Result
3:3
05/10/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Round 14
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 2.20 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (248/300) | 86% (377/439) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 2.20 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 2.16 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 9 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (248/300) | 86% (377/439) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (31/62) | 50% (27/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (41/66) | 62% (58/93) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (4/15) | 28% (5/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.31 | 1.61 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (9/11) | 100% (10/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 10 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.16 | 1.14 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.84 | -1.86 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 17', 1 - 0, Jimenez M. S. ⚽,
- 32', 2 - 0, Bone F. ⚽, Castano M. (A),
- 45+3', 2 - 1, Torres E. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 47', 3 - 1, Espinal F. ⚽,
- 49', Caicedo J. 🟨,
- 52', 3 - 2, Lucumi C. ⚽,
- 67', Mendez J. ↓, Jaramillo F. ↑,
- 71', Fernandez W. ↓, Munoz J. ↑,
- 71', Castillo J. ↓, Perez L. ↑,
- 73', Espinal F. ↓, Hurtado J. ↑,
- 76', Munoz J. ↓, Gil M. ↑,
- 78', Franco P. 🟨,
- 81', Torres E. ↓, Aponza Cantonil S. A. ↑,
- 82', Manjarres R. ↓, Mosquera F. ↑,
- 82', Valois Y. ↓, Preciado P. ↑,
- 82', Bone F. ↓, Rivas J. ↑,
- 87', Jaramillo F. 🟨,
- 90+1', Mosquera F. 🟨,
- 90+7', 3 - 3, Lucumi C. (Pen),
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/56zet4sx
Chances of winning
Deportivo Pasto
34% | Draw
31.4% | Alianza Valledupar
34.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Pasto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Pasto's form might have worsened.Alianza Valledupar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alianza Valledupar's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Pasto than the current prediction. (+9.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Pasto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Valledupar than the current prediction. (-7.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alianza Valledupar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Deportivo Pasto - Alianza Valledupar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.71 ↑
(2.2) |
2.96 ↓
(3.2) |
2.75 ↓
(3.4) |
7%
(6.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Deportivo Pasto - Alianza Valledupar?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Deportivo Pasto will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Alianza will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Alianza (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Alianza (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Pasto won 1.
- Deportivo Pasto has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Alianza has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Alianza may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Pasto won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:20. (average 1.2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Pasto won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:4. (average 1.2:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Pasto won against Alianza Valledupar?
Deportivo Pasto has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Valledupar won against Deportivo Pasto?
Alianza Valledupar has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Pasto - Alianza Valledupar were as follows:
15.04.2025
Alianza Valledupar
-
Deportivo Pasto
1:0
29.09.2024
Deportivo Pasto
-
Alianza Valledupar
1:0
15.03.2024
Alianza Valledupar
-
Deportivo Pasto
1:1
21.07.2023
Deportivo Pasto
-
Alianza Valledupar
1:1
04.06.2023
Alianza Valledupar
-
Deportivo Pasto
1:0
Latest results of Deportivo Pasto
Latest results of Alianza Valledupar
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Nacional | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 23:9 | 14 | 24 |
| 2 | Dep. Pasto | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 18:14 | 4 | 24 |
| 3 | Once Caldas | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 23:13 | 10 | 23 |
| 4 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 17:15 | 2 | 21 |
| 5 | America De Cali | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 16:8 | 8 | 20 |
| 6 | Bucaramanga | 11 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 16:6 | 10 | 19 |
| 7 | Deportes Tolima | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 14:8 | 6 | 19 |
| 8 | Junior | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 17:18 | -1 | 19 |
| 9 | Millonarios | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 19:13 | 6 | 17 |
| 10 | Dep. Cali | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 14:11 | 3 | 16 |
| 11 | Llaneros | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 14:13 | 1 | 15 |
| 12 | Aguilas | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 11:11 | 0 | 15 |
| 13 | Fortaleza | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 13:18 | -5 | 14 |
| 14 | Ind. Medellin | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 15:15 | 0 | 13 |
| 15 | Santa Fe | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 12:14 | -2 | 12 |
| 16 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 10:22 | -12 | 10 |
| 17 | Alianza | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 6:19 | -13 | 8 |
| 18 | Cucuta | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 16:25 | -9 | 7 |
| 19 | Chico | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9:19 | -10 | 7 |
| 20 | Pereira | 11 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 10:22 | -12 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
