Atlanta United vs San Diego – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Atlanta United - San Diego
Result
1:1
20/09/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Montero R. (Cos)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video
chinaChinaQQ Sports
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
italyItalyAmazon Prime Video
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.050.80
Ball Possession
36%64%
Total shots
176
Shots on target
64
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
84% (330/394)89% (644/723)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
2.050.80
xG on target (xGOT)
1.811.67
Total shots
176
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
62
Blocked Shots
50
Shots inside the Box
122
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
2916
Accurate through passes
30
Offsides
73
Free Kicks
1211
Passes
84% (330/394)89% (644/723)
Long passes
50% (22/44)57% (30/53)
Passes in final third
75% (101/134)65% (78/120)
Crosses
20% (3/15)9% (1/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.700.51
Throw-ins
1115
Fouls
1112
Tackles
75% (9/12)67% (6/9)
Duels won
3424
Clearances
1718
Interceptions
114
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
1.671.81
Goals prevented
0.670.81

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 6', Lozano H. 🟨,
  • 32', 0 - 1, Dreyer A. , Lozano H. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 61', 1 - 1, Almiron M. (Pen),
  • 61', Pellegrino A. , Baird C. ,
  • 61', McNair P. , Kumado W. ,
  • 61', de la Torre L. , Godoy A. ,
  • 75', Lobjanidze S. , Brennan L. ,
  • 75', Thiare J. , Latte Lath E. ,
  • 75', Hernandez R. , Lennon B. ,
  • 84', Miranchuk Al. , Muyumba T. ,
  • 84', Bombino L. , Pilcher I. ,
  • 90', Almiron M. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Lozano H. , Mighten A. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Atlanta United
38.1%
Draw
25.3%
San Diego
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.7% 27.5% 36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4% 27.3% 37.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlanta United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • San Diego has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlanta United than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Diego than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • Atlanta United - San Diego Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.49
    (2.63)
    3.84
    (3.4)
    2.61
    (2.55)
    4.6%
    (6.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Atlanta United - San Diego?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Atlanta will win (votes: 3 - 25%). San Diego will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for San Diego: 30.4%86.2%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - San Diego (votes: 4 - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • San Diego is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • Atlanta has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • San Diego is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • San Diego may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Atlanta: Edwards M. (Hamstring Injury) Fortune A. (Foot Injury) Latte Lath E. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in San Diego: Alvarado Jr A. (Knee Injury) Reyes A. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in San Diego: Ingvartsen M. (Lower-Body Injury) Negri F. (Lower-Body Injury) Verhoeven O. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Atlanta United
    Latest results of San Diego
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vancouver Whitecaps ✔ 33189665:362963
    2San Diego FC ✔ 33186960:411960
    3Los Angeles FC ✔ 33178863:382559
    4Minnesota United ✔ 331610755:371858
    5Seattle Sounders ✔ 331410956:47952
    6Austin FC331381236:43-747
    7Portland Timbers3311111141:44-344
    8FC Dallas3310111250:54-441
    9Real Salt Lake331241736:47-1140
    10Colorado Rapids331171542:54-1240
    11San Jose Earthquakes331081558:62-438
    12Houston Dynamo33991543:56-1336
    13St. Louis City33871842:56-1431
    14Sporting Kansas City33762046:70-2427
    15Los Angeles Galaxy33691844:65-2127


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union ✔ 33206757:332466
    2FC Cincinnati ✔ 33195949:40962
    3Inter Miami ✔ 33188776:532362
    4Charlotte ✔ 331821353:46756
    5New York City ✔ 331751149:42756
    6Nashville SC331661156:401654
    7Orlando City331411861:471453
    8Chicago Fire331571166:58852
    9Columbus Crew331312852:50251
    10New York Red Bulls331271447:44343
    11New England Revolution33981642:49-735
    12Toronto FC335141433:42-929
    13CF Montreal336101734:57-2328
    14Atlanta Utd335121637:62-2527
    15DC United335101829:65-3625

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Los Angeles FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Seattle Sounders is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Inter Miami is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    New York City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)