Sarmiento de Junín vs Aldosivi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
13/09/2025 at 20:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 8
  • Referee: Lobo Medina L. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaHBO Max, TNT Sports
chinaChinaK-Ball
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
usaUsaFanatiz
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.440.51
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
1211
Shots on target
51
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
52
Passes
64% (167/262)67% (200/297)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
0.440.51
xG on target (xGOT)
1.090.25
Total shots
1211
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
57
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
56
Shots outside the Box
75
Hit the Woodwork
20
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
169
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1118
Passes
64% (167/262)67% (200/297)
Long passes
40% (26/65)37% (21/57)
Passes in final third
53% (49/93)53% (41/77)
Crosses
15% (3/20)31% (4/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.270.59
Throw-ins
3039
Fouls
2012
Tackles
64% (7/11)54% (7/13)
Duels won
4847
Clearances
2024
Interceptions
1511
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.251.09
Goals prevented
0.25-0.91

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 4', Gomez J. 🟨,
  • 17', Ardaiz J. , Morales I. ,
  • 27', Garcia M. 🟨,
  • 38', Cerato G. 🟨,
  • 39', 1 - 0, Godoy J. , Gonzalez G. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Gomez J. , Rodriguez S. ,
  • 46', Garcia M. , Gimenez E. ,
  • 46', Garcia M. , Preciado E. ,
  • 53', Roncaglia F. 🟨,
  • 59', 2 - 0, Morales I. , Rodriguez S. (A),
  • 61', Guzman N. , Gonzalez R. ,
  • 61', Giani J. , Rami F. ,
  • 70', Villalba C. , Orihuela R. ,
  • 78', Guerrico I. , Rodriguez E. ,
  • 78', Serrago T. , Leiva T. ,
  • 79', Bochi R. 🟨,
  • 89', Cabral Y. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Contrera J. , Suhr L. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Sarmiento de Junín
40.8%
Draw
33.6%
Aldosivi
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.4% 32.1% 24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1% 28.2% 27.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sarmiento de Junín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • Aldosivi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarmiento de Junín than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aldosivi than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • Sarmiento de Junín - Aldosivi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.33
    (2.17)
    2.83
    (2.93)
    3.69
    (3.85)
    5.3%
    (6.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Sarmiento de Junín - Aldosivi?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Sarmiento will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Aldosivi will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sarmiento de Junín will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 12 and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 3.
    • Sarmiento has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Aldosivi has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Sarmiento could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Sarmiento: Magnin P. (Knee Injury) Orihuela R. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Aldosivi: Breitenbruch N. (Knee Injury) Chavez L. (Muscle Injury) Giani J. (Muscle Injury) Godoy F. (Foot Injury) Mottes G. (Muscle Injury) Roman F. (Knee Injury) Villarreal A. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.2:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sarmiento won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1.2:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sarmiento de Junín - Aldosivi were as follows:
    01.03.2025 Aldosivi - Sarmiento de Junín 2:2
    03.09.2022 Aldosivi - Sarmiento de Junín 1:2
    Latest results of Aldosivi
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield85309:4518
    2Estudiantes L.P84317:3415
    3Union de Santa Fe842211:5614
    4Independiente834111:7413
    5Platense83415:3213
    6San Lorenzo83327:5212
    7Defensa y Justicia82607:5212
    8Talleres Cordoba83238:9-111
    9Boca Juniors72326:519
    10Lanus62319:909
    11Instituto82249:10-18
    12Central Cordoba82243:6-38
    13Gimnasia Mendoza82245:10-58
    14Dep. Riestra80532:5-35
    15Newells Old Boys80265:16-112


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia852112:8417
    2Tigre843114:7715
    3Belgrano843110:7315
    4Rosario Central842210:6414
    5Huracan83328:7112
    6Racing Club832311:9211
    7River Plate83238:8011
    8Gimnasia L.P83239:10-111
    9Banfield83149:9010
    10Argentinos Jrs62314:319
    11Barracas Central82336:7-19
    12Sarmiento Junin83056:9-39
    13Atl. Tucuman81259:13-45
    14Estudiantes Rio Cuarto81163:12-94
    15Aldosivi70342:8-63

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)