Atlanta United vs San Diego – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
20/09/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Montero R. (Cos)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video
chinaChinaQQ Sports
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
italyItalyAmazon Prime Video
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.050.80
Ball Possession
36%64%
Total shots
176
Shots on target
64
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
84% (330/394)89% (644/723)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
2.050.80
xG on target (xGOT)
1.811.67
Total shots
176
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
62
Blocked Shots
50
Shots inside the Box
122
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
2916
Accurate through passes
30
Offsides
73
Free Kicks
1211
Passes
84% (330/394)89% (644/723)
Long passes
50% (22/44)57% (30/53)
Passes in final third
75% (101/134)65% (78/120)
Crosses
20% (3/15)9% (1/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.700.51
Throw-ins
1115
Fouls
1112
Tackles
75% (9/12)67% (6/9)
Duels won
3424
Clearances
1718
Interceptions
114
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
1.671.81
Goals prevented
0.670.81

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 6', Lozano H. 🟨,
  • 32', 0 - 1, Dreyer A. , Lozano H. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 61', 1 - 1, Almiron M. (Pen),
  • 61', Pellegrino A. , Baird C. ,
  • 61', McNair P. , Kumado W. ,
  • 61', de la Torre L. , Godoy A. ,
  • 75', Lobjanidze S. , Brennan L. ,
  • 75', Thiare J. , Latte Lath E. ,
  • 75', Hernandez R. , Lennon B. ,
  • 84', Miranchuk Al. , Muyumba T. ,
  • 84', Bombino L. , Pilcher I. ,
  • 90', Almiron M. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Lozano H. , Mighten A. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Atlanta United
38.1%
Draw
25.3%
San Diego
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.7% 27.5% 36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4% 27.3% 37.1%

Atlanta United - San Diego Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.51
(2.63)
3.75
(3.4)
2.61
(2.55)
4.8%
(6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Atlanta United - San Diego?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Atlanta will win (votes: 3 - 25%). San Diego will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for San Diego: 30.4%86.2%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - San Diego (1.86) (votes: 4 - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • San Diego is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • Atlanta has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • San Diego is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • San Diego may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Atlanta: Edwards M. (Hamstring Injury) Fortune A. (Foot Injury) Latte Lath E. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in San Diego: Alvarado Jr A. (Knee Injury) Reyes A. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in San Diego: Ingvartsen M. (Lower-Body Injury) Negri F. (Lower-Body Injury) Verhoeven O. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Atlanta United
    Latest results of San Diego
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1FC CincinnatiBye
    2ByeColumbus Crew
    3Inter MiamiBye
    4ByeNashville SC
    5Philadelphia UnionBye
    6Chicago FireOrlando City3 : 1
    7CharlotteBye
    8ByeNew York City
    9San Diego FCBye
    10Portland TimbersReal Salt Lake3 : 1
    11Minnesota UnitedBye
    12ByeSeattle Sounders
    13Vancouver WhitecapsBye
    14ByeFC Dallas
    15Los Angeles FCBye
    16ByeAustin FC

    1/8-finals
    1FC CincinnatiColumbus Crew2 : 1
    2Inter MiamiNashville SC2 : 1
    3Philadelphia UnionChicago Fire2 : 0
    4CharlotteNew York City1 : 2
    5San Diego FCPortland Timbers2 : 1
    6Minnesota UnitedSeattle Sounders2 : 1
    7Vancouver WhitecapsFC Dallas2 : 0
    8Los Angeles FCAustin FC2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1FC CincinnatiInter Miami0 : 4
    2Philadelphia UnionNew York City0 : 1
    3San Diego FCMinnesota United1 : 0
    4Vancouver WhitecapsLos Angeles FC3 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Inter MiamiNew York City
    2San Diego FCVancouver Whitecaps

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2