Al-Shabab Riyadh vs Al-Riyadh – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

23/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Al-Shabab Club Stadium (Riyadh).

Saudi Professional League - Round 10
Where to Watch on TV:


Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah App

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
2.73	2.06
Ball possession
46%	54%
Total shots
15	26
Shots on target
7	7
Big chances
5	4
Corner kicks
5	9
Passes
83% (301/361)	84% (342/409)
Expected goals (xG)
2.73	2.06
xG on target (xGOT)
3.29	2.05
Total shots
15	26
Shots on target
7	7
Shots off target
6	12
Blocked shots
2	7
Shots inside the box
12	15
Shots outside the box
3	11
Hit the woodwork
1	0
Big chances
5	4
Corner kicks
5	9
Touches in opposition box
23	35
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	1
Free kicks
9	7
Passes
83% (301/361)	84% (342/409)
Long passes
43% (17/40)	49% (23/47)
Passes in final third
60% (42/70)	69% (88/127)
Crosses
43% (6/14)	22% (7/32)
Expected assists (xA)
0.90	1.09
Throw ins
15	25
Fouls
7	9
Tackles
100% (12/12)	81% (13/16)
Duels won
35	48
Clearances
26	12
Interceptions
11	11
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
6	4
xGOT faced
2.05	3.29
Goals prevented
1.05	0.29

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Carrasco Y. ⚽, Balobaid S. (A),
24', 2 - 0, Carrasco Y. (Penalty Awarded),
45+4', Barbet Y. ↓, Gonzalez S. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Al Siyahi A. ↓, Haroun S. ↑,
46', Sali E. ↓, Al Sobhi F. ↑,
68', Al Thani M. ↓, Al Saqour F. ↑,
68', Sierro V. ↓, Al Asmari A. ↑,
71', 3 - 0, Carrasco Y. ⚽,
77', Brownhill J. ↓, Al Sayyali B. ↑,
77', Al Hammami H. ↓, Azaizeh A. ↑,
80', Toze ↓, Al Absi K. ↑,
82', Balobaid S. ↓, Al Sibyani H. K. A. ↑,
87', 3 - 1, Antunes L. ⚽, Al Boardi O. (A),
88', Al Boardi O. ↓, Al Harfi A. ↑,

Chances of winning

Al-Shabab Riyadh
58.2%

Draw
23.3%

Al-Riyadh
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

25.7%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7%

24.6%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Shabab Riyadh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Al-Riyadh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Shabab Riyadh than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Riyadh than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Riyadh Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.68)	3.95 ↑ (3.6)	4.91 ↑ (4.85)	8.9% (7.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Riyadh?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Shabab (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Al-Riyadh (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Al-Shabab Riyadh will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Shabab (votes: 2 - 50%). Al-Riyadh (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 13 and 15)
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Al-Shabab may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Al-Shabab is seen as the favorite.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Shabab won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:4. (average 2:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Al-Shabab won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Al-Shabab Riyadh won against Al-Riyadh?

Al-Shabab Riyadh has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Al-Riyadh won against Al-Shabab Riyadh?

Al-Riyadh has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Riyadh were as follows:

15.05.2025 Al-Riyadh - Al-Shabab Riyadh 1:3

15.01.2025 Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Riyadh 2:1

28.10.2024 Al-Riyadh - Al-Shabab Riyadh 0:2

03.04.2024 Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Riyadh 1:0

05.10.2023 Al-Riyadh - Al-Shabab Riyadh 2:2

Latest results of Al-Shabab Riyadh

20.02.2026 Damac - Al-Shabab Riyadh 1:3 ✺

18.02.2026 Al-Shabab Riyadh - Tadamone Hadramout 13:0 ✺

13.02.2026 Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Ahli Jeddah 2:5 ✺

11.02.2026 Al-Nahda - Al-Shabab Riyadh 1:1 ✺

07.02.2026 Al-Kholood - Al-Shabab Riyadh 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Al-Riyadh

19.02.2026 Al-Kholood - Al-Riyadh 0:2 ✺

14.02.2026 Al-Riyadh - Al-Khaleej 1:1 ✺

06.02.2026 Neom - Al-Riyadh 1:0 ✺

02.02.2026 Al-Riyadh - Al-Nassr Riyadh 0:1 ✺

28.01.2026 Al-Najma - Al-Riyadh 1:1 ✺

Saudi Professional League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Al Ahli SC	24	18	5	1	46:15	31	59
2	Al Nassr	23	19	1	3	62:18	44	58
3	Al Hilal	23	16	7	0	57:20	37	55
4	Al Qadsiah	23	16	5	2	54:21	33	53
5	Al Taawon	23	12	4	7	41:28	13	40
6	Al Ittihad	23	11	6	6	38:28	10	39
7	Al Ettifaq	23	11	5	7	34:39	-5	38
8	Neom SC	23	9	5	9	28:31	-3	32
9	Al Fateh	24	7	7	10	32:43	-11	28
10	Al Khaleej	23	7	6	10	42:37	5	27
11	Al Fayha	23	7	6	10	27:38	-11	27
12	Al Shabab	23	6	7	10	27:33	-6	25
13	Al Hazem	23	6	7	10	23:43	-20	25
14	Al Kholood	23	7	1	15	30:41	-11	22
15	Al Riyadh	24	3	7	14	22:45	-23	16
16	Damac	24	2	10	12	18:41	-23	16
17	Al Okhdood	23	2	4	17	19:49	-30	10
18	Al Najma	23	1	5	17	21:51	-30	8

Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Division 1