Result
 
                    1:1
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        02/11/2025 at  15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 17
 
                                                - Referee: Espinoza J. (Per)
 
                                                - Where to Watch on TV: 
 
                                                
                    
                    
                    
                    
 |  | 
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz | 
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play | 
 Usa | Fanatiz | 
                      
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
 |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 0.60 | 1.69 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 68% | 32% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 9 | 9 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 3 | 3 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 1 | 1 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 4 | 3 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 81% (404/499) | 60% (130/217) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 4 | 3 | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 0.60 | 1.69 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 0.86 | 1.26 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 9 | 9 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 3 | 3 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 4 | 5 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 2 | 1 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 5 | 6 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 4 | 3 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 1 | 1 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 4 | 3 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 10 | 14 | 
| Accurate through passes | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 1 | 2 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 14 | 10 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 81% (404/499) | 60% (130/217) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 42% (31/73) | 32% (19/59) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 44% (35/79) | 56% (35/62) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 11% (1/9) | 21% (4/19) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.49 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 24 | 18 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 10 | 14 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 50% (7/14) | 75% (15/20) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 51 | 52 | 
| Clearances | 
|---|
| 18 | 17 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 7 | 7 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 1 | 2 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 1.26 | 0.86 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| 0.26 | -0.14 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
 - 14', 1 - 0, Bandiera N. ⚽, Vilca R. (A), 
 - 18', Franco D. 🟨, 
 - 20', Olmedo L. (Pen), 
 - 20', 1 - 1, Olmedo L. ⚽, 
 - 42', Guarderas R. 🟨, 
 - 2nd Half (0 - 0)
 - 46', Franco D. ↓, Rodas E. ↑, 
 - 57', Ysique F. 🟨, 
 - 63', Fernandez S. 🟨, 
 - 68', Bolivar J. 🟨, 
 - 69', Vilca R. ↓, Garro J. ↑, 
 - 70', Olmedo L. ↓, Perez J. ↑, 
 - 70', Lupu H. ↓, Flores F. ↑, 
 - 76', Fernandez S. ↓, Illanes F. ↑, 
 - 76', Graneros A. ↓, Diaz R. ↑, 
 - 86', Ruidiaz R. ↓, Sandoval T. ↑, 
 - 89', Bandiera N. ↓, Olivares C. ↑, 
 - 90', Ysique F. ↓, Perez M. ↑, 
 - 90+2', Rostaing J. 🟨, 
 - 90+2', Perleche E. 🟨, 
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 Atlético Grau  35.5% | Draw  30.7% | Alianza Atlético  33.8% | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Atlético Grau - Alianza Atlético Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			    | 
			   1 | 
			   X | 
			   2 | 
                           Marga | 
			    | 
			
			
			
			   Avarage Now (Initially) | 
			   2.54 ↑ (1.96) | 
			   3.11 ↓ (3.55) | 
			   2.87 ↓ (3.41) | 
			   6.4% (8.5%) |  | 
                               
			
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Atlético Grau - Alianza Atlético?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                                            
                                            Users Predictions: 
                                            
                                            
                                            6 users predict this event. Grau will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Alianza Atlético will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).                                The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grau won 0.
 - Recent form of Grau has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
 - Alianza Atlético's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
 - Alianza Atlético may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
  - The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
 - There will not play in Alianza Atlético: Larios Saavedra G. A.
(Red Card)
 - There are questionable in Grau: Bolivar J.
(Injury)
 - In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Grau won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 16:21. (average 1.3:1.8).
 - Including home matches between the teams, Grau won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1.8:1.2).                        
 
                      
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Grau won against Alianza Atlético?
                    
                    
                        
                            Atlético Grau has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Atlético won against Atlético Grau?
                    
                    
                        
                             Alianza Atlético has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Grau - Alianza Atlético were as follows:
                                                        
                                29.06.2025 
                                Alianza Atlético 
                                - 
                                Atlético Grau 
                                2:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                14.07.2024 
                                Alianza Atlético 
                                - 
                                Atlético Grau 
                                0:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                28.01.2024 
                                Atlético Grau 
                                - 
                                Alianza Atlético 
                                1:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                08.10.2023 
                                Atlético Grau 
                                - 
                                Alianza Atlético 
                                1:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                27.05.2023 
                                Alianza Atlético 
                                - 
                                Atlético Grau 
                                3:2
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Atlético Grau                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Alianza Atlético                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | U. de Deportes | 15 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 28:10 | 18 | 39 | 
| 2 | Cusco | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 24:14 | 10 | 30 | 
| 3 | Sporting Cristal | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 25:11 | 14 | 25 | 
| 4 | Alianza Lima | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 25:18 | 7 | 25 | 
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 24:17 | 7 | 25 | 
| 6 | Cienciano | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 22:18 | 4 | 24 | 
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 20:21 | -1 | 24 | 
| 8 | Los Chankas | 14 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 17:24 | -7 | 24 | 
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 22 | 
| 10 | AD Tarma | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 21 | 
| 11 | Alianza Atl | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 12:11 | 1 | 17 | 
| 12 | Grau | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17:19 | -2 | 16 | 
| 13 | Sport Boys | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 14:21 | -7 | 16 | 
| 14 | Sport Huancayo | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 24:26 | -2 | 15 | 
| 15 | Ayacucho | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 15:24 | -9 | 14 | 
| 16 | Alianza Huanuco | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 19:31 | -12 | 14 | 
| 17 | Cajamarca | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16:22 | -6 | 13 | 
| 18 | Juan Pablo II | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 10:19 | -9 | 11 | 
| 19 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | 
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