Result
1:1
07/04/2026 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 1
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Argentina | DirecTV Sports, DSports 2 |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD |
Australia | beIN Connect |
Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol |
Chile | DirecTV Sports |
Colombia | DSports |
Ecuador | DirecTV Sports, DSports 2 |
Italy | Como TV |
Mexico | Disney+ |
New-zealand | beIN Connect |
Peru | DirecTV Sports |
South-america | DGO Latin America, ViX Latin America |
Uruguay | DirecTV Sports, DSports 2 |
Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Latino, Tubi TV |
Venezuela | DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, DSports 2, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 1.44 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (334/415) | 71% (206/289) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 1.44 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 1.35 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (334/415) | 71% (206/289) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (29/54) | 44% (31/70) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (63/111) | 57% (52/91) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 16% (4/25) | 7% (1/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 0.85 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 20 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 43% (3/7) | 36% (5/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 45 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.35 | 0.37 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.35 | -0.63 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 9', 0 - 1, Russo I. ⚽,
- 21', Gordillo A. 🟨,
- 21', Laso J. 🟨,
- 26', Banegas N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 54', Munoz A. 🟨,
- 57', Martinez P. ↓, Lopez S. ↑,
- 58', Cabrera E. ↓, Pineiro G. ↑,
- 63', Lupu H. ↓, Quiroga S. ↑,
- 63', Larios Saavedra G. A. ↓, Robaldo V. ↑,
- 71', Soto G. ↓, Moreno V. ↑,
- 74', 1 - 1, Robaldo V. ⚽, Munoz A. (A),
- 75', Saralegui J. ↓, Serrago T. ↑,
- 76', Banegas N. ↓, Alvarez F. ↑,
- 78', Pineiro G. 🟨,
- 79', Gordillo A. ↓, Guzman W. ↑,
- 84', Perez J. ↓, Fernandez S. ↑,
- 84', Munoz A. ↓, Penilla C. ↑,
- 87', Diaz G. 🟨,
- 90+1', Serrago T. 🟨,
- 90+5', Laso J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Alianza Atlético 21.3% | Draw 30.6% | Tigre 48% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alianza Atlético has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alianza Atlético's form might have worsened.Tigre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tigre's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Atlético than the current prediction. (+7.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alianza Atlético, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tigre than the current prediction. (-9.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tigre, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Alianza Atlético - Tigre Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.34 ↑ (3.49) |
3.05 ↑ (2.86) |
1.96 ↓ (2.37) |
6.9% (5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Alianza Atlético - Tigre?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.5 - Alianza Atlético (4.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Tigre will win
(11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Tigre will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Alianza Atlético (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tigre (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- In recent matches, Alianza Atlético has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Tigre is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Recently, Tigre has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Tigre is the team to beat.
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Atlético won against Tigre?
Alianza Atlético has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tigre won against Alianza Atlético?
Tigre has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alianza Atlético - Tigre were as follows:
Latest results of Alianza Atlético
Copa Sudamericana Table
Group StageGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | America De Cali | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 2 | Macara | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Alianza Atl | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 4 | Tigre | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cienciano | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Juventud | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 4 |
| 3 | Puerto Cabello | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:7 | -5 | 3 |
| 4 | Atletico-MG | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sao Paulo | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | O'Higgins | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Millonarios | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Boston River | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
Group D | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Lorenzo | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 5 |
| 2 | Dep. Cuenca | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | Recoleta | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Santos | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 2 |
Group E | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Botafogo RJ | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Caracas | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Racing Club | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Independiente | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:7 | -6 | 0 |
Group F | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Montevideo City | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Gremio | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Dep. Riestra | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Palestino | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 2 |
Group G | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 4 |
| 2 | A. Italiano | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | Barracas Central | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Vasco | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
Group H | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | River Plate | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 2 | Carabobo | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Bragantino | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Blooming | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)