Universitario de Deportes vs Nacional Montevideo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

29/04/2026 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 3
  • Referee: Benitez C. (Par)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, FOX Sports 2
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
boliviaBoliviaESPN
brazilBrazilParamount+
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
chileChileDisney+, ESPN 5
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
ecuadorEcuadorESPN
italyItalyComo TV
mexicoMexicoDisney+
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
paraguayParaguayESPN
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter

Chances of winning


Universitario de Deportes
40.3%
Draw
31.3%
Nacional Montevideo
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.5% 30.4% 27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5% 30.4% 27.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Universitario de Deportes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • Nacional Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universitario de Deportes than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Montevideo than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • Universitario de Deportes - Nacional Montevideo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.33
    (2.22)
    3.02
    (3.11)
    3.3
    (3.48)
    6.3%
    (5.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Universitario de Deportes - Nacional Montevideo?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Uni de Deportes (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Universitario de Deportes will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.78%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Uni de Deportes is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Nacional has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Uni de Deportes may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Uni de Deportes could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Uni de Deportes: Alzugaray L. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Nacional: Ancheta E. (Inactive) Carneiro G. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Uni de Deportes: Di Benedetto M. (Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Uni de Deportes won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    Copa Libertadores Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ22006:156
    2Estudiantes L.P21103:214
    3Ind. Medellin20112:5-31
    4Cusco20021:4-30


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nacional21104:224
    2Deportes Tolima31114:314
    3Coquimbo31113:4-14
    4U. de Deportes20110:2-21


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia22003:126
    2La Guaira20201:102
    3Fluminense20111:2-11
    4Bolivar20111:2-11


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cruzeiro32013:216
    2Boca Juniors32015:236
    3U. Catolica21013:303
    4Barcelona SC20020:4-40


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Corinthians22004:046
    2Platense21012:3-13
    3Penarol20112:3-11
    4Santa Fe20111:3-21


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sporting Cristal32014:226
    2Palmeiras21103:214
    3Cerro Porteno21011:103
    4Junior30121:4-31


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lanus32012:116
    2LDU Quito32013:126
    3Mirassol21011:2-13
    4Always Ready20020:2-20


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Rosario Central32104:047
    2Ind. del Valle32106:337
    3Universidad Central31024:7-33
    4Libertad Asuncion30033:7-40

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)