Result
05/10/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Arouca
27.7% | Draw
28.4% | Famalicão
43.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arouca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arouca's form might have worsened.Famalicão has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Famalicão's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arouca than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arouca, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Famalicão than the current prediction. (-6.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Famalicão, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Arouca - Famalicão Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.37 ↑
(2.88) |
3.36 ↑
(3.28) |
2.2 ↓
(2.49) |
5%
(5.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arouca won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Famalicão may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Famalicão could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Arouca won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:13. (average 1.3:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Arouca won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:7. (average 2.2:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Arouca won against Famalicão?
Arouca has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Famalicão won against Arouca?
Famalicão has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Arouca - Famalicão were as follows:
05.04.2025
Arouca
-
Famalicão
1:2
09.11.2024
Famalicão
-
Arouca
0:0
23.02.2024
Arouca
-
Famalicão
3:2
22.09.2023
Famalicão
-
Arouca
1:0
03.04.2023
Famalicão
-
Arouca
0:1
Latest results of Famalicão
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 19:1 | 18 | 21 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 19:4 | 15 | 18 |
| 3 | Benfica | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 13:4 | 9 | 17 |
| 4 | Moreirense | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 15 |
| 5 | Gil Vicente | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8:4 | 4 | 13 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 12 |
| 7 | Braga | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 9 |
| 8 | Santa Clara | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 8 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 8 |
| 10 | Arouca | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:18 | -9 | 8 |
| 11 | Estrela | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
| 12 | Alverca | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 | Nacional | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 7 |
| 14 | Casa Pia | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6:11 | -5 | 7 |
| 15 | Estoril | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 5 |
| 16 | Rio Ave | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 8:13 | -5 | 5 |
| 17 | Tondela | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4:11 | -7 | 5 |
| 18 | AFS | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4:17 | -13 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
