Result
1:1
20/09/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Montero R. (Cos)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video |
 China | QQ Sports |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video |
 Usa | MLS Season Pass |
 World | EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.05 | 0.80 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 36% | 64% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (330/394) | 89% (644/723) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.05 | 0.80 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.81 | 1.67 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (330/394) | 89% (644/723) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (22/44) | 57% (30/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (101/134) | 65% (78/120) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (3/15) | 9% (1/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.70 | 0.51 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 67% (6/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 34 | 24 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.67 | 1.81 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.81 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 6', Lozano H. 🟨,
- 32', 0 - 1, Dreyer A. ⚽, Lozano H. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 61', 1 - 1, Almiron M. (Pen),
- 61', Pellegrino A. ↓, Baird C. ↑,
- 61', McNair P. ↓, Kumado W. ↑,
- 61', de la Torre L. ↓, Godoy A. ↑,
- 75', Lobjanidze S. ↓, Brennan L. ↑,
- 75', Thiare J. ↓, Latte Lath E. ↑,
- 75', Hernandez R. ↓, Lennon B. ↑,
- 84', Miranchuk Al. ↓, Muyumba T. ↑,
- 84', Bombino L. ↓, Pilcher I. ↑,
- 90', Almiron M. 🟨,
- 90+5', Lozano H. ↓, Mighten A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Atlanta United
38.1% | Draw
25.3% | San Diego
36.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlanta United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)San Diego has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlanta United than the current prediction. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Diego than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Atlanta United - San Diego Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.51 ↓
(2.63) |
3.75 ↑
(3.4) |
2.61 ↑
(2.55) |
4.8%
(6.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Atlanta United - San Diego?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Atlanta will win (votes: 3 - 25%). San Diego will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for San Diego: 30.4% – 86.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Atlanta (votes: 1 - 50%). San Diego (votes: 1 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - San Diego (1.86) (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Atlanta (votes: 2 - 28.6%). San Diego (votes: 5 - 71.4%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- San Diego is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
- Atlanta has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- San Diego is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- San Diego may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Atlanta: Edwards M.
(Hamstring Injury)
Fortune A.
(Foot Injury)
Latte Lath E.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in San Diego: Alvarado Jr A.
(Knee Injury)
Reyes A.
(Lower-Body Injury)
- There are questionable in San Diego: Ingvartsen M.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Negri F.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Verhoeven O.
(Lower-Body Injury)
- The teams have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlanta United won against San Diego?
Atlanta United has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has San Diego won against Atlanta United?
San Diego has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlanta United - San Diego were as follows:
Latest results of Atlanta United
Latest results of San Diego
MLS Table
2026Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Diego FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 3 |
| 2 | San Jose Earthquakes | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 4 | Seattle Sounders | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | FC Dallas | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Portland Timbers | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Houston Dynamo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Minnesota United | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Austin FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | St. Louis City | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Real Salt Lake | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Colorado Rapids | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Nashville SC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | FC Cincinnati | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | New York Red Bulls | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | DC United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | New York City | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | Charlotte | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | Toronto FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 |
| 8 | Columbus Crew | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 |
| 9 | Chicago Fire | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 10 | Orlando City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 11 | Philadelphia Union | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 12 | Atlanta Utd | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 13 | New England Revolution | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
| 14 | Inter Miami | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:5 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
