América de Cali vs Atlético Bucaramanga – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
05/03/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Sudamericana - Qualification - Final
  • Referee: Tello F. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports, DSports 1
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
brazilBrazilParamount+
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
chileChileDirecTV Sports
ecuadorEcuadorDirecTV Sports
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Universal
italyItalyComo TV
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
peruPeruDirecTV Sports, DSports 1611
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
uruguayUruguayDirecTV Sports, DSports 1
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Latino, Tubi TV
venezuelaVenezuelaDirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.830.28
Ball possession
65%35%
Total shots
166
Shots on target
72
Big chances
41
Corner kicks
11
Passes
88% (486/550)76% (221/289)
Yellow cards
34
Red cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
1.830.28
xG on target (xGOT)
2.350.22
Total shots
166
Shots on target
72
Shots off target
63
Blocked shots
31
Shots inside the box
113
Shots outside the box
53
Hit the woodwork
10
Big chances
41
Corner kicks
11
Touches in opposition box
299
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free kicks
1711
Passes
88% (486/550)76% (221/289)
Long passes
51% (22/43)27% (10/37)
Passes in final third
78% (84/108)56% (48/85)
Crosses
22% (4/18)18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.260.30
Throw ins
1518
Fouls
1117
Tackles
75% (12/16)86% (6/7)
Duels won
4829
Clearances
1821
Interceptions
711
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
15
xGOT faced
0.222.35
Goals prevented
-0.780.35

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 17', Gutierrez A. 🟨,
  • 22', Hernandez N. 🟨,
  • 23', 0 - 1, Sambueza F. ,
  • 40', Torres M. 🟨,
  • 45+3', 1 - 1, Guzman Y. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 55', 2 - 1, Palacios J. ,
  • 61', Lucumi J. 🟨,
  • 61', Hinestroza F. 🟨,
  • 62', Gutierrez A. 🟨,
  • 70', Londono K. , Romana C. ,
  • 70', Charrupi G. , Flores L. ,
  • 72', Romana C. 🟨,
  • 75', Valencia D. , Ramos A. ,
  • 78', Batalla E. , Salazar J. ,
  • 79', Hinestroza F. , Rea M. ,
  • 82', Palacios J. , Machis D. ,
  • 82', Lucumi J. , Romero J. ,
  • 82', Charrupi F. , Mosquera J. ,
  • 90', Castillo M. , Mina L. M. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


América de Cali
45%
Draw
30.4%
Atlético Bucaramanga
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44% 31.4% 24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5% 33.2% 23.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • América de Cali has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • The chances for Atlético Bucaramanga have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for América de Cali than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Bucaramanga than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • América de Cali - Atlético Bucaramanga Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.08
    (2.15)
    3.1
    (3.01)
    3.75
    (3.84)
    7.1%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for América de Cali - Atlético Bucaramanga?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. América de Cali (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DNB - Bucaramanga (2.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 1st Half - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .
  • Users Predictions: América de Cali will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 55.21%100%.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. América de Cali (votes: 2 - 40%). Bucaramanga (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, América de Cali won 3.
    • América de Cali has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Bucaramanga is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • América de Cali might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, América de Cali won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 27:14. (average 1.4:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, América de Cali won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:5. (average 1.2:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between América de Cali - Atlético Bucaramanga were as follows:
    16.09.2025 América de Cali - Atlético Bucaramanga 0:0
    03.09.2025 América de Cali - Atlético Bucaramanga 2:0
    27.08.2025 Atlético Bucaramanga - América de Cali 1:0
    02.02.2025 Atlético Bucaramanga - América de Cali 0:4
    17.11.2024 América de Cali - Atlético Bucaramanga 1:0
    Latest results of América de Cali
    Draw
    2026

    Final
    1Nacional AsuncionRecoleta1 : 2
    2Sportivo TrinidenseOlimpia Asuncion0 : 1
    3Alianza Atl.Deportivo Garcilaso2 : 0
    4CiencianoFBC Melgar2 : 1
    5Montevideo CityDefensor Sp.1 : 0
    6Boston RiverRacing Montevideo1 : 0
    7Puerto CabelloMonagas1 : 0
    8CaracasMetropolitanos1 : 0
    9U. De ChilePalestino1 : 2
    10CobresalA. Italiano1 : 2
    11Atl. NacionalMillonarios1 : 3
    12America De CaliBucaramanga2 : 1
    13IndependienteGuabira1 : 0
    14BloomingSA Bulo Bulo3 : 0
    15Dep. CuencaLibertad3 : 0
    16OrenseMacara0 : 1