Result
14/12/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Arouca
32.8% | Draw
30.3% | Alverca
36.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Arouca - Alverca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.9 ↓
(2.97) |
3.1 ↓
(3.23) |
2.57 ↑
(2.43) |
5.6%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 9).
- Arouca is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Alverca has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Alverca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- We predict that Alverca will win today's game, with odds of 2.45.
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Arouca won against Alverca?
Arouca has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alverca won against Arouca?
Alverca has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Arouca - Alverca were as follows:
Latest results of Alverca
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 13 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 27:3 | 24 | 37 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 32:7 | 25 | 32 |
| 3 | Benfica | 13 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 26:8 | 18 | 29 |
| 4 | Gil Vicente | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 16:6 | 10 | 24 |
| 5 | Braga | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 25:12 | 13 | 22 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 14:9 | 5 | 20 |
| 7 | Moreirense | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 21:20 | 1 | 20 |
| 8 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14:17 | -3 | 18 |
| 9 | Alverca | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15:19 | -4 | 17 |
| 10 | Rio Ave | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 17:21 | -4 | 16 |
| 11 | Santa Clara | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 11:14 | -3 | 15 |
| 12 | Estoril | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 22:21 | 1 | 14 |
| 13 | Estrela | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 16:19 | -3 | 14 |
| 14 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12:18 | -6 | 12 |
| 15 | Casa Pia | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 9 |
| 16 | Tondela | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 7:22 | -15 | 9 |
| 17 | Arouca | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14:37 | -23 | 9 |
| 18 | AFS | 13 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 9:31 | -22 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
