Result
06/03/2026 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Famalicão
53.5% | Draw
25.6% | Arouca
20.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Famalicão has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)Arouca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Famalicão than the current prediction. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arouca than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Famalicão - Arouca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.77 ↑
(1.71) |
3.7 ↓
(3.9) |
4.48 ↓
(4.6) |
5.8%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Famalicão won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- In this match, Famalicão is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Famalicão won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 14:19. (average 0.9:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Famalicão won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 0.8:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Famalicão won against Arouca?
Famalicão has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Arouca won against Famalicão?
Arouca has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Famalicão - Arouca were as follows:
05.10.2025
Arouca
-
Famalicão
1:1
05.04.2025
Arouca
-
Famalicão
1:2
09.11.2024
Famalicão
-
Arouca
0:0
23.02.2024
Arouca
-
Famalicão
3:2
22.09.2023
Famalicão
-
Arouca
1:0
Latest results of Famalicão
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 24 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 47:8 | 39 | 65 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 24 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 62:12 | 50 | 61 |
| 3 | Benfica | 24 | 17 | 7 | 0 | 51:14 | 37 | 58 |
| 4 | Braga | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 50:23 | 27 | 45 |
| 5 | Gil Vicente | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 35:23 | 12 | 40 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 29:21 | 8 | 36 |
| 7 | Moreirense | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 30:34 | -4 | 34 |
| 8 | Estoril | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 46:42 | 4 | 33 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 28:35 | -7 | 32 |
| 10 | Alverca | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 24:39 | -15 | 27 |
| 11 | Arouca | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 32:52 | -20 | 26 |
| 12 | Estrela | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 26:41 | -15 | 24 |
| 13 | Casa Pia | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 26:44 | -18 | 23 |
| 14 | Nacional | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 28:36 | -8 | 21 |
| 15 | Rio Ave | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 23:44 | -21 | 21 |
| 16 | Santa Clara | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 20:31 | -11 | 19 |
| 17 | Tondela | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 19:38 | -19 | 19 |
| 18 | AFS | 24 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 18:57 | -39 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
