Atlanta United vs San Diego – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Atlanta United - San Diego
Result
1:1
20/09/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Montero R. (Cos)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video
chinaChinaQQ Sports
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
italyItalyAmazon Prime Video
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.050.80
Ball Possession
36%64%
Total shots
176
Shots on target
64
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
84% (330/394)89% (644/723)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
2.050.80
xG on target (xGOT)
1.811.67
Total shots
176
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
62
Blocked Shots
50
Shots inside the Box
122
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
2916
Accurate through passes
30
Offsides
73
Free Kicks
1211
Passes
84% (330/394)89% (644/723)
Long passes
50% (22/44)57% (30/53)
Passes in final third
75% (101/134)65% (78/120)
Crosses
20% (3/15)9% (1/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.700.51
Throw-ins
1115
Fouls
1112
Tackles
75% (9/12)67% (6/9)
Duels won
3424
Clearances
1718
Interceptions
114
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
1.671.81
Goals prevented
0.670.81

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 6', Lozano H. 🟨,
  • 32', 0 - 1, Dreyer A. , Lozano H. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 61', 1 - 1, Almiron M. (Pen),
  • 61', Pellegrino A. , Baird C. ,
  • 61', McNair P. , Kumado W. ,
  • 61', de la Torre L. , Godoy A. ,
  • 75', Lobjanidze S. , Brennan L. ,
  • 75', Thiare J. , Latte Lath E. ,
  • 75', Hernandez R. , Lennon B. ,
  • 84', Miranchuk Al. , Muyumba T. ,
  • 84', Bombino L. , Pilcher I. ,
  • 90', Almiron M. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Lozano H. , Mighten A. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Atlanta United
38.1%
Draw
25.3%
San Diego
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.7% 27.5% 36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4% 27.3% 37.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlanta United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • San Diego has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlanta United than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Diego than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • Atlanta United - San Diego Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.51
    (2.63)
    3.75
    (3.4)
    2.61
    (2.55)
    4.8%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Atlanta United - San Diego?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Atlanta will win (votes: 3 - 25%). San Diego will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for San Diego: 30.4%86.2%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - San Diego (votes: 4 - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • San Diego is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • Atlanta has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • San Diego is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • San Diego may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Atlanta: Edwards M. (Hamstring Injury) Fortune A. (Foot Injury) Latte Lath E. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in San Diego: Alvarado Jr A. (Knee Injury) Reyes A. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in San Diego: Ingvartsen M. (Lower-Body Injury) Negri F. (Lower-Body Injury) Verhoeven O. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Atlanta United
    Latest results of San Diego
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC ✔ 31176856:381857
    2Vancouver Whitecaps ✔ 29167656:312555
    3Minnesota United ✔ 31159751:361554
    4Los Angeles FC ✔ 29148757:372050
    5Seattle Sounders30129952:45745
    6Austin FC301281033:37-444
    7Portland Timbers301191038:40-242
    8Colorado Rapids311161441:52-1139
    9FC Dallas309101145:49-437
    10Houston Dynamo31991340:49-936
    11San Jose Earthquakes31981456:58-235
    12Real Salt Lake301041632:45-1334
    13St. Louis City31771739:52-1328
    14Sporting Kansas City31761845:63-1827
    15Los Angeles Galaxy30491737:61-2421


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union ✔ 31186750:331760
    2FC Cincinnati ✔ 31184947:39858
    3Charlotte ✔ 311721251:42953
    4New York City ✔ 30165946:351153
    5Inter Miami28157660:461452
    6Orlando City30149758:431551
    7Nashville SC311551152:381450
    8Columbus Crew311311751:47450
    9Chicago Fire301361157:53445
    10New York Red Bulls311271245:40543
    11New England Revolution31881539:45-632
    12Toronto FC305121330:37-727
    13Atlanta Utd305121337:55-1827
    14DC United315101629:58-2925
    15CF Montreal31591729:55-2624

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Los Angeles FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    New York City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)