Result
1:0
17/01/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 19
- Referee: Valnet A. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 1.41 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 6 | 17 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 0 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 18 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 19 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 25 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 25 | 24 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (224/316) | 83% (390/469) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 73% (66/90) | 67% (89/132) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (3/14) | 19% (4/21) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (20/28) | 68% (19/28) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 30 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 45+1', Akueson G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 51', Janneh J. 🟨,
- 54', Mafouta L. 🟨,
- 57', Ariss Z. 🟨,
- 69', Tramoni L. ↓, Rodrigues C. ↑,
- 70', Janneh J. ↓, Etoga L. ↑,
- 70', Lutin R. ↓, Dao E. ↑,
- 72', Urhoghide O. 🟨,
- 80', Ducrocq T. 🟨,
- 82', 1 - 0, Mafouta L. (Pen),
- 83', Ducrocq T. ↓, Maggiotti J. ↑,
- 85', Cisse L. ↓, Ble M. ↑,
- 85', Gene O. ↓, Fofana I. ↑,
- 85', Kandil N. ↓, Manitu M. ↑,
- 90+2', Corchia S. ↓, Chabane A. ↑,
- 90+2', Chabane A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Amiens
30.7% | Draw
30.9% | Bastia
38.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Amiens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)Bastia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amiens than the current prediction. (+0.5%)The ML Model estimate for Bastia aligns with the current prediction.
Amiens - Bastia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.05 ↑
(2.97) |
3.03 ↓
(3.06) |
2.45 ↓
(2.48) |
6.8%
(6.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Amiens - Bastia?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Amiens will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). Bastia will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 32.6% – 78.6%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 8).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Amiens won 3.
- Amiens is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Bastia is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Bastia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Recently Bastia have a series of home games.
- Bastia will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Amiens: Chibozo A.
(Injury)
Fofana M.
(Injury)
- Last 8 head-to-head matches Amiens won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:5 (average 1:0.6).
- Including matches at home between the teams Amiens won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:2 (average 1.7:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Amiens won against Bastia?
Amiens has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bastia won against Amiens?
Bastia has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Amiens - Bastia were as follows:
23.08.2024
Bastia
-
Amiens
1:0
03.05.2024
Bastia
-
Amiens
1:2
19.08.2023
Amiens
-
Bastia
2:1
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | St Etienne | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8:3 | 5 | 7 |
| 2 | Nancy | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Troyes | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Clermont | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 5 |
| 5 | Red Star | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 4 |
| 6 | Montpellier | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 | Reims | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Pau FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 4 |
| 9 | Amiens | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 4 |
| 10 | Le Mans | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | Annecy | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 12 | Laval | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5:5 | 0 | 3 |
| 13 | Dunkerque | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5:7 | -2 | 2 |
| 14 | Rodez | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:5 | -4 | 2 |
| 15 | Bastia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 16 | Grenoble | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 1 |
| 17 | Guingamp | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:8 | -5 | 1 |
| 18 | Boulogne | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
