Ascoli vs SPAL – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie C Group B Ascoli - SPAL
Result
1:1
20/12/2024 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: Serie C - Group B - Round 20
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyNOW TV, Sky Sport 252

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Goal Attempts
122
Shots on Goal
81
Shots off Goal
41
Corner Kicks
93
Goalkeeper Saves
07
Yellow Cards
33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Caccavo L. ,
  • 17', 1 - 1, Antenucci M. ,
  • 39', Varone I. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Menna D. , Piermarini M. ,
  • 63', Silipo A. , Achik I. ,
  • 63', Bando A. , Bertini M. ,
  • 68', Caccavo L. , D'Uffizi S. ,
  • 70', D'Uffizi S. 🟨,
  • 71', Calapai L. , Buchel M. ,
  • 75', Buchel M. 🟨,
  • 79', Bertini M. 🟨,
  • 81', Zammarini R. 🟨,
  • 84', Tremolada L. , Gagliardi M. ,
  • 84', El Kaddouri O. , Boccia A. ,
  • 88', Rao E. , Bidaoui S. ,
  • 90', Bidaoui S. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Ascoli
54.9%
Draw
26.6%
SPAL
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.6% 29.6% 23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5% 27.9% 22.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ascoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ascoli's performance.
  • SPAL has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and SPAL might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ascoli that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for SPAL than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • Ascoli - SPAL Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.68
    (1.96)
    3.46
    (3.09)
    4.99
    (3.84)
    8.4%
    (9.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Ascoli - SPAL?
  • Users Predictions: Ascoli will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.76%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 11 and 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Ascoli won 1.
    • Ascoli in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches SPAL is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • In this match Ascoli is a favorite.
    • Last 11 head-to-head matches Ascoli won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14:11 (average 1.3:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Ascoli won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:4 (average 1.2:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ascoli - SPAL were as follows:
    23.08.2024 SPAL - Ascoli 2:2
    21.01.2023 SPAL - Ascoli 1:1
    Latest results of Ascoli
    14.12.2024 Legnago Salus - Ascoli 0:1
    06.12.2024 Ascoli - Sestri Levante 4:1
    01.12.2024 Sassari Torres - Ascoli 1:2
    24.11.2024 Ascoli - Gubbio 1:0
    15.11.2024 Vis Pesaro - Ascoli 1:1
    Latest results of SPAL
    15.12.2024 Gubbio - SPAL 1:1
    07.12.2024 SPAL - Vis Pesaro 0:1
    02.12.2024 Pontedera - SPAL 5:1
    23.11.2024 SPAL - Sassari Torres 1:0
    17.11.2024 Legnago Salus - SPAL 0:3
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/32-finals
    1CrotoneBye
    2BeneventoJuventus U231 : 5
    4ByeFeralpiSalo
    8ByeL.R. Vicenza
    9RenateArzignano0 : 0
    10Giana ErminioVirtus Verona1 : 0
    12ByeMonopoli
    16ByeTernana
    17AlbinoLeffeBye
    18TrentoAtalanta U231 : 2
    20ByeTorres
    24ByeAudace Cerignola
    25ArezzoGubbio3 : 1
    26Vis PesaroPontedera1 : 1
    28ByeRimini
    29CataniaGiugliano3 : 2
    30PotenzaPicerno2 : 0
    31PescaraBye
    32PinetoPianese0 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1CrotoneJuventus U230 : 0
    2ByeFeralpiSalo
    4ByeL.R. Vicenza
    5RenateGiana Erminio1 : 2
    6ByeMonopoli
    8ByeTernana
    9AlbinoLeffeAtalanta U231 : 3
    10ByeTorres
    12ByeAudace Cerignola
    13ArezzoVis Pesaro0 : 1
    14ByeRimini
    15CataniaPotenza1 : 0
    16PescaraPianese2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1CrotoneFeralpiSalo1 : 2, 3 : 1
    2ByeL.R. Vicenza
    3Giana ErminioMonopoli3 : 1, 3 : 1
    4ByeTernana
    5Atalanta U23Torres1 : 2, 7 : 1
    6ByeAudace Cerignola
    7Vis PesaroRimini4 : 3, 1 : 1
    8CataniaPescara2 : 1, 0 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1CrotoneL.R. Vicenza0 : 1, 1 : 2
    2Giana ErminioTernana0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3Atalanta U23Audace Cerignola2 : 2, 0 : 0
    4Vis PesaroPescara0 : 2, 2 : 4

    Semi-finals
    1L.R. VicenzaTernana1 : 3, 0 : 0
    2Audace CerignolaPescara1 : 1, 1 : 4

    Final
    1TernanaPescara1 : 1, 0 : 1