Result
1:1
10/05/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 33
- Referee: Macedo C. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 Romania | AntenaPLAY |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 13 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 0.87 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (380/466) | 79% (319/405) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 0.87 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 0.97 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (380/466) | 79% (319/405) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (45/78) | 48% (29/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (79/117) | 59% (38/64) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (8/16) | 23% (3/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 0.36 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (10/12) | 71% (15/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.97 | 0.71 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.03 | -0.29 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 38', Alex Pinto 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Mansilla B. ↓, Nandin D. ↑,
- 47', Sylla M. 🟨,
- 56', 0 - 1, Puche ⚽,
- 58', 1 - 1, Garcia S. ⚽,
- 67', Marques J. 🟨,
- 76', Pedro Santos 🟨,
- 79', Marques J. ↓, Bermejo ↑,
- 79', Puche ↓, Dante A. ↑,
- 79', Araujo H. ↓, Yalcin G. ↑,
- 83', Caseres F. ↓, Joao Teixeira ↑,
- 83', Pablo ↓, Aguirre J. ↑,
- 89', Jason ↓, Loum M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Gil Vicente
41.6% | Draw
29.1% | Arouca
29.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gil Vicente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)Arouca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gil Vicente than the current prediction. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arouca than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
Gil Vicente - Arouca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.28 ↓
(2.41) |
3.22 ↓
(3.31) |
3.2 ↑
(3.01) |
6.3%
(4.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Gil Vicente - Arouca?
Users Predictions:
Gil Vicente will win
(9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 14 and 12)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gil Vicente won 0.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Gil Vicente might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Arouca: Fukui T.
(Yellow Cards)
Galovic N.
(Knee Injury)
Rocha M.
(Inactive)
Simao D.
(Inactive)
Tiago Esgaio
(Injury)
Trezza A.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Gil Vicente: Cruz S.
(Inactive)
Ruben
(Inactive)
Sithole S.
(Leg Injury)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Gil Vicente won 0 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 9:28. (average 0.6:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gil Vicente won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:16. (average 0.8:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Gil Vicente won against Arouca?
Gil Vicente has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Arouca won against Gil Vicente?
Arouca has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gil Vicente - Arouca were as follows:
27.12.2024
Arouca
-
Gil Vicente
1:1
26.04.2024
Gil Vicente
-
Arouca
2:2
16.12.2023
Arouca
-
Gil Vicente
3:0
05.02.2023
Gil Vicente
-
Arouca
1:1
08.11.2022
Gil Vicente
-
Arouca
1:4
Latest results of Gil Vicente
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sporting CP | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8:0 | 8 | 6 |
| 2 | Braga | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 6 | 6 |
| 3 | FC Porto | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 6 |
| 4 | Famalicao | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 5 | Moreirense | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Benfica | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Gil Vicente | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Casa Pia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 |
| 10 | Arouca | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:7 | -4 | 3 |
| 11 | Rio Ave | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Estrela | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 13 | Estoril | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 |
| 14 | Nacional | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 15 | Santa Clara | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
| 16 | Tondela | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
| 17 | Alverca | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
| 18 | AFS | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
