Result
1:1
24/01/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 19
Chances of winning
Durango
48.4% | Draw
27.5% | Aretxabaleta
24.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Durango has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)The chances for Aretxabaleta have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Durango than the current prediction. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aretxabaleta than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Durango - Aretxabaleta Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.88 ↓
(1.97) |
3.31 ↑
(3.04) |
3.76
(3.76) |
10.1%
(10.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 10).
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- In this match, Durango is considered a favorite.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Durango won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Durango won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Durango won against Aretxabaleta?
Durango has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Aretxabaleta won against Durango?
Aretxabaleta has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Durango - Aretxabaleta were as follows:
14.09.2025
Aretxabaleta
-
Durango
1:1
12.04.2025
Durango
-
Aretxabaleta
3:1
01.12.2024
Aretxabaleta
-
Durango
1:2
Latest results of Durango
Latest results of Aretxabaleta
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Portugalete | 27 | 21 | 4 | 2 | 58:17 | 41 | 67 |
| 2 | Leioa | 27 | 16 | 4 | 7 | 40:25 | 15 | 52 |
| 3 | Touring KE | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 36:26 | 10 | 47 |
| 4 | Lagun Onak | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 41:26 | 15 | 46 |
| 5 | Derio | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 45:31 | 14 | 46 |
| 6 | Aurrera de Vitoria | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 35:31 | 4 | 46 |
| 7 | Alaves C | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 44:31 | 13 | 42 |
| 8 | San Ignacio | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 27:20 | 7 | 42 |
| 9 | UD Aretxabaleta | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 44:44 | 0 | 38 |
| 10 | Durango | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 29:28 | 1 | 36 |
| 11 | Real Sociedad C | 27 | 11 | 3 | 13 | 29:35 | -6 | 36 |
| 12 | Santurtzi | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 27:35 | -8 | 31 |
| 13 | Pasaia | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 20:32 | -12 | 28 |
| 14 | Eibar C | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 30:43 | -13 | 27 |
| 15 | Anorga | 27 | 8 | 3 | 16 | 26:49 | -23 | 27 |
| 16 | Zamudio | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 28:43 | -15 | 26 |
| 17 | Zarautz KE | 27 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 22:50 | -28 | 22 |
| 18 | SD Deusto | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 18:33 | -15 | 21 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
