Result
0:0
20/01/2026 at 10:05 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Saudi Professional League - Round 17
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | JACO Middle East |
 China | QQ Sports |
 Hong-kong | on.cc |
 Saudi-arabia | Thmanyah App, Thmanyah |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.63 | 0.34 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (380/447) | 79% (257/326) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.63 | 0.34 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 0.25 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 43 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (380/447) | 79% (257/326) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 69% (20/29) | 33% (17/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (130/174) | 69% (56/81) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (5/14) | 15% (2/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.84 | 0.58 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 31 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 68% (17/25) | 63% (20/32) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 75 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.25 | 0.78 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.25 | 0.78 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 43', Al Haleel N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 64', Boutobba B. 🟨,
- 80', Al Tulayhi R. ↓, Al Dubais H. ↑,
- 80', Lazaro ↓, Al Shammeri A. ↑,
- 83', Al Sayyali B. ↓, Makki A. ↑,
- 83', Al Haleel N. ↓, Al Shammari K. ↑,
- 89', Al Hawsawi A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Al-Shabab Riyadh
64.5% | Draw
19.6% | Al-Najma
15.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Shabab Riyadh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)Al-Najma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Shabab Riyadh than the current prediction. (-17.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Shabab Riyadh that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Najma than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Najma Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.42 ↓
(1.52) |
4.72 ↑
(3.86) |
5.76 ↓
(6.06) |
9%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Najma?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Al-Shabab will win (votes: 17 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Shabab: 100% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Al-Shabab (1.66) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Al-Shabab Riyadh will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Shabab (votes: 7 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).
- The current form of both teams is below expectations.
- Al-Najma may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Al-Shabab is a strong favorite.
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Shabab Riyadh won against Al-Najma?
Al-Shabab Riyadh has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Najma won against Al-Shabab Riyadh?
Al-Najma has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Najma were as follows:
Latest results of Al-Shabab Riyadh
Latest results of Al-Najma
Saudi Professional League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Nassr | 24 | 20 | 1 | 3 | 65:19 | 46 | 61 |
| 2 | Al Ahli SC | 24 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 46:15 | 31 | 59 |
| 3 | Al Hilal | 24 | 17 | 7 | 0 | 62:23 | 39 | 58 |
| 4 | Al Qadsiah | 24 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 55:22 | 33 | 54 |
| 5 | Al Ittihad | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 39:28 | 11 | 42 |
| 6 | Al Taawon | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 42:29 | 13 | 41 |
| 7 | Al Ettifaq | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 35:42 | -7 | 38 |
| 8 | Neom SC | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 29:33 | -4 | 32 |
| 9 | Al Fateh | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 32:43 | -11 | 28 |
| 10 | Al Hazem | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 26:44 | -18 | 28 |
| 11 | Al Khaleej | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 42:38 | 4 | 27 |
| 12 | Al Fayha | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 28:41 | -13 | 27 |
| 13 | Al Shabab | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 30:38 | -8 | 25 |
| 14 | Al Kholood | 24 | 8 | 1 | 15 | 32:42 | -10 | 25 |
| 15 | Al Riyadh | 24 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 22:45 | -23 | 16 |
| 16 | Damac | 24 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 18:41 | -23 | 16 |
| 17 | Al Okhdood | 24 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 22:50 | -28 | 13 |
| 18 | Al Najma | 24 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 22:54 | -32 | 8 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
