Result
2:2
14/03/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 26
- Referee: Guelho S. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Hungary | Sport 2 |
 Portugal | Sport TV4 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 2 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 Uruguay | Antel TV |
 Usa | Fubo Latino |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 1.83 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (353/419) | 82% (319/389) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 1.83 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 1.91 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (353/419) | 82% (319/389) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (20/45) | 46% (25/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (77/114) | 64% (49/76) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (3/10) | 27% (4/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.43 | 1.39 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 12 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 89% (16/18) | 47% (7/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.91 | 1.11 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.09 | -0.89 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 32', 1 - 0, Moreira A. ⚽, Esteves L. (A),
- 35', Buatu J. 🟨,
- 37', Rhaldney 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 53', 1 - 1, Sandro Lima ⚽, Chiquinho (A),
- 59', Garcia S. 🟨,
- 71', 2 - 1, Moreira A. ⚽, Garcia S. (A),
- 72', Caseres F. ↓, Ze Carlos ↑,
- 73', Moreira A. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
- 73', Hevertton S. ↓, Ze Carlos ↑,
- 75', Rhaldney ↓, Gui D. ↑,
- 75', Sandro Lima ↓, Marezi ↑,
- 79', Ze Carlos 🟨,
- 82', Varela G. ↓, Carlos Eduardo ↑,
- 83', Figueiredo ↓, Garcia F. ↑,
- 83', James I. ↓, Clairicia M. ↑,
- 88', Esteves L. ↓, Espigares A. ↑,
- 90', Chiquinho ↓, Moreira V. ↑,
- 90+4', 2 - 2, Naves ⚽,
Chances of winning
Gil Vicente
54.8% | Draw
26.6% | Alverca
18.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gil Vicente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)Alverca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gil Vicente than the current prediction. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alverca than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Gil Vicente - Alverca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.73 ↓
(1.83) |
3.54 ↓
(3.73) |
5.09 ↑
(4.63) |
5.6%
(3.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Gil Vicente - Alverca?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Users Predictions:
Gil Vicente will win
(12 of 12 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Gil Vicente will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 and 10).
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- In this match, Gil Vicente is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Gil Vicente: Bamba M.
(Inactive)
Mutombo J.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Alverca: Abdulai S.
(Injury)
Diarra S.
(Muscle Injury)
Mendes T.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Gil Vicente: Toure T.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Alverca: Chissumba
(Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Gil Vicente won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Gil Vicente won against Alverca?
Gil Vicente has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alverca won against Gil Vicente?
Alverca has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gil Vicente - Alverca were as follows:
24.10.2025
Alverca
-
Gil Vicente
0:4
Latest results of Gil Vicente
Latest results of Alverca
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 27 | 23 | 3 | 1 | 54:11 | 43 | 72 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 26 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 68:15 | 53 | 65 |
| 3 | Benfica | 27 | 19 | 8 | 0 | 58:17 | 41 | 65 |
| 4 | Braga | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 53:27 | 26 | 46 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 33:22 | 11 | 45 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 39:28 | 11 | 42 |
| 7 | Estoril | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 48:44 | 4 | 37 |
| 8 | Moreirense | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 31:39 | -8 | 35 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 29:42 | -13 | 32 |
| 10 | Rio Ave | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 28:46 | -18 | 30 |
| 11 | Alverca | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 27:45 | -18 | 29 |
| 12 | Arouca | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 34:55 | -21 | 29 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 24:31 | -7 | 28 |
| 14 | Estrela | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 33:45 | -12 | 28 |
| 15 | Casa Pia | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 26:48 | -22 | 24 |
| 16 | Nacional | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 29:39 | -10 | 22 |
| 17 | Tondela | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 19:39 | -20 | 20 |
| 18 | AFS | 27 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 18:58 | -40 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
