América Mineiro vs Grêmio Novorizontino – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

03/11/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Mineirão (Belo Horizonte).

Serie B Superbet - Round 35
Referee: do Nascimento W. (Bra)
Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.26	2.03
Ball Possession
51%	49%
Total shots
15	17
Shots on target
2	6
Big Chances
3	4
Corner Kicks
5	10
Passes
81% (327/402)	82% (301/366)
Yellow Cards
2	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26	2.03
xG on target (xGOT)
0.94	3.05
Total shots
15	17
Shots on target
2	6
Shots off target
10	6
Blocked Shots
3	5
Shots inside the Box
7	8
Shots outside the Box
8	9
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
3	4
Corner Kicks
5	10
Touches in opposition box
22	14
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
0	4
Free Kicks
6	6
Passes
81% (327/402)	82% (301/366)
Long passes
65% (50/77)	55% (36/65)
Passes in final third
59% (58/99)	75% (95/127)
Crosses
20% (3/15)	13% (4/31)
Expected assists (xA)
0.77	1.30
Throw-ins
23	22
Fouls
6	6
Tackles
62% (8/13)	50% (6/12)
Duels won
44	38
Clearances
34	28
Interceptions
10	11
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
4	1
xGOT faced
3.05	0.94
Goals prevented
1.05	-1.06

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
29', 0 - 1, Cesar Martins ⚽, Romulo (A),
35', Waguininho 🟨,
45+6', 1 - 1, Willian Bigode ⚽, Miguelito (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Ortiz C. ↓, Thauan ↑,
58', Emerson Santos 🟨,
65', Miqueias ↓, Jhosefer ↑,
67', Robson ↓, Lucca ↑,
67', Romulo ↓, Willian Farias ↑,
77', Willian Bigode ↓, Rafa Silva ↑,
77', Felipe Amaral ↓, Aloisio ↑,
82', Aloisio ↓, Rafa Barcelos ↑,
83', Waguininho ↓, Bruno Jose ↑,
83', Fabio Matheus ↓, Ruiz O. ↑,
84', Tavinho ↓, Matheus Frizzo ↑,
87', 2 - 1, Miguelito ⚽, Rafa Silva (A),
90+1', Dantas 🟨,
90+2', Jhosefer 🟨,
90+4', 2 - 2, Dantas ⚽, Matheus Frizzo (A),

Chances of winning

América Mineiro
40.7%

Draw
31.1%

Grêmio Novorizontino
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

América Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Grêmio Novorizontino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

América Mineiro - Grêmio Novorizontino Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (2.29)	2.98 ↓ (3.1)	3.24 ↑ (3.1)	7.8% (8.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for América Mineiro - Grêmio Novorizontino?

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. América MG will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. América MG (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 14 and 7).
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
América MG will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in América MG: Ale (Knee Injury) Dalbert (Thigh Injury) Guilherme Pato (Injury) Heber (Injury) Kaua Diniz (Yellow Cards) Ricardo Silva (Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Novorizontino: Marlon (Inactive) Renato Palm (Knee Injury) Vitinho (Inactive)
There are questionable in Novorizontino: Matheus Frizzo (Injury) Nathan Fogaca (Inactive) Rai Ramos (Inactive)
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, América MG won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).
Including home match between the teams, América MG won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

How many head-to-head matches has América Mineiro won against Grêmio Novorizontino?

América Mineiro has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio Novorizontino won against América Mineiro?

Grêmio Novorizontino has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between América Mineiro - Grêmio Novorizontino were as follows:

12.07.2025 Grêmio Novorizontino - América Mineiro 3:1

16.08.2024 Grêmio Novorizontino - América Mineiro 1:1

27.04.2024 América Mineiro - Grêmio Novorizontino 2:0

Latest results of América Mineiro

25.10.2025 Athletic Club - América Mineiro 0:2 ✺

18.10.2025 América Mineiro - CRB Maceio 1:1 ✺

12.10.2025 Criciúma - América Mineiro 2:1 ✺

08.10.2025 América Mineiro - Vila Nova 1:1 ✺

04.10.2025 Ferroviária - América Mineiro 1:3 ✺

Latest results of Grêmio Novorizontino

24.10.2025 Grêmio Novorizontino - Botafogo SP 1:1 ✺

17.10.2025 Amazonas - Grêmio Novorizontino 0:0 ✺

12.10.2025 Grêmio Novorizontino - Operário Ferroviario 3:0 ✺

08.10.2025 Cuiabá - Grêmio Novorizontino 0:1 ✺

04.10.2025 Chapecoense - Grêmio Novorizontino 1:0 ✺

Brazilian Serie B Table

2026

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Avai	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Ceara	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Sport Recife	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Goias	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Nautico	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	CRB	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Criciuma	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Vila Nova FC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Juventude	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Ponte Preta	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Fortaleza	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Atletico GO	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	America MG	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Botafogo SP	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Londrina	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Sao Bernardo	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Cuiaba	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Operario-PR	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Novorizontino	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	Athletic Club	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

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