Result
1:3
15/05/2025 at 12:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Saudi Professional League - Round 32
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | GOBX Arabic |
 Saudi-arabia | Shahid VIP, SSC Sports 1 |
 South-korea | SPOTV Now |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 2.43 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (352/407) | 89% (396/447) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 2.43 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 3.65 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 31 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (352/407) | 89% (396/447) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (25/51) | 57% (31/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (64/83) | 73% (93/127) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 9% (1/11) | 31% (5/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 1.88 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 61% (11/18) | 73% (8/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 32 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.65 | 1.04 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.65 | 0.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 15', 0 - 1, Al Juwayr M. ⚽, Carrasco Y. (A),
- 28', Hoedt W. 🟨,
- 29', 1 - 1, Mensah B. (Pen),
- 32', Asiri A. 🟨,
- 39', Al Shwirekh M. 🟨,
- 44', 1 - 2, Camara H. ⚽, Podence D. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Lega S. ↓, Al Shehri Y. ↑,
- 55', Zaydan S. 🟨,
- 63', Bayesh I. 🟨,
- 65', Al Hawsawi N. 🟨,
- 67', Camara H. ↓, Bonaventura G. ↑,
- 73', Al Hawsawi N. ↓, Al Nuweqi H. ↑,
- 73', Zaydan S. ↓, Al Abed N. ↑,
- 76', Bonaventura G. 🟨,
- 76', Toze 🟨,
- 77', Mensah B. 🟨,
- 87', Asiri A. ↓, Haji T. ↑,
- 89', Podence D. ↓, Al Dubais H. ↑,
- 90', Al Juwayr M. ↓, Al Saadi N. ↑,
- 90+1', Borjan M. 🟨,
- 90+2', 1 - 3, Guanca C. ⚽, Hoedt W. (A),
- 90+5', Kamara G. ↓, Kanabah M. ↑,
- 90+5', Al Sharari N. ↓, Harbush M. ↑,
- 90+6', Robert Renan 🟨,
Chances of winning
Al-Riyadh
23% | Draw
22.5% | Al-Shabab Riyadh
54.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Riyadh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)Al-Shabab Riyadh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Riyadh than the current prediction. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Shabab Riyadh than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Al-Riyadh - Al-Shabab Riyadh Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.06 ↑
(3.6) |
4.16 ↑
(3.95) |
1.73 ↓
(1.81) |
6.6%
(8.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Al-Riyadh - Al-Shabab Riyadh?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Shabab (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Al-Shabab Riyadh will win
(9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 6).
- Al-Riyadh is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Al-Shabab's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Al-Shabab is a strong favorite.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Al-Riyadh won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.8:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al-Riyadh won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Riyadh won against Al-Shabab Riyadh?
Al-Riyadh has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Shabab Riyadh won against Al-Riyadh?
Al-Shabab Riyadh has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Riyadh - Al-Shabab Riyadh were as follows:
15.01.2025
Al-Shabab Riyadh
-
Al-Riyadh
2:1
28.10.2024
Al-Riyadh
-
Al-Shabab Riyadh
0:2
03.04.2024
Al-Shabab Riyadh
-
Al-Riyadh
1:0
05.10.2023
Al-Riyadh
-
Al-Shabab Riyadh
2:2
Latest results of Al-Riyadh
Latest results of Al-Shabab Riyadh
Saudi Professional League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Nassr | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 3 |
| 2 | Al Ittihad | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | Al Khaleej | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 3 |
| 4 | Al Qadisiya | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Al Hilal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Al Ettifaq | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Al Fayha | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Al Ahli SC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Al Hazem | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Damac | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Al Fateh | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 12 | Al Kholood | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Neom SC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Al Najma | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 15 | Al Riyadh | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 | Al Okhdood | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:5 | -3 | 0 |
| 17 | Al Shabab | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
| 18 | Al Taawon | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:5 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
