Result
4:0
24/08/2025 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Round 8
- Referee: Ararat N. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 1.00 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (324/388) | 82% (306/374) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 1.00 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.06 | 0.09 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 33 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (324/388) | 82% (306/374) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 59% (32/54) | 61% (40/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (69/92) | 68% (61/90) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 63% (10/16) | 39% (7/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 0.90 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 9 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 86% (12/14) | 81% (13/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.09 | 2.06 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.09 | -1.94 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 7', 1 - 0, Pons L. ⚽,
- 15', Mena J. 🟨,
- 16', Pineda J. 🟨,
- 24', Duarte B. 🟨,
- 29', Blanco Betancur C. ↓, Mena J. ↑,
- 34', 2 - 0, Londono K. ⚽, Sambueza F. (A),
- 36', Londono K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Lara Vasquez N. ↓, Ramirez M. ↑,
- 46', Duarte B. ↓, Romana C. ↑,
- 58', Quintana A. 🟨,
- 62', 3 - 0, Gil Mosquera F. A. ⚽, Sambueza F. (A),
- 67', Alfonzo D. ↓, Lozano D. ↑,
- 68', Pineda J. ↓, Mancilla H. ↑,
- 68', Zarate A. ↓, Charrupi F. ↑,
- 76', Rivaldo J. 🟨,
- 78', Benitez Hernandez R. A. ↓, Morelo W. ↑,
- 83', 4 - 0, Mena J. ⚽,
- 85', Charrupi G. 🟨,
- 86', Pons L. ↓, Hinestroza F. ↑,
- 87', Gil Mosquera F. A. ↓, Jhon Vasquez ↑,
- 87', Londono K. ↓, Medina G. ↑,
Chances of winning
Atlético Bucaramanga
54.1% | Draw
27.1% | Rionegro Águilas
18.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Bucaramanga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Bucaramanga's performance.Rionegro Águilas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rionegro Águilas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Bucaramanga than the current prediction. (-9.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Bucaramanga that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rionegro Águilas than the current prediction. (+8.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rionegro Águilas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Atlético Bucaramanga - Rionegro Águilas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.76 ↓
(2.1) |
3.55 ↑
(3.25) |
5.29 ↑
(3.4) |
4.1%
(7.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Atlético Bucaramanga - Rionegro Águilas?
Users Predictions:
Atlético Bucaramanga will win
(20 of 22 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.9% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Atlético Bucaramanga will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bucaramanga won 3.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Rionegro Águilas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Bucaramanga is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Bucaramanga won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:18. (average 1.3:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bucaramanga won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:7. (average 1.6:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Bucaramanga won against Rionegro Águilas?
Atlético Bucaramanga has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rionegro Águilas won against Atlético Bucaramanga?
Rionegro Águilas has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Bucaramanga - Rionegro Águilas were as follows:
07.03.2025
Rionegro Águilas
-
Atlético Bucaramanga
0:1
20.10.2024
Rionegro Águilas
-
Atlético Bucaramanga
1:3
27.03.2024
Atlético Bucaramanga
-
Rionegro Águilas
1:0
21.08.2023
Atlético Bucaramanga
-
Rionegro Águilas
1:1
24.02.2023
Rionegro Águilas
-
Atlético Bucaramanga
1:0
Latest results of Atlético Bucaramanga
Latest results of Rionegro Águilas
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Junior | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 20:10 | 10 | 20 |
| 2 | Ind. Medellin | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 19 |
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 10:6 | 4 | 17 |
| 4 | Atl. Nacional | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 15:8 | 7 | 16 |
| 5 | Fortaleza | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 13:9 | 4 | 15 |
| 6 | Llaneros | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 14 |
| 7 | Bucaramanga | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14:8 | 6 | 13 |
| 8 | Pereira | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | Santa Fe | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 12 |
| 10 | Alianza | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 12 |
| 11 | Envigado | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 10 |
| 12 | Chico | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 10 |
| 13 | La Equidad | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 | Dep. Cali | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11:15 | -4 | 10 |
| 15 | U. Magdalena | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8:15 | -7 | 8 |
| 16 | Millonarios | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:12 | -2 | 7 |
| 17 | Aguilas | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 7 |
| 18 | Dep. Pasto | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 6 |
| 19 | Once Caldas | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:12 | -4 | 6 |
| 20 | America De Cali | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:8 | -3 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
