Alianza Valledupar vs Deportivo Pasto – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Colombian Primera A Alianza Valledupar - Deportivo Pasto
Result
1:0
15/04/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera A - Apertura - Round 14
  • Referee: Ortiz J. (Col)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
colombiaColombiaWin+ Futbol, Win play
mexicoMexicoVIX+, ViX Premium
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.660.46
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
1415
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
66
Passes
85% (383/450)82% (296/362)
Yellow Cards
14
Expected Goals (xG)
0.660.46
xG on target (xGOT)
0.530.25
Total shots
1415
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
74
Blocked Shots
36
Shots inside the Box
75
Shots outside the Box
710
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
66
Touches in opposition box
1319
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1215
Passes
85% (383/450)82% (296/362)
Long passes
61% (31/51)46% (22/48)
Passes in final third
64% (74/116)70% (88/126)
Crosses
28% (8/29)21% (5/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.521.06
Fouls
1512
Tackles
100% (10/10)79% (11/14)
Duels won
3535
Clearances Total
2332
Interceptions
47
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
53
xGOT faced
0.250.53
Goals prevented
0.25-0.47

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 45+3', 1 - 0, Gil M. , Navarro E. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Villa F. , Quinones D. ,
  • 46', Caicedo J. , Morinigo N. ,
  • 46', Charrupi G. , Castilla J. ,
  • 55', Mendoza Benitez D. A. , Manjarres R. ,
  • 55', Fernandez W. , Munoz J. ,
  • 56', Manjarres R. 🟨,
  • 57', Bone F. , Castillo D. ,
  • 57', Franco J. 🟨,
  • 62', Gil M. , Figueroa J. ,
  • 68', Jaramillo F. 🟨,
  • 72', Jaramillo F. , Rendon K. ,
  • 82', Pardo F. , Aponza Cantonil S. A. ,
  • 82', Martinez M. , Vergara C. ,
  • 86', Alarcon A. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Castilla J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Alianza Valledupar
45.7%
Draw
31%
Deportivo Pasto
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.5% 28.7% 23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1% 28.5% 24%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alianza Valledupar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • Deportivo Pasto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Valledupar than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Pasto than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • Alianza Valledupar - Deportivo Pasto Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.07
    (1.93)
    3.02
    (3.2)
    3.98
    (3.85)
    6.5%
    (9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Alianza Valledupar - Deportivo Pasto?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Alianza will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Deportivo Pasto will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 13.8%69.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Alianza (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 12 and 9).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Alianza won 1.
    • Alianza is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Deportivo Pasto is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Deportivo Pasto could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Alianza will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Alianza won 5 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 20:23 (average 1:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Alianza won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 15:12 (average 1.5:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alianza Valledupar - Deportivo Pasto were as follows:
    29.09.2024 Deportivo Pasto - Alianza Valledupar 1:0
    15.03.2024 Alianza Valledupar - Deportivo Pasto 1:1
    21.07.2023 Deportivo Pasto - Alianza Valledupar 1:1
    04.06.2023 Alianza Valledupar - Deportivo Pasto 1:0
    01.06.2023 Deportivo Pasto - Alianza Valledupar 0:0
    Latest results of Alianza Valledupar
    Colombian Primera A Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atl. Nacional32017:436
    2Junior22005:236
    3Fortaleza22003:126
    4Santa Fe31203:215
    5Llaneros31202:115
    6Chico31114:314
    7Pereira31114:404
    8Alianza31112:204
    9Dep. Pasto11003:213
    10Deportes Tolima31023:4-13
    11Aguilas30212:3-12
    12Bucaramanga10101:101
    13America De Cali10100:001
    14U. Magdalena10100:001
    15Envigado20110:1-11
    16Ind. Medellin20111:3-21
    17La Equidad20111:3-21
    18Dep. Cali20110:2-21
    19Millonarios00000:000
    20Once Caldas20022:5-30

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