Result
0:0
01/04/2026 at 17:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 15
- Referee: Moncada A. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belarus | Sport TV |
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play, Win Sports |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.77 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (290/359) | 81% (333/409) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.77 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.21 | 0.38 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (290/359) | 81% (333/409) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (28/57) | 40% (19/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (52/91) | 72% (91/126) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 56% (9/16) | 21% (3/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 0.58 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 85% (11/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.38 | 0.21 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.38 | 0.21 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 17', Banguera G. 🟨,
- 28', Cantillo F. 🟨,
- 38', Lucumi C. ↓, Martinez M. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 59', Jimenez M. S. ↓, Garavito M. ↑,
- 59', Mancilla H. ↓, Goez Y. ↑,
- 65', Fernandez W. ↓, Esparragoza C. ↑,
- 65', Pardo F. ↓, Munoz J. ↑,
- 65', Lasso J. ↓, Banguero E. ↑,
- 74', Rosales Y. 🟨,
- 75', Perlaza J. ↓, Gil M. ↑,
- 75', Goyes H. ↓, Chavez D. ↑,
- 77', Castillo J. 🟨,
- 78', Cantillo F. ↓, Londono Y. ↑,
- 82', Castillo J. 🟨,
- 85', Pisano M. 🟨,
- 88', Serje Orozco E. C. ↓, Preciado P. ↑,
- 90+3', Garavito M. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/yk75ay3x
Chances of winning
Alianza Valledupar
39.7% | Draw
32.3% | Deportivo Pasto
28% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alianza Valledupar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alianza Valledupar's performance.Deportivo Pasto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Pasto might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Valledupar than the current prediction. (-5.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alianza Valledupar that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Pasto than the current prediction. (+7.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Pasto could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Alianza Valledupar - Deportivo Pasto Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.35 ↓
(2.77) |
2.9 ↓
(3.03) |
3.4 ↑
(2.63) |
6.4%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Alianza Valledupar - Deportivo Pasto?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Alianza will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Deportivo Pasto will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Deportivo Pasto: 9.6% – 70.4%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - Alianza (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Alianza (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 1.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Alianza may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:25. (average 1.2:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Alianza won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:12. (average 1.5:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Valledupar won against Deportivo Pasto?
Alianza Valledupar has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Pasto won against Alianza Valledupar?
Deportivo Pasto has won 1 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alianza Valledupar - Deportivo Pasto were as follows:
05.10.2025
Deportivo Pasto
-
Alianza Valledupar
3:3
15.04.2025
Alianza Valledupar
-
Deportivo Pasto
1:0
29.09.2024
Deportivo Pasto
-
Alianza Valledupar
1:0
15.03.2024
Alianza Valledupar
-
Deportivo Pasto
1:1
21.07.2023
Deportivo Pasto
-
Alianza Valledupar
1:1
Latest results of Alianza Valledupar
Latest results of Deportivo Pasto
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Nacional ✔ | 15 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 30:11 | 19 | 34 |
| 2 | Dep. Pasto | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 21:17 | 4 | 28 |
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 24:13 | 11 | 27 |
| 4 | Once Caldas | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 26:19 | 7 | 25 |
| 5 | Junior | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 21:20 | 1 | 25 |
| 6 | America De Cali | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 19:12 | 7 | 24 |
| 7 | Dep. Cali | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 17:13 | 4 | 22 |
| 8 | Aguilas | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 22 |
| 9 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 18:20 | -2 | 22 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 25:17 | 8 | 21 |
| 11 | Llaneros | 15 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 20 |
| 12 | Bucaramanga | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18:14 | 4 | 19 |
| 13 | Santa Fe | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18:19 | -1 | 19 |
| 14 | Ind. Medellin | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 19:19 | 0 | 17 |
| 15 | Fortaleza | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17:23 | -6 | 16 |
| 16 | Cucuta | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 21:27 | -6 | 15 |
| 17 | Alianza | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 10:22 | -12 | 15 |
| 18 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 14:28 | -14 | 14 |
| 19 | Chico | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11:21 | -10 | 11 |
| 20 | Pereira | 15 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 14:29 | -15 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Atl. Nacional is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
