Atlético Bucaramanga vs Rionegro Águilas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

24/08/2025 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Américo Montanini (Bucaramanga).

Primera A - Clausura - Round 8
Referee: Ararat N. (Col)
Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.38	1.00
Ball Possession
50%	50%
Total shots
23	12
Shots on target
7	1
Big Chances
3	0
Corner Kicks
3	6
Passes
84% (324/388)	82% (306/374)
Yellow Cards
5	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.38	1.00
xG on target (xGOT)
2.06	0.09
Total shots
23	12
Shots on target
7	1
Shots off target
9	10
Blocked Shots
7	1
Shots inside the Box
16	6
Shots outside the Box
7	6
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
3	0
Corner Kicks
3	6
Touches in opposition box
33	13
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	0
Free Kicks
11	15
Passes
84% (324/388)	82% (306/374)
Long passes
59% (32/54)	61% (40/66)
Passes in final third
75% (69/92)	68% (61/90)
Crosses
63% (10/16)	39% (7/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.95	0.90
Throw-ins
9	20
Fouls
14	10
Tackles
86% (12/14)	81% (13/16)
Duels won
50	45
Clearances
24	17
Interceptions
6	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	3
xGOT faced
0.09	2.06
Goals prevented
0.09	-1.94

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Pons L. ⚽,
15', Mena J. 🟨,
16', Pineda J. 🟨,
24', Duarte B. 🟨,
29', Blanco Betancur C. ↓, Mena J. ↑,
34', 2 - 0, Londono K. ⚽, Sambueza F. (A),
36', Londono K. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Lara Vasquez N. ↓, Ramirez M. ↑,
46', Duarte B. ↓, Romana C. ↑,
58', Quintana A. 🟨,
62', 3 - 0, Gil Mosquera F. A. ⚽, Sambueza F. (A),
67', Alfonzo D. ↓, Lozano D. ↑,
68', Pineda J. ↓, Mancilla H. ↑,
68', Zarate A. ↓, Charrupi F. ↑,
76', Rivaldo J. 🟨,
78', Benitez Hernandez R. A. ↓, Morelo W. ↑,
83', 4 - 0, Mena J. ⚽,
85', Charrupi G. 🟨,
86', Pons L. ↓, Hinestroza F. ↑,
87', Gil Mosquera F. A. ↓, Jhon Vasquez ↑,
87', Londono K. ↓, Medina G. ↑,

Chances of winning

Atlético Bucaramanga
54.1%

Draw
27.1%

Rionegro Águilas
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

28.5%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

28.2%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Bucaramanga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Bucaramanga's performance.

Rionegro Águilas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rionegro Águilas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Bucaramanga than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Bucaramanga that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rionegro Águilas than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rionegro Águilas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Atlético Bucaramanga - Rionegro Águilas Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (2.1)	3.55 ↑ (3.25)	5.29 ↑ (3.4)	4.1% (7.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Atlético Bucaramanga - Rionegro Águilas?

Users Predictions: Atlético Bucaramanga will win (20 of 22 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.9% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Atlético Bucaramanga will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 14).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bucaramanga won 3.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Rionegro Águilas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Bucaramanga is seen as the favorite.
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Bucaramanga won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:18. (average 1.3:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Bucaramanga won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:7. (average 1.6:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Bucaramanga won against Rionegro Águilas?

Atlético Bucaramanga has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Rionegro Águilas won against Atlético Bucaramanga?

Rionegro Águilas has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Bucaramanga - Rionegro Águilas were as follows:

07.03.2025 Rionegro Águilas - Atlético Bucaramanga 0:1

20.10.2024 Rionegro Águilas - Atlético Bucaramanga 1:3

27.03.2024 Atlético Bucaramanga - Rionegro Águilas 1:0

21.08.2023 Atlético Bucaramanga - Rionegro Águilas 1:1

24.02.2023 Rionegro Águilas - Atlético Bucaramanga 1:0

Latest results of Atlético Bucaramanga

18.08.2025 Junior Barranquilla - Atlético Bucaramanga 2:1 ✺

09.08.2025 Atlético Bucaramanga - Independiente Santa Fe 2:1 ✺

03.08.2025 Alianza Valledupar - Atlético Bucaramanga 1:3 ✺

28.07.2025 Atlético Bucaramanga - Deportivo Cali 2:3 ✺

24.07.2025 Atlético Mineiro - Atlético Bucaramanga 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Rionegro Águilas

16.08.2025 Rionegro Águilas - Boyacá Chicó 2:0 ✺

09.08.2025 Once Caldas - Rionegro Águilas 1:1 ✺

03.08.2025 Rionegro Águilas - Fortaleza CEIF 2:2 ✺

26.07.2025 América de Cali - Rionegro Águilas 2:1 ✺

22.07.2025 Independiente Santa Fe - Rionegro Águilas 0:0 ✺

Colombian Primera A Table

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bucaramanga	13	7	3	3	23:11	12	24
2	Fortaleza	13	6	6	1	19:13	6	24
3	Junior	12	6	4	2	24:16	8	22
4	Ind. Medellin	11	6	3	2	21:15	6	21
5	Atl. Nacional	12	5	5	2	20:15	5	20
6	Deportes Tolima	12	6	2	4	14:9	5	20
7	Llaneros	12	5	3	4	10:10	0	18
8	Dep. Cali	12	4	5	3	17:16	1	17
9	Santa Fe	12	4	5	3	12:11	1	17
10	Once Caldas	13	4	4	5	16:16	0	16
11	Alianza	12	4	4	4	13:15	-2	16
12	Pereira	12	3	5	4	10:11	-1	14
13	Millonarios	12	4	2	6	14:17	-3	14
14	America De Cali	12	3	4	5	9:10	-1	13
15	Envigado	12	2	6	4	9:11	-2	12
16	Aguilas	11	2	5	4	11:15	-4	11
17	U. Magdalena	12	3	2	7	12:20	-8	11
18	La Equidad	12	2	5	5	7:15	-8	11
19	Chico	13	2	5	6	10:21	-11	11
20	Dep. Pasto	12	2	4	6	12:16	-4	10

Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )