Result
1:2
27/03/2026 at 21:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 14
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 0.79 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (359/440) | 66% (192/290) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 0.79 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 1.67 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (359/440) | 66% (192/290) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (19/43) | 31% (21/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (86/127) | 53% (62/117) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (5/22) | 14% (2/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.53 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 80% (8/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 20 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.67 | 0.45 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.33 | -0.55 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 22', 0 - 1, Palacios L. ⚽,
- 28', 1 - 1, Zarate A. ⚽, Rea M. (A),
- 45+1', Olivera E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 51', Rodallega H. 🟨,
- 56', Torres J. 🟨,
- 60', 1 - 2, Rodallega H. ⚽, Palacios L. (A),
- 63', Charrupi F. 🟨,
- 67', Rea M. 🟨,
- 72', Londono K. ↓, Medina G. ↑,
- 73', Rea M. ↓, Romana C. ↑,
- 73', Charrupi F. ↓, Flores L. ↑,
- 78', Hinestroza F. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
- 78', Torres J. ↓, Toscano Bassa K. D. ↑,
- 79', Mena J. 🟨,
- 84', Salazar J. ↓, Alba I. ↑,
- 87', Velasquez Y. ↓, Juan Quintero ↑,
- 88', Rodallega H. ↓, Bustos N. ↑,
- 90+1', Palacios L. ↓, Mosquera E. ↑,
- 90+1', Fernandez O. ↓, Perlaza Perea Y. A. ↑,
- 90+4', Medina G. 🟨,
- 90+6', Hinestroza F. 🟨,
- 90+9', Torres D. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Atlético Bucaramanga
49.7% | Draw
28.7% | Independiente Santa Fe
21.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Bucaramanga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Bucaramanga's performance.Independiente Santa Fe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Bucaramanga than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Bucaramanga that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
Atlético Bucaramanga - Independiente Santa Fe Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.91 ↓
(2.1) |
3.24 ↑
(3.05) |
4.25 ↑
(3.45) |
6.9%
(9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Atlético Bucaramanga - Independiente Santa Fe?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Bucaramanga (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Atlético Bucaramanga will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bucaramanga won 3.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Santa Fe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Santa Fe has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Bucaramanga is considered a favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bucaramanga won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 22:25. (average 1.1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bucaramanga won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.5:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Bucaramanga won against Independiente Santa Fe?
Atlético Bucaramanga has won 6 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Santa Fe won against Atlético Bucaramanga?
Independiente Santa Fe has won 2 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Bucaramanga - Independiente Santa Fe were as follows:
08.12.2025
Independiente Santa Fe
-
Atlético Bucaramanga
0:0
19.11.2025
Atlético Bucaramanga
-
Independiente Santa Fe
1:0
09.08.2025
Atlético Bucaramanga
-
Independiente Santa Fe
2:1
19.03.2025
Independiente Santa Fe
-
Atlético Bucaramanga
1:1
28.08.2024
Atlético Bucaramanga
-
Independiente Santa Fe
3:1
Latest results of Atlético Bucaramanga
Latest results of Independiente Santa Fe
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Nacional ✔ | 15 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 30:11 | 19 | 34 |
| 2 | Dep. Pasto | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 21:17 | 4 | 28 |
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 24:13 | 11 | 27 |
| 4 | Once Caldas | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 26:19 | 7 | 25 |
| 5 | Junior | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 21:20 | 1 | 25 |
| 6 | America De Cali | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 19:12 | 7 | 24 |
| 7 | Dep. Cali | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 17:13 | 4 | 22 |
| 8 | Aguilas | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 22 |
| 9 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 18:20 | -2 | 22 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 25:17 | 8 | 21 |
| 11 | Llaneros | 15 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 20 |
| 12 | Bucaramanga | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18:14 | 4 | 19 |
| 13 | Santa Fe | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18:19 | -1 | 19 |
| 14 | Ind. Medellin | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 19:19 | 0 | 17 |
| 15 | Fortaleza | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17:23 | -6 | 16 |
| 16 | Cucuta | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 21:27 | -6 | 15 |
| 17 | Alianza | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 10:22 | -12 | 15 |
| 18 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 14:28 | -14 | 14 |
| 19 | Chico | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11:21 | -10 | 11 |
| 20 | Pereira | 15 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 14:29 | -15 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Atl. Nacional is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
