Al-Shabab Riyadh vs Al-Riyadh – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Saudi Professional League
Result
3:1
23/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Saudi Professional League - Round 10
  • Where to Watch on TV:
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaThmanyah App

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.732.06
Ball possession
46%54%
Total shots
1526
Shots on target
77
Big chances
54
Corner kicks
59
Passes
83% (301/361)84% (342/409)
Expected goals (xG)
2.732.06
xG on target (xGOT)
3.292.05
Total shots
1526
Shots on target
77
Shots off target
612
Blocked shots
27
Shots inside the box
1215
Shots outside the box
311
Hit the woodwork
10
Big chances
54
Corner kicks
59
Touches in opposition box
2335
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free kicks
97
Passes
83% (301/361)84% (342/409)
Long passes
43% (17/40)49% (23/47)
Passes in final third
60% (42/70)69% (88/127)
Crosses
43% (6/14)22% (7/32)
Expected assists (xA)
0.901.09
Throw ins
1525
Fouls
79
Tackles
100% (12/12)81% (13/16)
Duels won
3548
Clearances
2612
Interceptions
1111
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
64
xGOT faced
2.053.29
Goals prevented
1.050.29

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Carrasco Y. ⚽, Balobaid S. (A),
  • 24', 2 - 0, Carrasco Y. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 45+4', Barbet Y. ↓, Gonzalez S. ↑,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Al Siyahi A. ↓, Haroun S. ↑,
  • 46', Sali E. ↓, Al Sobhi F. ↑,
  • 68', Al Thani M. ↓, Al Saqour F. ↑,
  • 68', Sierro V. ↓, Al Asmari A. ↑,
  • 71', 3 - 0, Carrasco Y. ⚽,
  • 77', Brownhill J. ↓, Al Sayyali B. ↑,
  • 77', Al Hammami H. ↓, Azaizeh A. ↑,
  • 80', Toze ↓, Al Absi K. ↑,
  • 82', Balobaid S. ↓, Al Sibyani H. K. A. ↑,
  • 87', 3 - 1, Antunes L. ⚽, Al Boardi O. (A),
  • 88', Al Boardi O. ↓, Al Harfi A. ↑,

Chances of winning


Al-Shabab Riyadh
58.2%		Draw
23.3%		Al-Riyadh
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.2% 25.7% 19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7% 24.6% 18.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Al-Shabab Riyadh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • Al-Riyadh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Shabab Riyadh than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Riyadh than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
    •

    Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Riyadh Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.58 ↓
    (1.68)    		 3.95 ↑
    (3.6)    		 4.91 ↑
    (4.85)    		 8.9%
    (7.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Riyadh?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Shabab (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Al-Riyadh (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Al-Shabab Riyadh will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Shabab (votes: 2 - 50%). Al-Riyadh (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 13 and 15)
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Al-Shabab may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Al-Shabab is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Shabab won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:4. (average 2:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Al-Shabab won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Riyadh were as follows:
    15.05.2025 Al-Riyadh - Al-Shabab Riyadh 1:3
    15.01.2025 Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Riyadh 2:1
    28.10.2024 Al-Riyadh - Al-Shabab Riyadh 0:2
    03.04.2024 Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Riyadh 1:0
    05.10.2023 Al-Riyadh - Al-Shabab Riyadh 2:2
    Latest results of Al-Shabab Riyadh
    20.02.2026 Damac - Al-Shabab Riyadh 1:3 ✺
    18.02.2026 Al-Shabab Riyadh - Tadamone Hadramout 13:0
    13.02.2026 Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Ahli Jeddah 2:5 ✺
    11.02.2026 Al-Nahda - Al-Shabab Riyadh 1:1 ✺
    07.02.2026 Al-Kholood - Al-Shabab Riyadh 1:0 ✺
    Latest results of Al-Riyadh
    19.02.2026 Al-Kholood - Al-Riyadh 0:2 ✺
    14.02.2026 Al-Riyadh - Al-Khaleej 1:1 ✺
    06.02.2026 Neom - Al-Riyadh 1:0 ✺
    02.02.2026 Al-Riyadh - Al-Nassr Riyadh 0:1 ✺
    28.01.2026 Al-Najma - Al-Riyadh 1:1 ✺
    Saudi Professional League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Nassr26221371:195267
    2Al Hilal26197067:234464
    3Al Ahli SC26195251:193262
    4Al Qadsiah26186262:253760
    5Al Taawon26136747:331445
    6Al Ittihad26126841:34742
    7Al Ettifaq26116936:44-839
    8Neom SC26961131:36-533
    9Al Fayha26961134:41-733
    10Al Hazem26871129:47-1831
    11Al Khaleej26861244:44030
    12Al Shabab26781133:39-629
    13Al Fateh26771234:47-1328
    14Al Kholood26811734:48-1425
    15Damac264101224:42-1822
    16Al Riyadh26471525:49-2419
    17Al Okhdood26341922:57-3513
    18Al Najma26152023:61-388

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