Result
03/05/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 14
- Referee: Heras H. (Uru)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Antel TV, DirecTV Sports, Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Chances of winning
Albion Montevideo
29.1% | Draw
29.4% | Nacional Montevideo
41.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Albion Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)Nacional Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Albion Montevideo than the current prediction. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Montevideo than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Albion Montevideo - Nacional Montevideo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.2 ↓
(3.49) |
3.15 ↓
(3.28) |
2.23 ↑
(2.09) |
7.8%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Albion Montevideo - Nacional Montevideo?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Nacional will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 and 9).
- Albion is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Nacional has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Albion may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Nacional is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Albion won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Albion won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Albion Montevideo won against Nacional Montevideo?
Albion Montevideo has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Montevideo won against Albion Montevideo?
Nacional Montevideo has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Albion Montevideo - Nacional Montevideo were as follows:
13.10.2022
Albion Montevideo
-
Nacional Montevideo
0:1
Latest results of Albion Montevideo
Latest results of Nacional Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Montevideo | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 22:11 | 11 | 30 |
| 2 | Maldonado | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 22:15 | 7 | 26 |
| 3 | Penarol | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 19:13 | 6 | 23 |
| 4 | Albion | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 22:14 | 8 | 22 |
| 5 | Central Esp | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 20:20 | 0 | 21 |
| 6 | Liverpool M | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 20:17 | 3 | 20 |
| 7 | Defensor Sp | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 11:8 | 3 | 20 |
| 8 | Montevideo City | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19:14 | 5 | 19 |
| 9 | Nacional | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 20:18 | 2 | 19 |
| 10 | Danubio | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 17:20 | -3 | 18 |
| 11 | Cerro Largo | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 14:16 | -2 | 17 |
| 12 | Wanderers | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 15:21 | -6 | 17 |
| 13 | Boston River | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 11:17 | -6 | 14 |
| 14 | Juventud | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 15:21 | -6 | 12 |
| 15 | Progreso | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 11:21 | -10 | 10 |
| 16 | CA Cerro | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 8:20 | -12 | 10 |
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