Result
2:1
07/04/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 7
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
Mexico | Fanatiz |
South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 1.15 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (146/233) | 76% (244/319) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 1.15 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.34 | 0.72 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 9 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (146/233) | 76% (244/319) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (29/67) | 61% (30/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 52% (33/64) | 72% (104/144) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 44% (4/9) | 23% (8/35) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.25 | 1.32 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 37 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.72 | 0.34 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.28 | -1.66 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 14', 1 - 0, Varela J. ⚽, Ricaurte A. (A),
- 38', De Las Salas C. 🟨,
- 41', Hernandez D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Zarate A. ↓, Flores L. ↑,
- 46', Mosquera J. ↓, Batalla E. ↑,
- 46', Hernandez D. ↓, Lopes H. ↑,
- 52', 1 - 1, Pons L. ⚽, Londono K. (A),
- 55', Avalo Trejos J. E. ↓, Suarez Chalare F. A. ↑,
- 55', Lozano D. ↓, Higgins A. ↑,
- 57', Pons L. 🟨,
- 59', Lopes H. 🟨,
- 61', Suarez Chalare F. A. 🟨,
- 62', Salazar J. ↓, Gil Mosquera F. A. ↑,
- 78', Londono K. ↓, Caicedo B. ↑,
- 79', De Las Salas C. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
- 79', Ricaurte A. ↓, Obregon J. ↑,
- 79', Rivaldo J. ↓, Alvarez A. ↑,
- 81', Alvarez A. 🟨,
- 90', 2 - 1, Mena J. ⚽, Suarez Chalare F. A. (A),
Chances of winning
Rionegro Águilas 33.6% | Draw 32.1% | Atlético Bucaramanga 34.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rionegro Águilas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)Atlético Bucaramanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rionegro Águilas than the current prediction. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Bucaramanga than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
Rionegro Águilas - Atlético Bucaramanga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.81 ↓ (3.28) |
2.93 ↑ (2.91) |
2.72 ↑ (2.39) |
6.5% (6.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Rionegro Águilas - Atlético Bucaramanga?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Rionegro Águilas will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Bucaramanga will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19% – 81%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.5 - Rionegro Águilas (1.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Rionegro Águilas (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rionegro Águilas won 0.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Bucaramanga could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Rionegro Águilas won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 18:27. (average 0.9:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Rionegro Águilas won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Rionegro Águilas won against Atlético Bucaramanga?
Rionegro Águilas has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Bucaramanga won against Rionegro Águilas?
Atlético Bucaramanga has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rionegro Águilas - Atlético Bucaramanga were as follows:
24.08.2025
Atlético Bucaramanga
-
Rionegro Águilas
4:0
07.03.2025
Rionegro Águilas
-
Atlético Bucaramanga
0:1
20.10.2024
Rionegro Águilas
-
Atlético Bucaramanga
1:3
27.03.2024
Atlético Bucaramanga
-
Rionegro Águilas
1:0
21.08.2023
Atlético Bucaramanga
-
Rionegro Águilas
1:1
Latest results of Rionegro Águilas
Latest results of Atlético Bucaramanga
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Nacional ✔ | 15 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 30:11 | 19 | 34 |
| 2 | Dep. Pasto | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 21:17 | 4 | 28 |
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 24:13 | 11 | 27 |
| 4 | Once Caldas | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 26:19 | 7 | 25 |
| 5 | Junior | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 21:20 | 1 | 25 |
| 6 | America De Cali | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 19:12 | 7 | 24 |
| 7 | Dep. Cali | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 17:13 | 4 | 22 |
| 8 | Aguilas | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 22 |
| 9 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 18:20 | -2 | 22 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 25:17 | 8 | 21 |
| 11 | Llaneros | 15 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 20 |
| 12 | Bucaramanga | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18:14 | 4 | 19 |
| 13 | Santa Fe | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18:19 | -1 | 19 |
| 14 | Ind. Medellin | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 19:19 | 0 | 17 |
| 15 | Fortaleza | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17:23 | -6 | 16 |
| 16 | Cucuta | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 21:27 | -6 | 15 |
| 17 | Alianza | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 10:22 | -12 | 15 |
| 18 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 14:28 | -14 | 14 |
| 19 | Chico | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11:21 | -10 | 11 |
| 20 | Pereira | 15 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 14:29 | -15 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Atl. Nacional is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )