Result
1:0
18/04/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 30
- Referee: Nogueira M. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 0.46 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (323/402) | 81% (319/394) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 0.46 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.76 | 0.83 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 31 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (323/402) | 81% (319/394) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (28/59) | 47% (22/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (83/130) | 71% (96/136) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 43% (6/14) | 17% (4/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 0.43 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 11 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (14/24) | 83% (5/6) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 46 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.83 | 1.76 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.76 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 38', Rhaldney 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Rhaldney ↓, Gui D. ↑,
- 63', Daniel Junior ↓, Soares F. ↑,
- 67', 1 - 0, Ramirez J. ⚽, Jose Gomes (A),
- 75', Lincoln ↓, Moreira V. ↑,
- 75', Sandro Lima ↓, Marezi ↑,
- 75', Figueiredo ↓, Clairicia M. ↑,
- 78', Labidi C. 🟨,
- 87', Gabriel Veron 🟨,
- 87', Gabriel Veron ↓, Matheus Dias ↑,
- 88', Chiquinho ↓, Kassary Z. ↑,
- 90+3', Liziero ↓, Aurelio J. ↑,
- 90+3', Ramirez J. ↓, Pablo Ruan ↑,
Chances of winning
Nacional
43.1% | Draw
27.2% | Alverca
29.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)Alverca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional than the current prediction. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alverca than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Nacional - Alverca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.2 ↓
(2.23) |
3.48 ↑
(3.35) |
3.18 ↑
(3.15) |
5.6%
(6.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Nacional - Alverca?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Nacional will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Alverca will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 10).
- Nacional is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Alverca's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Nacional is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Nacional: Baeza M.
(Injury)
Fernandes I.
(Injury)
Gabriel Veron
(Inactive)
Leo Santos
(Yellow Cards)
Ulisses
(Broken calfbone)
Vallier L.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Alverca: Abdulai S.
(Injury)
Mendes T.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Nacional: Lucas Franca
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Alverca: Chissumba
(Injury)
Diarra S.
(Muscle Injury)
Martinez J.
(Inactive)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Nacional won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional won against Alverca?
Nacional has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alverca won against Nacional?
Alverca has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional - Alverca were as follows:
07.12.2025
Alverca
-
Nacional
1:0
Latest results of Nacional
Latest results of Alverca
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto ✔ | 32 | 27 | 4 | 1 | 64:15 | 49 | 85 |
| 2 | Benfica | 32 | 22 | 10 | 0 | 69:22 | 47 | 76 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 31 | 22 | 7 | 2 | 77:22 | 55 | 73 |
| 4 | Braga | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 60:32 | 28 | 57 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 41:29 | 12 | 52 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 46:32 | 14 | 49 |
| 7 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 38:43 | -5 | 42 |
| 8 | Moreirense | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 37:47 | -10 | 42 |
| 9 | Estoril | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 52:53 | -1 | 38 |
| 10 | Alverca | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 34:50 | -16 | 38 |
| 11 | Arouca | 32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 41:62 | -21 | 36 |
| 12 | Rio Ave | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 33:52 | -19 | 34 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 30:40 | -10 | 33 |
| 14 | Nacional | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 35:43 | -8 | 31 |
| 15 | Estrela | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 36:54 | -18 | 28 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 29:56 | -27 | 26 |
| 17 | Tondela | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 24:52 | -28 | 25 |
| 18 | AFS ✔ | 32 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 24:66 | -42 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
Clinched Spots for Teams
FC Porto is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
AFS is Relegated to Liga Portugal 2
