Result
1:1
03/04/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 29
- Referee: Kherradji A. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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|---|
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.27 | 0.93 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (221/296) | 79% (345/435) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.27 | 0.93 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 1.12 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (221/296) | 79% (345/435) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (27/65) | 43% (29/68) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (66/117) | 51% (37/72) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (4/14) | 38% (5/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 0.75 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 89% (8/9) | 73% (8/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.12 | 1.35 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.12 | 0.35 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 11', 0 - 1, Kore Y. ⚽, Louis C. (A),
- 18', Chabane A. 🟨,
- 23', 1 - 1, Tomi F. ⚽,
- 33', Akueson G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 65', Sane I. ↓, Ntamack S. ↑,
- 65', Aissat O. ↓, Nduquidi J. ↑,
- 71', Guidi D. 🟨,
- 72', Ray R. 🟨,
- 74', Hamache I. ↓, Lutin R. ↑,
- 80', Boutrah A. ↓, Beliandjou R. ↑,
- 85', Guidi D. ↓, Janneh J. ↑,
- 85', Eickmayer J. ↓, Vincent C. ↑,
- 85', Meynadier T. ↓, Karamoko I. ↑,
- 87', Kandil N. ↓, Manitu M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Bastia
53% | Draw
26.4% | Amiens
20.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bastia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)Amiens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bastia than the current prediction. (-11.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bastia that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amiens than the current prediction. (+9.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Amiens could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Bastia - Amiens Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.78 ↓
(1.89) |
3.59 ↓
(3.72) |
4.55 ↑
(3.66) |
6.1%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Bastia - Amiens?
Users Predictions:
36 users predict this event. Bastia will win (votes: 9 - 25%). Amiens will win (votes: 25 - 69.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 5.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Amiens: 54.3% – 84.5%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Bastia (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Amiens (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.75 - Amiens (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -2 - Amiens (1.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5 - Amiens (1.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Amiens (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Amiens (3.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Amiens (3.12) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH 0 - Amiens (2.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Amiens (1.87) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DC - Amiens (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 17 Selected Experts predict this event. Bastia (votes: 2 - 11.8%). Amiens (votes: 15 - 88.2%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 16 in the zone Ligue 2 (Relegation)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bastia won 1.
- Bastia is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Amiens is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Bastia will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Bastia: Ariss Z.
(Injury)
Bathily Y.
(Injury)
Djedje D.
(Injury)
Guidi D.
(Knee Injury)
Parravicini N.
(Hernia)
Roncaglia A.
(Yellow Cards)
Sebas J.
(Yellow Cards)
Zilliox N.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Amiens: Appiah A.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Fofana I.
(Red Card)
Kaiboue K.
(Yellow Cards)
Lobry V.
(Knee Injury)
Manitu M.
(Ankle Injury)
Monconduit T.
(Yellow Cards)
Nduquidi J.
(Inactive)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Bastia won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 0.5:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bastia won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 0.6:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Bastia won against Amiens?
Bastia has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Amiens won against Bastia?
Amiens has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bastia - Amiens were as follows:
12.09.2025
Amiens
-
Bastia
0:0
17.01.2025
Amiens
-
Bastia
1:0
23.08.2024
Bastia
-
Amiens
1:0
03.05.2024
Bastia
-
Amiens
1:2
19.08.2023
Amiens
-
Bastia
2:1
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 29 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 51:30 | 21 | 58 |
| 2 | St Etienne | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 53:31 | 22 | 57 |
| 3 | Le Mans | 30 | 14 | 12 | 4 | 45:29 | 16 | 54 |
| 4 | Red Star | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 36:30 | 6 | 51 |
| 5 | Reims | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 43:28 | 15 | 48 |
| 6 | Rodez | 29 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 36:34 | 2 | 45 |
| 7 | Montpellier | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 35:27 | 8 | 44 |
| 8 | Annecy | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 36:34 | 2 | 43 |
| 9 | Pau FC | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 41:48 | -7 | 42 |
| 10 | Dunkerque | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 45:37 | 8 | 40 |
| 11 | Guingamp | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 39:42 | -3 | 40 |
| 12 | Boulogne | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 30:38 | -8 | 36 |
| 13 | Grenoble | 30 | 6 | 14 | 10 | 29:36 | -7 | 32 |
| 14 | Clermont | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 34:41 | -7 | 30 |
| 15 | Nancy | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 27:43 | -16 | 30 |
| 16 | Laval | 30 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 26:43 | -17 | 25 |
| 17 | Amiens | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 34:52 | -18 | 24 |
| 18 | Bastia | 30 | 3 | 12 | 15 | 19:36 | -17 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
