Result
2:1
09/08/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Round 6
- Referee: Delgado L. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 0.16 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (351/412) | 77% (239/310) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 0.16 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.49 | 0.12 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 6 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (351/412) | 77% (239/310) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (25/45) | 50% (32/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (94/128) | 56% (35/62) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (7/22) | 11% (1/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 0.21 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (9/17) | 86% (12/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 33 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.12 | 1.49 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.88 | -0.51 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 10', 0 - 1, Fernandez O. ⚽, Scarpeta Silgado I. R. (A),
- 12', Murillo E. 🟨,
- 24', De Las Salas C. 🟨,
- 31', 1 - 1, Pons L. ⚽, Londono K. (A),
- 45+1', Mena J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Torres J. ↓, Mosquera H. ↑,
- 55', Scarpeta Silgado I. R. 🟨,
- 56', Mosquera J. ↓, Gil Mosquera F. A. ↑,
- 68', Zarate A. ↓, Flores L. ↑,
- 75', Murillo E. ↓, Tamayo S. ↑,
- 75', Zapata A. ↓, Molina T. ↑,
- 81', 2 - 1, Pons L. (Pen),
- 85', Pons L. 🟨,
- 87', De Las Salas C. ↓, Henao C. ↑,
- 87', Sambueza F. ↓, Romana C. ↑,
- 87', Londono K. ↓, Jhon Vasquez ↑,
- 88', Angulo J. ↓, Palacios M. ↑,
- 90', Meli M. ↓, Balanta M. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/mrtdycuu
Chances of winning
Atlético Bucaramanga
45.9% | Draw
30.3% | Independiente Santa Fe
23.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Bucaramanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)Independiente Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Bucaramanga than the current prediction. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Atlético Bucaramanga - Independiente Santa Fe Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.06 ↑
(1.93) |
3.07 ↓
(3.1) |
3.91 ↓
(4) |
6.7%
(9.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Atlético Bucaramanga - Independiente Santa Fe?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Bucaramanga will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Bucaramanga (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bucaramanga won 3.
- In recent matches, Bucaramanga has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Santa Fe is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Santa Fe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Bucaramanga is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bucaramanga won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 22:28. (average 1.1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bucaramanga won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 1.6:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Bucaramanga won against Independiente Santa Fe?
Atlético Bucaramanga has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Santa Fe won against Atlético Bucaramanga?
Independiente Santa Fe has won 2 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Bucaramanga - Independiente Santa Fe were as follows:
19.03.2025
Independiente Santa Fe
-
Atlético Bucaramanga
1:1
28.08.2024
Atlético Bucaramanga
-
Independiente Santa Fe
3:1
07.08.2024
Atlético Bucaramanga
-
Independiente Santa Fe
0:1
15.06.2024
Independiente Santa Fe
-
Atlético Bucaramanga
3:3
08.06.2024
Atlético Bucaramanga
-
Independiente Santa Fe
1:0
Latest results of Atlético Bucaramanga
Latest results of Independiente Santa Fe
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Junior | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 20:10 | 10 | 20 |
| 2 | Ind. Medellin | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 19 |
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 10:6 | 4 | 17 |
| 4 | Atl. Nacional | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 15:8 | 7 | 16 |
| 5 | Fortaleza | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 13:9 | 4 | 15 |
| 6 | Llaneros | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 14 |
| 7 | Bucaramanga | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14:8 | 6 | 13 |
| 8 | Pereira | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | Santa Fe | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 12 |
| 10 | Alianza | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 12 |
| 11 | Envigado | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 10 |
| 12 | Chico | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 10 |
| 13 | La Equidad | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 | Dep. Cali | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11:15 | -4 | 10 |
| 15 | U. Magdalena | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8:15 | -7 | 8 |
| 16 | Millonarios | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:12 | -2 | 7 |
| 17 | Aguilas | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 7 |
| 18 | Dep. Pasto | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 6 |
| 19 | Once Caldas | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:12 | -4 | 6 |
| 20 | America De Cali | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:8 | -3 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
