.4% 51%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.7% 22.6% 52.8%

Al-Riyadh - Al-Shabab Riyadh Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
4.06
(3.6)
4.16
(3.95)
1.73
(1.81)
6.6%
(8.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Al-Riyadh - Al-Shabab Riyadh?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.75 - Al-Shabab (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Al-Shabab Riyadh will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.03%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Al-Shabab Riyadh will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Riyadh (votes: 1 - 20%). Al-Shabab (votes: 4 - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 6).
    • Al-Riyadh is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Al-Shabab's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Al-Shabab is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Al-Riyadh won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.8:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Al-Riyadh won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Riyadh - Al-Shabab Riyadh were as follows:
    15.01.2025 Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Riyadh 2:1
    28.10.2024 Al-Riyadh - Al-Shabab Riyadh 0:2
    03.04.2024 Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Riyadh 1:0
    05.10.2023 Al-Riyadh - Al-Shabab Riyadh 2:2
    Latest results of Al-Riyadh
    10.05.2025 Al-Khaleej - Al-Riyadh 1:2
    01.05.2025 Al-Riyadh - Al-Orobah 2:4
    23.04.2025 Al-Riyadh - Al Fateh 2:2
    Latest results of Al-Shabab Riyadh
    Saudi Professional League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Hilal19145047:182947
    2Al Nassr19151349:183146
    3Al Ahli SC19135133:122144
    4Al Qadsiah19134244:182643
    5Al Taawon19122536:211538
    6Al Ittihad19104534:231134
    7Al Ettifaq1995528:30-232
    8Al Khaleej1974838:31725
    9Neom SC1974825:29-425
    10Al Fateh1965825:34-923
    11Al Fayha2065922:33-1123
    12Al Hazem1956820:35-1521
    13Al Shabab1947819:25-619
    14Al Kholood19511325:35-1016
    15Damac1919914:33-1912
    16Al Riyadh19261118:39-2112
    17Al Okhdood19241315:35-2010
    18Al Najma20051518:41-235

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