Result
1:1
20/12/2024 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: Serie C - Group B - Round 20
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | NOW TV, Sky Sport 252 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 9', 1 - 0, Caccavo L. ⚽,
- 17', 1 - 1, Antenucci M. ⚽,
- 39', Varone I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Menna D. ↓, Piermarini M. ↑,
- 63', Silipo A. ↓, Achik I. ↑,
- 63', Bando A. ↓, Bertini M. ↑,
- 68', Caccavo L. ↓, D'Uffizi S. ↑,
- 70', D'Uffizi S. 🟨,
- 71', Calapai L. ↓, Buchel M. ↑,
- 75', Buchel M. 🟨,
- 79', Bertini M. 🟨,
- 81', Zammarini R. 🟨,
- 84', Tremolada L. ↓, Gagliardi M. ↑,
- 84', El Kaddouri O. ↓, Boccia A. ↑,
- 88', Rao E. ↓, Bidaoui S. ↑,
- 90', Bidaoui S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Ascoli
54.9% | Draw
26.6% | SPAL
18.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ascoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ascoli's performance.SPAL has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and SPAL might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (-5.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ascoli that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for SPAL than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
Ascoli - SPAL Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.68 ↓
(1.96) |
3.46 ↑
(3.09) |
4.99 ↑
(3.84) |
8.4%
(9.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Ascoli - SPAL?
Users Predictions:
Ascoli will win
(12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 11 and 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Ascoli won 1.
- Ascoli in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Recent matches SPAL is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- In this match Ascoli is a favorite.
- Last 11 head-to-head matches Ascoli won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14:11 (average 1.3:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Ascoli won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:4 (average 1.2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Ascoli won against SPAL?
Ascoli has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has SPAL won against Ascoli?
SPAL has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ascoli - SPAL were as follows:
23.08.2024
SPAL
-
Ascoli
2:2
21.01.2023
SPAL
-
Ascoli
1:1
Italian Serie C Group B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Arezzo | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8:2 | 6 | 12 |
| 2 | Ravenna | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | Pineto | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 8 |
| 4 | Gubbio | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 8 |
| 5 | Forli | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3:3 | 0 | 6 |
| 6 | Ascoli | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 5 |
| 7 | Carpi | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 5 |
| 8 | Pianese | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 |
| 9 | Sambenedettese | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 5 |
| 10 | Juventus U23 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 5 |
| 11 | Campobasso | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 4 |
| 12 | Guidonia | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 4 |
| 13 | Pontedera | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 | Ternana | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
| 15 | Perugia | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 16 | Livorno | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 17 | Torres | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 3 |
| 18 | Vis Pesaro | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 2 |
| 19 | Bra | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 |
| 20 | Rimini | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | -10 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation
