Result
1:2
05/04/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 28
- Referee: Neves G. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Romania | AntenaPLAY |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 9 |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 5 |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.21 | 0.98 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (328/405) | 74% (209/283) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.21 | 0.98 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.60 | 1.25 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Through passes |
|---|
| 50% (1/2) | 0% (0/1) |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (328/405) | 74% (209/283) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (34/60) | 45% (24/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (57/100) | 58% (44/76) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (4/19) | 17% (3/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 0.20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (11/17) | 57% (8/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 46 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 19 | 39 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.25 | 2.60 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.75 | 1.60 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 19', Mihaj E. 🟨,
- 20', Jason (Pen),
- 29', Pinheiro R. 🟨,
- 33', Lamba C. 🟨,
- 35', 0 - 1, Aranda O. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', De Amorim M. ↓, Topic M. ↑,
- 54', Van de Looi T. 🟨,
- 64', Rafa Soares 🟨,
- 66', Puche ↓, Mansilla B. ↑,
- 66', Fukui T. ↓, Sylla M. ↑,
- 68', Aranda O. ↓, Gil Dias ↑,
- 72', 1 - 1, Araujo H. (Pen),
- 76', 1 - 2, Topic M. ⚽, Sa G. (A),
- 82', Yalcin G. 🟨,
- 85', Sorriso ↓, Pedro Bondo ↑,
- 85', Elisor S. ↓, Sejk V. ↑,
- 85', Sa G. ↓, Lobato S. ↑,
- 85', Jason ↓, Popovic B. ↑,
- 90+1', Loum M. 🟨,
- 90+4', Gil Dias 🟨,
Chances of winning
Arouca
34.3% | Draw
30.4% | Famalicão
35.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arouca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arouca's form might have worsened.Famalicão has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arouca than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arouca, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Famalicão than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
Arouca - Famalicão Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.73 ↑
(2.33) |
3.09 ↓
(3.23) |
2.68 ↓
(2.9) |
6.2%
(8.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Watch this match and Liga Portugal with fubo (for US customers) Network on : Gol (English)
What is the prediction for Arouca - Famalicão?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Arouca will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Famalicão will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Famalicão: 8% – 64.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 9).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Arouca won 3.
- Two teams are playing changeable.
- The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
- There will not play in Arouca: Galovic N.
(Knee Injury)
Simao D.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Arouca: Gozalbez P.
(Injury)
Nandin D.
(Inactive)
Tiago Esgaio
(Injury)
- Last 13 head-to-head matches Arouca won 8 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 17:11 (average 1.3:0.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams Arouca won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12:5 (average 2.4:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Arouca won against Famalicão?
Arouca has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Famalicão won against Arouca?
Famalicão has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Arouca - Famalicão were as follows:
09.11.2024
Famalicão
-
Arouca
0:0
23.02.2024
Arouca
-
Famalicão
3:2
22.09.2023
Famalicão
-
Arouca
1:0
03.04.2023
Famalicão
-
Arouca
0:1
10.10.2022
Arouca
-
Famalicão
4:1
Latest results of Famalicão
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sporting CP | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8:0 | 8 | 6 |
| 2 | Braga | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 6 | 6 |
| 3 | FC Porto | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 6 |
| 4 | Famalicao | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 5 | Moreirense | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Benfica | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Gil Vicente | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Casa Pia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 |
| 10 | Arouca | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:7 | -4 | 3 |
| 11 | Rio Ave | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Estrela | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 13 | Estoril | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 |
| 14 | Nacional | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 15 | Santa Clara | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
| 16 | Tondela | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
| 17 | Alverca | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
| 18 | AFS | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
