Alverca vs Gil Vicente – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:4
24/10/2025 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal - Round 9
  • Referee: Pinheiro J. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 7
portugalPortugalSport TV1
south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica
surinameSurinameSCCN
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaInter

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.561.21
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
612
Shots on target
25
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
14
Passes
85% (341/399)81% (257/319)
Yellow Cards
34
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.561.21
xG on target (xGOT)
0.852.14
Total shots
612
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
42
Blocked Shots
05
Shots inside the Box
45
Shots outside the Box
27
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
14
Touches in opposition box
2015
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1812
Passes
85% (341/399)81% (257/319)
Long passes
51% (21/41)42% (19/45)
Passes in final third
67% (68/102)73% (66/90)
Crosses
22% (4/18)20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.171.06
Throw-ins
2017
Fouls
1218
Tackles
58% (15/26)70% (14/20)
Duels won
5947
Clearances
2220
Interceptions
57
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
2.140.85
Goals prevented
-1.860.85

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 1', 0 - 1, Esteves L. ,
  • 5', Buatu J. 🟨,
  • 14', Figueiredo , Nuozzi C. ,
  • 27', Abdulai S. 🟨,
  • 31', Garcia S. 🟨,
  • 35', Naves 🟨,
  • 45', 0 - 2, Garcia S. , Pablo (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Abdulai S. , Gui D. ,
  • 46', Buatu J. , Espigares A. ,
  • 51', 0 - 3, Pablo , Murilo de Souza (A),
  • 58', Garcia S. , Ze Carlos ,
  • 63', Amorim , Cabezas G. ,
  • 63', Marezi , Sandro Lima ,
  • 68', Pablo , Varela G. ,
  • 68', Fernandes J. , Fernandez M. ,
  • 70', 0 - 4, Fernandez M. , Esteves L. (A),
  • 71', Ze Carlos 🟨,
  • 74', Naves , Baseya S. ,
  • 74', Esteves L. 🟥,
  • 79', Lincoln (Pen),
  • 80', Ze Carlos , Hevertton S. ,
  • 83', Cabezas G. 🟨,
  • 89', Caseres F. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Alverca
13.1%
Draw
23.1%
Gil Vicente
63.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.3% 30.9% 36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32% 30.7% 37.1%

Alverca - Gil Vicente Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
12.35
(2.9)
6.63
(3.03)
2.09
(2.55)
-29%
(6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Alverca - Gil Vicente?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Alverca will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Gil Vicente will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.8%76.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Gil Vicente (1.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Gil Vicente (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Gil Vicente could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Alverca: Chiquinho (Injury) Leo Chu (Inactive) Martinez J. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Gil Vicente: Bamba M. (Inactive) Carlos Eduardo (Inactive) da Silva Ventura A. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Alverca: James I. (Inactive)
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Alverca
    18.10.2025 Leiria - Alverca 3:2
    04.10.2025 AVS - Alverca 1:3
    20.09.2025 Santa Clara - Alverca 2:1
    12.09.2025 Alverca - Tondela 1:0
    Latest results of Gil Vicente
    Liga Portugal Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Porto18171037:43352
    2Sporting CP18143150:94145
    3Benfica18126038:112742
    4Gil Vicente1887324:131131
    5Braga1886432:181430
    6Moreirense1883725:26-127
    7Famalicao1875621:14726
    8Vitoria Guimaraes1874718:23-525
    9Estoril1865733:29423
    10Alverca1872919:28-923
    11Rio Ave1848622:31-920
    12Estrela1847723:32-919
    13Santa Clara1845914:20-617
    14Nacional1845922:28-617
    15Arouca1845919:42-2317
    16Casa Pia18351017:35-1814
    17Tondela18331212:30-1812
    18AFS18041411:44-334

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Liga Portugal (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2