Alverca vs Gil Vicente – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:4
24/10/2025 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal - Round 9
  • Referee: Pinheiro J. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 7
portugalPortugalSport TV1
south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica
surinameSurinameSCCN
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaInter

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.561.21
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
612
Shots on target
25
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
14
Passes
85% (341/399)81% (257/319)
Yellow Cards
34
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.561.21
xG on target (xGOT)
0.852.14
Total shots
612
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
42
Blocked Shots
05
Shots inside the Box
45
Shots outside the Box
27
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
14
Touches in opposition box
2015
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1812
Passes
85% (341/399)81% (257/319)
Long passes
51% (21/41)42% (19/45)
Passes in final third
67% (68/102)73% (66/90)
Crosses
22% (4/18)20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.171.06
Throw-ins
2017
Fouls
1218
Tackles
58% (15/26)70% (14/20)
Duels won
5947
Clearances
2220
Interceptions
57
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
2.140.85
Goals prevented
-1.860.85

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 1', 0 - 1, Esteves L. ,
  • 5', Buatu J. 🟨,
  • 14', Figueiredo , Nuozzi C. ,
  • 27', Abdulai S. 🟨,
  • 31', Garcia S. 🟨,
  • 35', Naves 🟨,
  • 45', 0 - 2, Garcia S. , Pablo (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Abdulai S. , Gui D. ,
  • 46', Buatu J. , Espigares A. ,
  • 51', 0 - 3, Pablo , Murilo de Souza (A),
  • 58', Garcia S. , Ze Carlos ,
  • 63', Amorim , Cabezas G. ,
  • 63', Marezi , Sandro Lima ,
  • 68', Pablo , Varela G. ,
  • 68', Fernandes J. , Fernandez M. ,
  • 70', 0 - 4, Fernandez M. , Esteves L. (A),
  • 71', Ze Carlos 🟨,
  • 74', Naves , Baseya S. ,
  • 74', Esteves L. 🟥,
  • 79', Lincoln (Pen),
  • 80', Ze Carlos , Hevertton S. ,
  • 83', Cabezas G. 🟨,
  • 89', Caseres F. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Alverca
13.1%
Draw
23.1%
Gil Vicente
63.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.3% 30.9% 36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32% 30.7% 37.1%

Alverca - Gil Vicente Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
12.35
(2.9)
6.63
(3.03)
2.09
(2.55)
-29%
(6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Alverca - Gil Vicente?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Alverca will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Gil Vicente will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.8%76.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Gil Vicente could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Alverca: Chiquinho (Injury) Leo Chu (Inactive) Martinez J. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Gil Vicente: Bamba M. (Inactive) Carlos Eduardo (Inactive) da Silva Ventura A. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Alverca: James I. (Inactive)
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Alverca
    18.10.2025 Leiria - Alverca 3:2
    04.10.2025 AVS - Alverca 1:3
    20.09.2025 Santa Clara - Alverca 2:1
    12.09.2025 Alverca - Tondela 1:0
    Latest results of Gil Vicente
    Liga Portugal Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Porto13121027:32437
    2Sporting CP13102132:72532
    3Benfica1385026:81829
    4Gil Vicente1373316:61024
    5Braga1364325:121322
    6Famalicao1355314:9520
    7Moreirense1362521:20120
    8Vitoria Guimaraes1353514:17-318
    9Alverca1352615:19-417
    10Rio Ave1337317:21-416
    11Santa Clara1343611:14-315
    12Estoril1335522:21114
    13Estrela1335516:19-314
    14Nacional1333712:18-612
    15Casa Pia1323813:27-149
    16Tondela132387:22-159
    17Arouca1323814:37-239
    18AFS1303109:31-223

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Liga Portugal (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2