Result
1:2
20/08/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Sudamericana - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+, DSports 1, ESPN 2 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect |
 Belarus | Okko Sport |
 Bolivia | Tigo Sports 2 |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol |
 Chile | DirecTV Sports |
 Ecuador | DirecTV Sports |
 Georgia | Silk Sport 3 |
 Indonesia | Mola TV |
 Israel | Sport 4 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Malaysia | Mola |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Peru | DirecTV Sports |
 South-america | DGO Latin America, ViX Latin America |
 Spain | LaLiga+ |
 Uruguay | DirecTV Sports, DSports 1 |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Latino, Tubi TV |
 Venezuela | DirecTV Sports, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 1.00 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 71% | 29% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (456/534) | 68% (157/232) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 1.00 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.38 | 1.71 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (456/534) | 68% (157/232) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 73% (45/62) | 40% (26/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (110/156) | 51% (36/71) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (8/30) | 0% (0/5) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 0.58 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (7/14) | 40% (6/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 9 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.71 | 0.38 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.29 | -0.62 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 18', 1 - 0, Londono A. ⚽, Diaz M. (A),
- 39', 1 - 1, Castillo E. ⚽, Pena S. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Lara J. ↓, Valencia E. ↑,
- 46', Burlamaqui A. ↓, Archimbaud J. ↑,
- 56', Canga L. 🟨,
- 57', Moreno L. ↓, Cacciabue J. ↑,
- 58', Romero Padilla D. A. ↓, Mejia E. ↑,
- 62', Anangono G. 🟨,
- 65', Alonso M. ↓, Fajardo J. ↑,
- 67', Pena S. ↓, Cantero A. ↑,
- 68', Cantero A. 🟨,
- 81', Zambrano C. ↓, Chavez G. ↑,
- 81', 1 - 2, Quevedo K. ⚽, Barcos H. (A),
- 82', Quevedo K. 🟨,
- 85', Quevedo K. ↓, Gentile G. ↑,
- 85', Barcos H. ↓, Succar M. ↑,
- 85', Clavijo E. ↓, Martinez F. ↑,
- 90+5', Succar M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
57.3% | Draw
24.8% | Alianza Lima
17.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universidad Católica del Ecuador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Universidad Católica del Ecuador's performance.Alianza Lima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alianza Lima might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Católica del Ecuador than the current prediction. (-8.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Universidad Católica del Ecuador that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Lima than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alianza Lima could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Alianza Lima Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.66 ↓
(1.85) |
3.79 ↑
(3.4) |
5.21 ↑
(4) |
5.8%
(8.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Alianza Lima?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Uni Católica will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Alianza Lima will win (votes: 6 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Uni Católica: 28.1% – 78.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Alianza Lima (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 0-2. 2nd leg.
- Uni Católica has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Alianza Lima is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In this match, Uni Católica is the team to beat.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Uni Católica won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Universidad Católica del Ecuador won against Alianza Lima?
Universidad Católica del Ecuador has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Lima won against Universidad Católica del Ecuador?
Alianza Lima has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Alianza Lima were as follows:
13.08.2025
Alianza Lima
-
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
2:0
Latest results of Universidad Católica del Ecuador
Latest results of Alianza Lima
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Alianza Lima | Gremio | 1 : 1, 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Bye | U. Catolica | |
| 3 | U. De Chile | Guarani | 1 : 2, 5 : 0 |
| 4 | Bye | Independiente | |
| 5 | Central Cordoba | Cerro Largo | 3 : 0, 0 : 0 |
| 6 | Bye | Lanus | |
| 7 | Bahia | America De Cali | 0 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 8 | Bye | Fluminense | |
| 9 | Bolivar | Palestino | 3 : 0, 3 : 0 |
| 10 | Bye | Cienciano | |
| 11 | Bucaramanga | Atletico-MG | 1 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 12 | Bye | Godoy Cruz | |
| 13 | Ind. del Valle | Vasco | 1 : 1, 4 : 0 |
| 14 | Bye | Mushuc Runa | |
| 15 | SA Bulo Bulo | Once Caldas | 0 : 4, 0 : 3 |
| 16 | Bye | Huracan | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Alianza Lima | U. Catolica | 2 : 1, 2 : 0 |
| 2 | U. De Chile | Independiente | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Central Cordoba | Lanus | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | America De Cali | Fluminense | 0 : 2, 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Bolivar | Cienciano | 2 : 0, 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Atletico-MG | Godoy Cruz | 1 : 0, 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Ind. del Valle | Mushuc Runa | 2 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Once Caldas | Huracan | 3 : 1, 1 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Alianza Lima | TBD #2 | |
| 2 | Lanus | Fluminense | |
| 3 | Bolivar | Atletico-MG | |
| 4 | Ind. del Valle | Once Caldas | |
