Result
2:2
18/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Round 16
- Referee: Montano W. (Col)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 1.23 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (335/390) | 76% (198/261) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 1.23 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 1.69 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (335/390) | 76% (198/261) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (38/66) | 35% (18/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (77/109) | 60% (41/68) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 42% (11/26) | 9% (1/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 0.31 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 100% (7/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.69 | 0.79 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.31 | -1.21 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 7', Puello S. 🟨,
- 13', 0 - 1, Asprilla D. ⚽,
- 27', Moreno M. 🟥,
- 27', Caicedo L. 🟨,
- 34', Mendez J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Mendez J. ↓, Rendon K. ↑,
- 46', Caicedo L. ↓, Camacho D. ↑,
- 53', 1 - 1, Rivas J. ⚽, Castano M. (A),
- 57', Espinal F. 🟨,
- 58', Rengifo J. ↓, Campuzano J. ↑,
- 58', Bauza J. ↓, Sarmiento A. ↑,
- 76', Asprilla D. ↓, Batista F. ↑,
- 77', Puello S. ↓, Villa F. ↑,
- 77', Espinal F. ↓, Preciado P. ↑,
- 84', Villa F. 🟨,
- 88', Hinestroza M. ↓, Candido C. ↑,
- 89', Rivas J. ↓, Ordonez W. F. ↑,
- 90+3', 2 - 1, Camacho D. ⚽, Bone F. (A),
- 90+11', Rendon K. 🟨,
- 90+11', Gil N. 🟨,
- 90+12', Cabezas V. 🟨,
- 90+14', 2 - 2, Campuzano J. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Deportivo Pasto
14.1% | Draw
23.8% | Atlético Nacional
62.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Pasto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)Atlético Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Pasto than the current prediction. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
Deportivo Pasto - Atlético Nacional Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.69 ↑
(5.58) |
3.95 ↑
(3.58) |
1.5 ↓
(1.62) |
6.8%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Deportivo Pasto - Atlético Nacional?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Deportivo Pasto will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Atlético Nacional will win (votes: 3 - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 19 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Pasto won 0.
- Deportivo Pasto has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Atlético Nacional is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Deportivo Pasto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Atlético Nacional is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Pasto won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 12:30. (average 0.6:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Pasto won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 0.6:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Pasto won against Atlético Nacional?
Deportivo Pasto has won 0 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Nacional won against Deportivo Pasto?
Atlético Nacional has won 8 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Pasto - Atlético Nacional were as follows:
29.04.2025
Atlético Nacional
-
Deportivo Pasto
3:0
05.12.2024
Atlético Nacional
-
Deportivo Pasto
2:1
24.11.2024
Deportivo Pasto
-
Atlético Nacional
0:1
05.10.2024
Deportivo Pasto
-
Atlético Nacional
1:2
24.03.2024
Atlético Nacional
-
Deportivo Pasto
1:0
Latest results of Deportivo Pasto
Latest results of Atlético Nacional
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bucaramanga | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 29:13 | 16 | 34 |
| 2 | Atl. Nacional | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 32:21 | 11 | 31 |
| 3 | Junior | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 31:21 | 10 | 31 |
| 4 | Ind. Medellin | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 36:27 | 9 | 31 |
| 5 | Fortaleza | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 23:16 | 7 | 31 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 17 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 22:15 | 7 | 29 |
| 7 | Llaneros | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 16:16 | 0 | 25 |
| 8 | Aguilas | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 26:23 | 3 | 24 |
| 9 | America De Cali | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 18:16 | 2 | 23 |
| 10 | Alianza | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21:21 | 0 | 23 |
| 11 | Santa Fe | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 17:16 | 1 | 22 |
| 12 | Once Caldas | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 19:23 | -4 | 22 |
| 13 | Millonarios | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 20:24 | -4 | 21 |
| 14 | Dep. Cali | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 21:25 | -4 | 20 |
| 15 | Pereira | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 18 |
| 16 | U. Magdalena | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 20:27 | -7 | 18 |
| 17 | Envigado | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 14:20 | -6 | 16 |
| 18 | Chico | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 13:23 | -10 | 16 |
| 19 | Dep. Pasto | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 19:27 | -8 | 13 |
| 20 | La Equidad | 17 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 9:26 | -17 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
