Al-Nassr Riyadh vs Al-Shabab Riyadh – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

17/01/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

King Saud University Stadium (Riyadh).

Saudi Professional League - Round 16
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Arena, SupeSport ESPN 1, ZAP
Albania	SuperSport 5
Angola	Z Sports 1
Asia	JACO Middle East
Australia	Channel 10
Austria	DAZN
Brazil	BandSports, Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Sky+, SporTV 3, Vivo Play, Zapping
China	QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	SportKlub 3
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 7
India	FanCode, FanCode
Italy	Como TV, Sportitalia Solo Calcio
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports
Kenya	Gotv
Malaysia	SPOTV
Mexico	FOX One
Mozambique	Startimes Mania
Nigeria	SupeSport ESPN 1
Poland	Polsat Sport Premium 1
Portugal	Sport TV4
Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
Russia	Okko Sport
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah App, Thmanyah
Slovenia	SportKlub 2
South-africa	SupeSport ESPN
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 2, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Tanzania	ZBC 2 Tanzania
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 4
Turkey	S Sport+
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports Premium
Usa	Fox Soccer Plus, Fox
World	Onefootball

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.50	0.61
Ball possession
60%	40%
Total shots
14	7
Shots on target
5	3
Big chances
1	2
Corner kicks
7	5
Passes
88% (412/466)	80% (253/318)
Yellow cards
2	3
Red cards
0	1
Expected goals (xG)
1.50	0.61
xG on target (xGOT)
2.20	0.96
Total shots
14	7
Shots on target
5	3
Shots off target
5	2
Blocked shots
4	2
Shots inside the box
9	4
Shots outside the box
5	3
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
1	2
Corner kicks
7	5
Touches in opposition box
24	13
Accurate through passes
0	2
Offsides
2	4
Free kicks
12	12
Passes
88% (412/466)	80% (253/318)
Long passes
53% (18/34)	44% (23/52)
Passes in final third
81% (117/145)	61% (45/74)
Crosses
27% (4/15)	18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.07	0.62
Throw ins
16	16
Fouls
12	12
Tackles
55% (11/20)	71% (5/7)
Duels won
49	32
Clearances
19	13
Interceptions
7	10
Errors leading to shot
1	1
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper saves
1	3
xGOT faced
0.96	2.20
Goals prevented
-0.04	0.20

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Balobaid S. (Own goal),
8', 2 - 0, Coman K. ⚽, Wesley (A),
31', 2 - 1, Simakan M. (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', 2 - 2, Carlos Junior ⚽, Carrasco Y. (A),
60', Coman K. 🟨,
61', Sierro V. 🟨,
65', Wesley ↓, Ghareeb A. ↑,
65', Boushal N. ↓, Al Nasser S. ↑,
67', Sierro V. 🟨,
72', Al Hammami H. ↓, Al Subiani F. ↑,
76', 3 - 2, Ghareeb A. ⚽,
83', Al Thani M. ↓, Al Othman A. ↑,
83', Adli Y. ↓, Al Saadi N. ↑,
84', Hernandez U. ↓, Makki A. ↑,
84', Carlos Junior ↓, Al Shwirekh M. ↑,
90+1', Angelo ↓, Al Hassan A. ↑,
90+4', Al Ghannam S. 🟨,
90+5', Brownhill J. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Al-Nassr Riyadh
67.6%

Draw
18.6%

Al-Shabab Riyadh
13.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

77.1%

13.5%

9.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Nassr Riyadh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Nassr Riyadh's form might have worsened.

Al-Shabab Riyadh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Shabab Riyadh Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↑ (1.21)	5.14 ↓ (6.92)	6.82 ↓ (9.86)	6.8% (7.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

What is the prediction for Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Shabab Riyadh?

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Al-Nassr will win (votes: 7 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Nassr (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 14).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Nassr won 4.
Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
Al-Nassr may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Al-Nassr is the obvious favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al-Nassr won 12 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 34:21. (average 1.7:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Al-Nassr won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:10. (average 1.6:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Al-Nassr Riyadh won against Al-Shabab Riyadh?

Al-Nassr Riyadh has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Al-Shabab Riyadh won against Al-Nassr Riyadh?

Al-Shabab Riyadh has won 0 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Shabab Riyadh were as follows:

07.03.2025 Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Shabab Riyadh 2:2

18.10.2024 Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Nassr Riyadh 1:2

25.02.2024 Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Nassr Riyadh 2:3

11.12.2023 Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Nassr Riyadh 2:5

29.08.2023 Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Shabab Riyadh 4:0

Latest results of Al-Nassr Riyadh

12.01.2026 Al-Hilal - Al-Nassr Riyadh 3:1 ✺

08.01.2026 Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Qadisiya 1:2 ✺

02.01.2026 Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Nassr Riyadh 3:2 ✺

30.12.2025 Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al-Nassr Riyadh 2:2 ✺

27.12.2025 Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al Akhdoud 3:0 ✺

Latest results of Al-Shabab Riyadh

14.01.2026 Al-Shabab Riyadh - Neom 3:2 ✺

09.01.2026 Al-Taawoun - Al-Shabab Riyadh 2:0 ✺

03.01.2026 Al Fateh - Al-Shabab Riyadh 2:0 ✺

31.12.2025 Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Qadisiya 2:3 ✺

27.12.2025 Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Al-Shabab Riyadh 2:0 ✺

Saudi Professional League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Al Nassr	28	24	1	3	78:21	57	73
2	Al Hilal	28	20	8	0	75:25	50	68
3	Al Ahli SC	28	20	6	2	55:20	35	66
4	Al Qadsiah	28	18	7	3	65:29	36	61
5	Al Taawon	28	13	7	8	50:37	13	46
6	Al Ittihad	28	13	6	9	45:38	7	45
7	Al Ettifaq	28	12	6	10	41:49	-8	42
8	Neom SC	29	11	6	12	37:41	-4	39
9	Al Fayha	29	9	7	13	35:45	-10	34
10	Al Hazem	28	9	7	12	31:48	-17	34
11	Al Khaleej	27	8	7	12	46:46	0	31
12	Al Shabab	27	7	9	11	34:40	-6	30
13	Al Kholood	29	9	2	18	38:57	-19	29
14	Al Fateh	27	7	7	13	34:48	-14	28
15	Damac	28	4	11	13	25:46	-21	23
16	Al Riyadh	28	5	8	15	29:52	-23	23
17	Al Okhdood	28	4	4	20	23:59	-36	16
18	Al Najma	28	2	5	21	27:67	-40	11

Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Division 1