Result
 
                    0:4
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        24/10/2025 at  15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Liga Portugal - Round 9
- Referee: Pinheiro J. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV: 
                    
|  |  | 
|---|
|  Brazil | Disney+ | 
|  Finland | Veikkaus TV | 
|  Greece | COSMOTE Sport 7 | 
|  Portugal | Sport TV1 | 
|  South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica | 
|  Suriname | SCCN | 
|  Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine | 
|  Usa | Fanatiz | 
|  Venezuela | Inter | 
 
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
|  |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 1.56 | 1.21 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 56% | 44% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 6 | 12 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 2 | 5 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 3 | 2 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 1 | 4 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 85% (341/399) | 81% (257/319) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 3 | 4 | 
| Red Cards | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 1.56 | 1.21 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 0.85 | 2.14 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 6 | 12 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 2 | 5 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 4 | 2 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 0 | 5 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 4 | 5 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 2 | 7 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 3 | 2 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 1 | 4 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 20 | 15 | 
| Accurate through passes | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 2 | 0 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 18 | 12 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 85% (341/399) | 81% (257/319) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 51% (21/41) | 42% (19/45) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 67% (68/102) | 73% (66/90) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 22% (4/18) | 20% (2/10) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 1.17 | 1.06 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 20 | 17 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 12 | 18 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 58% (15/26) | 70% (14/20) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 59 | 47 | 
| Clearances | 
|---|
| 22 | 20 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 5 | 7 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 1 | 2 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 2.14 | 0.85 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| -1.86 | 0.85 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 1', 0 - 1, Esteves L. ⚽, 
- 5', Buatu J. 🟨, 
- 14', Figueiredo ↓, Nuozzi C. ↑, 
- 27', Abdulai S. 🟨, 
- 31', Garcia S. 🟨, 
- 35', Naves 🟨, 
- 45', 0 - 2, Garcia S. ⚽, Pablo (A), 
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Abdulai S. ↓, Gui D. ↑, 
- 46', Buatu J. ↓, Espigares A. ↑, 
- 51', 0 - 3, Pablo ⚽, Murilo de Souza (A), 
- 58', Garcia S. ↓, Ze Carlos ↑, 
- 63', Amorim ↓, Cabezas G. ↑, 
- 63', Marezi ↓, Sandro Lima ↑, 
- 68', Pablo ↓, Varela G. ↑, 
- 68', Fernandes J. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑, 
- 70', 0 - 4, Fernandez M. ⚽, Esteves L. (A), 
- 71', Ze Carlos 🟨, 
- 74', Naves ↓, Baseya S. ↑, 
- 74', Esteves L. 🟥, 
- 79', Lincoln (Pen), 
- 80', Ze Carlos ↓, Hevertton S. ↑, 
- 83', Cabezas G. 🟨, 
- 89', Caseres F. 🟨, 
  
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | Alverca 13.1%
 | Draw 23.1%
 | Gil Vicente 63.8%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Alverca - Gil Vicente Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 12.35 ↑ (2.9)
 | 6.63 ↑ (3.03)
 | 2.09 ↓ (2.55)
 | -29% (6.8%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Alverca - Gil Vicente?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                                            
                                            Users Predictions: 
                                            
                                            
                                            14 users predict this event. Alverca will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Gil Vicente will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 50%). 
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.8% – 76.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).                                The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Gil Vicente could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Alverca: Chiquinho
(Injury)
Leo Chu
(Inactive)
Martinez J.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Gil Vicente: Bamba M.
(Inactive)
Carlos Eduardo
(Inactive)
da Silva Ventura A.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Alverca: James I.
(Inactive)
- In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Alverca won against Gil Vicente?
                    
                    
                        
                            Alverca has won  of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Gil Vicente won against Alverca?
                    
                    
                        
                             Gil Vicente has won  of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Alverca - Gil Vicente were as follows:
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Alverca                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Gil Vicente                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26|  |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Sporting CP | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 25:5 | 20 | 25 | 
| 2 | FC Porto | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 21:2 | 19 | 25 | 
| 3 | Benfica | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 18:4 | 14 | 21 | 
| 4 | Gil Vicente | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14:4 | 10 | 19 | 
| 5 | Famalicao | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 10:4 | 6 | 16 | 
| 6 | Moreirense | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 15 | 
| 7 | Braga | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 16:8 | 8 | 13 | 
| 8 | Rio Ave | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 13:14 | -1 | 11 | 
| 9 | Santa Clara | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8:10 | -2 | 11 | 
| 10 | Nacional | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 11 | 
| 11 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 11 | 
| 12 | Alverca | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11:18 | -7 | 10 | 
| 13 | Arouca | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10:24 | -14 | 9 | 
| 14 | Casa Pia | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8:17 | -9 | 8 | 
| 15 | Estrela | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 7 | 
| 16 | Estoril | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 7 | 
| 17 | Tondela | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4:17 | -13 | 5 | 
| 18 | AFS | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5:22 | -17 | 1 | 
      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Liga Portugal (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2