Rionegro Águilas vs Atlético Bucaramanga – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
07/04/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera A - Apertura - Round 7
  • Where to Watch on TV:
colombiaColombiaWin+ Futbol, Win play
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
south-americaSouth-americaRCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.521.15
Ball possession
41%59%
Total shots
516
Shots on target
33
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
16
Passes
63% (146/233)76% (244/319)
Yellow cards
42
Expected goals (xG)
0.521.15
xG on target (xGOT)
0.340.72
Total shots
516
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
27
Blocked shots
06
Shots inside the box
48
Shots outside the box
18
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
10
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
16
Touches in opposition box
923
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free kicks
158
Passes
63% (146/233)76% (244/319)
Long passes
43% (29/67)61% (30/49)
Passes in final third
52% (33/64)72% (104/144)
Crosses
44% (4/9)23% (8/35)
Expected assists (xA)
0.251.32
Throw ins
1625
Fouls
815
Tackles
64% (7/11)64% (7/11)
Duels won
4338
Clearances
3712
Interceptions
614
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
21
xGOT faced
0.720.34
Goals prevented
-0.28-1.66

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 14', 1 - 0, Varela J. , Ricaurte A. (A),
  • 38', De Las Salas C. 🟨,
  • 41', Hernandez D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Zarate A. , Flores L. ,
  • 46', Mosquera J. , Batalla E. ,
  • 46', Hernandez D. , Lopes H. ,
  • 52', 1 - 1, Pons L. , Londono K. (A),
  • 55', Avalo Trejos J. E. , Suarez Chalare F. A. ,
  • 55', Lozano D. , Higgins A. ,
  • 57', Pons L. 🟨,
  • 59', Lopes H. 🟨,
  • 61', Suarez Chalare F. A. 🟨,
  • 62', Salazar J. , Gil Mosquera F. A. ,
  • 78', Londono K. , Caicedo B. ,
  • 79', De Las Salas C. , Garcia J. ,
  • 79', Ricaurte A. , Obregon J. ,
  • 79', Rivaldo J. , Alvarez A. ,
  • 81', Alvarez A. 🟨,
  • 90', 2 - 1, Mena J. , Suarez Chalare F. A. (A),

Chances of winning


Rionegro Águilas
33.6%
Draw
32.1%
Atlético Bucaramanga
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.6% 32.2% 39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29% 32.6% 38.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rionegro Águilas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
  • Atlético Bucaramanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rionegro Águilas than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Bucaramanga than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • Rionegro Águilas - Atlético Bucaramanga Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.81
    (3.28)
    2.93
    (2.91)
    2.72
    (2.39)
    6.5%
    (6.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Rionegro Águilas - Atlético Bucaramanga?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Rionegro Águilas will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Bucaramanga will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19%81%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.5 - Rionegro Águilas (1.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Rionegro Águilas (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rionegro Águilas won 0.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Bucaramanga could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Rionegro Águilas won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 18:27. (average 0.9:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Rionegro Águilas won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Rionegro Águilas - Atlético Bucaramanga were as follows:
    24.08.2025 Atlético Bucaramanga - Rionegro Águilas 4:0
    07.03.2025 Rionegro Águilas - Atlético Bucaramanga 0:1
    20.10.2024 Rionegro Águilas - Atlético Bucaramanga 1:3
    27.03.2024 Atlético Bucaramanga - Rionegro Águilas 1:0
    21.08.2023 Atlético Bucaramanga - Rionegro Águilas 1:1
    Colombian Primera A Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atl. Nacional ✔ 15111330:111934
    2Dep. Pasto1584321:17428
    3Deportes Tolima1576224:131127
    4Once Caldas1567226:19725
    5Junior1581621:20125
    6America De Cali1573519:12724
    7Dep. Cali1564517:13422
    8Aguilas1564516:17-122
    9Inter Bogotu00e11557318:20-222
    10Millonarios1563625:17821
    11Llaneros1548316:14220
    12Bucaramanga1547418:14419
    13Santa Fe1547418:19-119
    14Ind. Medellin1445519:19017
    15Fortaleza1537517:23-616
    16Cucuta1636721:27-615
    17Alianza1536610:22-1215
    18Jaguares de Cordoba16421014:28-1414
    19Chico1432911:21-1011
    20Pereira1506914:29-156

          Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Atl. Nacional is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )