Result
1:1
24/01/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 19
Chances of winning
Durango
48.4% | Draw
27.5% | Aretxabaleta
24.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Durango has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)The chances for Aretxabaleta have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Durango than the current prediction. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aretxabaleta than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Durango - Aretxabaleta Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.88 ↓
(1.97) |
3.31 ↑
(3.04) |
3.76
(3.76) |
10.1%
(10.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 10).
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- In this match, Durango is considered a favorite.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Durango won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Durango won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Durango won against Aretxabaleta?
Durango has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Aretxabaleta won against Durango?
Aretxabaleta has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Durango - Aretxabaleta were as follows:
14.09.2025
Aretxabaleta
-
Durango
1:1
12.04.2025
Durango
-
Aretxabaleta
3:1
01.12.2024
Aretxabaleta
-
Durango
1:2
Latest results of Durango
Latest results of Aretxabaleta
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Portugalete | 24 | 19 | 3 | 2 | 52:17 | 35 | 60 |
| 2 | Leioa | 24 | 14 | 3 | 7 | 35:23 | 12 | 45 |
| 3 | Lagun Onak | 24 | 13 | 2 | 9 | 36:22 | 14 | 41 |
| 4 | Touring KE | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 31:20 | 11 | 41 |
| 5 | Aurrera de Vitoria | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 31:30 | 1 | 40 |
| 6 | San Ignacio | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 24:18 | 6 | 38 |
| 7 | Derio | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 37:29 | 8 | 37 |
| 8 | Alaves C | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 38:27 | 11 | 36 |
| 9 | UD Aretxabaleta | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 41:40 | 1 | 35 |
| 10 | Durango | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 24:21 | 3 | 33 |
| 11 | Real Sociedad C | 24 | 10 | 3 | 11 | 26:28 | -2 | 33 |
| 12 | Santurtzi | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 24:32 | -8 | 27 |
| 13 | Eibar C | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 28:38 | -10 | 26 |
| 14 | Zamudio | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 27:39 | -12 | 25 |
| 15 | Pasaia | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 16:30 | -14 | 24 |
| 16 | Anorga | 24 | 7 | 3 | 14 | 23:43 | -20 | 24 |
| 17 | Zarautz KE | 24 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 20:43 | -23 | 21 |
| 18 | SD Deusto | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 17:30 | -13 | 18 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
