Result
1:0
15/04/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 14
- Referee: Ortiz J. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 Mexico | VIX+, ViX Premium |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 0.46 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (383/450) | 82% (296/362) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 0.46 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 0.25 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 19 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (383/450) | 82% (296/362) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 61% (31/51) | 46% (22/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (74/116) | 70% (88/126) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (8/29) | 21% (5/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 1.06 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (10/10) | 79% (11/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 35 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 23 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.25 | 0.53 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.25 | -0.47 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 45+3', 1 - 0, Gil M. ⚽, Navarro E. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Villa F. ↓, Quinones D. ↑,
- 46', Caicedo J. ↓, Morinigo N. ↑,
- 46', Charrupi G. ↓, Castilla J. ↑,
- 55', Mendoza Benitez D. A. ↓, Manjarres R. ↑,
- 55', Fernandez W. ↓, Munoz J. ↑,
- 56', Manjarres R. 🟨,
- 57', Bone F. ↓, Castillo D. ↑,
- 57', Franco J. 🟨,
- 62', Gil M. ↓, Figueroa J. ↑,
- 68', Jaramillo F. 🟨,
- 72', Jaramillo F. ↓, Rendon K. ↑,
- 82', Pardo F. ↓, Aponza Cantonil S. A. ↑,
- 82', Martinez M. ↓, Vergara C. ↑,
- 86', Alarcon A. 🟨,
- 90+2', Castilla J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Alianza Valledupar
45.7% | Draw
31% | Deportivo Pasto
23.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alianza Valledupar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)Deportivo Pasto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Valledupar than the current prediction. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Pasto than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Alianza Valledupar - Deportivo Pasto Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.07 ↑
(1.93) |
3.02 ↓
(3.2) |
3.98 ↑
(3.85) |
6.5%
(9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Alianza Valledupar - Deportivo Pasto?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Alianza will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Deportivo Pasto will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 13.8% – 69.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Alianza (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 12 and 9).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Alianza won 1.
- Alianza is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Deportivo Pasto is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Deportivo Pasto could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Alianza will have a mini benefit in this match.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Alianza won 5 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 20:23 (average 1:1.2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Alianza won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 15:12 (average 1.5:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Valledupar won against Deportivo Pasto?
Alianza Valledupar has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Pasto won against Alianza Valledupar?
Deportivo Pasto has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alianza Valledupar - Deportivo Pasto were as follows:
29.09.2024
Deportivo Pasto
-
Alianza Valledupar
1:0
15.03.2024
Alianza Valledupar
-
Deportivo Pasto
1:1
21.07.2023
Deportivo Pasto
-
Alianza Valledupar
1:1
04.06.2023
Alianza Valledupar
-
Deportivo Pasto
1:0
01.06.2023
Deportivo Pasto
-
Alianza Valledupar
0:0
Latest results of Alianza Valledupar
Latest results of Deportivo Pasto
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Junior | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14:6 | 8 | 14 |
| 2 | Atl. Nacional | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:5 | 6 | 11 |
| 3 | Llaneros | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:2 | 4 | 11 |
| 4 | Fortaleza | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8:6 | 2 | 10 |
| 5 | Ind. Medellin | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 10 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 10 |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 9 |
| 8 | Dep. Cali | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:12 | -2 | 9 |
| 9 | Pereira | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 | Bucaramanga | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:6 | 2 | 7 |
| 11 | Envigado | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 6 |
| 12 | Chico | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 6 |
| 13 | La Equidad | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 6 |
| 14 | Dep. Pasto | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:5 | 1 | 5 |
| 15 | Alianza | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:10 | -5 | 5 |
| 16 | U. Magdalena | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:10 | -6 | 5 |
| 17 | America De Cali | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 18 | Aguilas | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 4 |
| 19 | Once Caldas | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 2 |
| 20 | Millonarios | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
