Result
3:4 penalties
16/04/2026 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- AFC Champions League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Paramount+ |
 China | iQIYI |
 Germany | Sportdigital1+ |
 Hong-kong | HOY TV, M Plus Live |
 India | FanCode, FanCode, Vision+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Netherlands | ESPN |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Russia | TV Start |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Vietnam | TV 360 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.85 | 2.84 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (349/457) | 87% (592/682) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.85 | 2.84 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 4.09 | 1.61 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 39 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (349/457) | 87% (592/682) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (32/88) | 57% (38/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (101/148) | 79% (183/232) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (3/14) | 29% (13/45) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.57 | 2.35 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 3 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 47% (9/19) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 34 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 53 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.61 | 4.09 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.39 | 1.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 6', 1 - 0, Mujica R. ⚽, Afif A. (A),
- 24', 1 - 1, Osako Y. ⚽, Sakai G. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 46', Pedro Miguel ↓, Salman T. ↑,
- 61', 2 - 1, Mujica R. ⚽, Roberto Firmino (A),
- 65', 3 - 1, Roberto Firmino ⚽, Mujica R. (A),
- 67', Sasaki D. ↓, Mitsuta M. ↑,
- 67', Goke Y. ↓, Jean Patric ↑,
- 74', 3 - 2, Ideguchi Y. ⚽, Jean Patric (A),
- 81', Ogihara T. ↓, Hamasaki K. ↑,
- 81', Sakai G. ↓, Hirose R. ↑,
- 82', Camara M. ↓, Giovani ↑,
- 89', Ideguchi Y. ↓, Hidaka M. ↑,
- 90', Mujica R. ↓, Suhail A. ↑,
- 90+3', 3 - 3, Muto Y. ⚽, Hirose R. (A),
- Extra Time (0 - 0)
- 93', Thuler M. ↓, Caetano ↑,
- 96', Saiss R. ↓, Dilrosun J. ↑,
- 108', Gonda S. 🟨,
- Penalties (4 - 5)
- 1, Roberto Firmino (Penalty Awarded),
- 1, Osako Y. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Soria A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Muto Y. (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Claudinho (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Hidaka M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Khoukhi B. (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Nagato K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 5, Afif A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 5, Jean Patric (Penalty Awarded),
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/ewtt2e2x
Chances of winning
Al-Sadd
40.9% | Draw
27.3% | Vissel Kobe
31.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Sadd has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Sadd's performance.Vissel Kobe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vissel Kobe might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Sadd than the current prediction. (-8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Sadd that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vissel Kobe than the current prediction. (+12.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vissel Kobe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Al-Sadd - Vissel Kobe Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.3 ↓
(2.81) |
3.45 ↓
(4.04) |
2.96 ↑
(2.14) |
6.4%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Al-Sadd - Vissel Kobe?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Sadd (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Al-Sadd will win
(8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- Al-Sadd has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Vissel Kobe is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Vissel Kobe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Al-Sadd has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Sadd won against Vissel Kobe?
Al-Sadd has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vissel Kobe won against Al-Sadd?
Vissel Kobe has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Sadd - Vissel Kobe were as follows:
Latest results of Al-Sadd
Latest results of Vissel Kobe
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Al Hilal (1) | Al-Sadd (8) | 3 : 4 |
| 2 | Vissel Kobe (2) | Seoul (7) | 2 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Al Ahli SC (2) | Al-Duhail (7) | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima (3) | Johor DT (6) | 1 : 0, 1 : 3 |
| 5 | Machida (1) | Gangwon (8) | 1 : 0, 0 : 0 |
| 6 | Al Ittihad (4) | Al Wahda (5) | 1 : 0 |
| 7 | Buriram (4) | Melbourne City (5) | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 8 | Tractor (3) | Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai (6) | 0 : 3 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Al-Sadd (8) | Vissel Kobe (2) | 3 : 4 |
| 2 | Al Ahli SC (2) | Johor DT (6) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Machida (1) | Al Ittihad (4) | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Buriram (4) | Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai (6) | 2 : 3 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Vissel Kobe (2) | Al Ahli SC (2) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Machida (1) | Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai (6) | 1 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Al Ahli SC (2) | Machida (1) | 1 : 0 |
