Result
2:1
07/03/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Round 25
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 45', 1 - 0, Aguilar Rosello P. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 58', 🟥,
- 71', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 73', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 90+6', 🟥,
Chances of winning
Arenas Armilla
43.6% | Draw
30.5% | Marbellí
25.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arenas Armilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)Marbellí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arenas Armilla than the current prediction. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marbellí than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Arenas Armilla - Marbellí Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.09 ↑
(1.95) |
3 ↓
(3.1) |
3.53 ↓
(3.76) |
9.5%
(10.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Arenas Armilla - Marbellí?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Arenas Armilla (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 9 (Play Offs: ) and 7).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Arenas Armilla is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Arenas Armilla won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Arenas Armilla won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Arenas Armilla won against Marbellí?
Arenas Armilla has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Marbellí won against Arenas Armilla?
Marbellí has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Arenas Armilla - Marbellí were as follows:
26.10.2025
Marbellí
-
Arenas Armilla
1:0
22.12.2024
Arenas Armilla
-
Marbellí
1:0
Latest results of Arenas Armilla
Latest results of Marbellí
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Motril | 30 | 16 | 10 | 4 | 50:26 | 24 | 58 |
| 2 | Mijas Las Lagunas | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 34:19 | 15 | 56 |
| 3 | Arenas Armilla | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 34:23 | 11 | 51 |
| 4 | Torre del Mar | 30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 33:21 | 12 | 51 |
| 5 | Churriana de la Vega | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 28:35 | -7 | 45 |
| 6 | Marbelli | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 31:25 | 6 | 44 |
| 7 | Torredonjimeno | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 36:34 | 2 | 44 |
| 8 | Huetor Vega | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 37:36 | 1 | 41 |
| 9 | Atletico de Porcuna | 30 | 12 | 4 | 14 | 35:33 | 2 | 40 |
| 10 | Granada CF B | 30 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 40:38 | 2 | 39 |
| 11 | UD San Pedro | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 31:33 | -2 | 39 |
| 12 | CD Alhaurino | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 35:38 | -3 | 36 |
| 13 | Melilla B | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 23:24 | -1 | 35 |
| 14 | Huetor Tajar | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 36:39 | -3 | 34 |
| 15 | Martos | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 30:37 | -7 | 34 |
| 16 | Mancha | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 24:32 | -8 | 32 |
| 17 | CD Torreperogil | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 20:40 | -20 | 27 |
| 18 | El Palo | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 24:48 | -24 | 23 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 9 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
