Alverca vs Gil Vicente – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:4
24/10/2025 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal - Round 9
  • Referee: Pinheiro J. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 7
portugalPortugalSport TV1
south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica
surinameSurinameSCCN
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaInter

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.561.21
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
612
Shots on target
25
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
14
Passes
85% (341/399)81% (257/319)
Yellow Cards
34
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.561.21
xG on target (xGOT)
0.852.14
Total shots
612
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
42
Blocked Shots
05
Shots inside the Box
45
Shots outside the Box
27
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
14
Touches in opposition box
2015
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1812
Passes
85% (341/399)81% (257/319)
Long passes
51% (21/41)42% (19/45)
Passes in final third
67% (68/102)73% (66/90)
Crosses
22% (4/18)20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.171.06
Throw-ins
2017
Fouls
1218
Tackles
58% (15/26)70% (14/20)
Duels won
5947
Clearances
2220
Interceptions
57
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
2.140.85
Goals prevented
-1.860.85

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 1', 0 - 1, Esteves L. ,
  • 5', Buatu J. 🟨,
  • 14', Figueiredo , Nuozzi C. ,
  • 27', Abdulai S. 🟨,
  • 31', Garcia S. 🟨,
  • 35', Naves 🟨,
  • 45', 0 - 2, Garcia S. , Pablo (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Abdulai S. , Gui D. ,
  • 46', Buatu J. , Espigares A. ,
  • 51', 0 - 3, Pablo , Murilo de Souza (A),
  • 58', Garcia S. , Ze Carlos ,
  • 63', Amorim , Cabezas G. ,
  • 63', Marezi , Sandro Lima ,
  • 68', Pablo , Varela G. ,
  • 68', Fernandes J. , Fernandez M. ,
  • 70', 0 - 4, Fernandez M. , Esteves L. (A),
  • 71', Ze Carlos 🟨,
  • 74', Naves , Baseya S. ,
  • 74', Esteves L. 🟥,
  • 79', Lincoln (Pen),
  • 80', Ze Carlos , Hevertton S. ,
  • 83', Cabezas G. 🟨,
  • 89', Caseres F. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Alverca
13.1%
Draw
23.1%
Gil Vicente
63.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.3% 30.9% 36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32% 30.7% 37.1%

Alverca - Gil Vicente Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
12.35
(2.9)
6.63
(3.03)
2.09
(2.55)
-29%
(6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Alverca - Gil Vicente?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Alverca will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Gil Vicente will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.8%76.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Gil Vicente (1.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Gil Vicente (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 5 - 83.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Gil Vicente could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Alverca: Chiquinho (Injury) Leo Chu (Inactive) Martinez J. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Gil Vicente: Bamba M. (Inactive) Carlos Eduardo (Inactive) da Silva Ventura A. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Alverca: James I. (Inactive)
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Alverca
    18.10.2025 Leiria - Alverca 3:2
    04.10.2025 AVS - Alverca 1:3
    20.09.2025 Santa Clara - Alverca 2:1
    12.09.2025 Alverca - Tondela 1:0
    Latest results of Gil Vicente
    Liga Portugal Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Porto21182142:73556
    2Sporting CP21164155:124352
    3Benfica21147044:123249
    4Braga21116444:182639
    5Gil Vicente21107431:171437
    6Famalicao2195727:20732
    7Estoril2186743:35830
    8Moreirense2193927:29-230
    9Vitoria Guimaraes2184923:30-728
    10Alverca21731121:36-1524
    11Estrela2158825:37-1223
    12Arouca21651026:46-2023
    13Nacional21561027:30-321
    14Rio Ave2148922:41-1920
    15Casa Pia21471022:39-1719
    16Santa Clara21451216:26-1017
    17Tondela21351314:35-2114
    18AFS21051615:54-395

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Liga Portugal (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2