Result
3:0
29/04/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 16
- Referee: Montano W. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.28 | 0.04 |
Ball Possession |
---|
67% | 33% |
Total shots |
---|
21 | 1 |
Shots on target |
---|
8 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 0 |
Passes |
---|
88% (578/655) | 81% (260/321) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 2 |
Red Cards |
---|
0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.28 | 0.04 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.50 | 0.00 |
Total shots |
---|
21 | 1 |
Shots on target |
---|
8 | 0 |
Shots off target |
---|
8 | 1 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
5 | 0 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
11 | 1 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
10 | 0 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 0 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
28 | 5 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
---|
8 | 21 |
Passes |
---|
88% (578/655) | 81% (260/321) |
Long passes |
---|
67% (40/60) | 37% (19/52) |
Passes in final third |
---|
73% (146/200) | 58% (34/59) |
Crosses |
---|
50% (8/16) | 11% (1/9) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.77 | 0.13 |
Throw-ins |
---|
18 | 7 |
Fouls |
---|
21 | 8 |
Tackles |
---|
70% (7/10) | 69% (9/13) |
Duels won |
---|
24 | 46 |
Clearances |
---|
11 | 25 |
Interceptions |
---|
9 | 5 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
0 | 5 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.00 | 1.50 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.00 | -1.50 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 14', Roman A. 🟨,
- 24', Alarcon A. 🟨,
- 37', 1 - 0, Cardona E. ⚽, Uribe M. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Alarcon A. ↓, Castano M. ↑,
- 46', Torres G. ↓, Castillo D. ↑,
- 51', Bone F. 🟨,
- 55', Arce B. 🟨,
- 60', Arce B. ↓, Parra Atehortua K. ↑,
- 60', Uribe M. ↓, Rivero E. ↑,
- 61', Garcia S. ↓, Arias J. J. ↑,
- 61', Sarmiento A. ↓, Asprilla D. ↑,
- 64', Castilla J. ↓, Charrupi G. ↑,
- 64', Bone F. ↓, Vanegas R. ↑,
- 68', 2 - 0, Roman A. ⚽,
- 72', Quinones D. ↓, Morinigo N. ↑,
- 82', 3 - 0, Cardona E. ⚽, Morelos A. (A),
- 84', Campuzano J. ↓, Guzman S. ↑,
- 87', Vanegas R. 🟥,
- 89', Rivero E. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/yw9r3kz2
Chances of winning
Atlético Nacional 72.1% | Draw 18.9% | Deportivo Pasto 9.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Deportivo Pasto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Pasto than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Atlético Nacional - Deportivo Pasto Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.31 ↓ (1.32) |
4.98 ↓ (5.09) |
10.3 ↑ (9.41) |
6.4% (6.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Atlético Nacional - Deportivo Pasto?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Atlético Nacional will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Deportivo Pasto will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético Nacional won 5.
- Atlético Nacional is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Deportivo Pasto is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Deportivo Pasto could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Recently Atlético Nacional have a series of guest games.
- In this match Atlético Nacional is the unquestionable favorite.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Atlético Nacional won 15 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 30:13 (average 1.5:0.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams Atlético Nacional won 9 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 20:8 (average 1.8:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Nacional won against Deportivo Pasto?
Atlético Nacional has won 7 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Pasto won against Atlético Nacional?
Deportivo Pasto has won 0 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Nacional - Deportivo Pasto were as follows:
05.12.2024
Atlético Nacional
-
Deportivo Pasto
2:1
24.11.2024
Deportivo Pasto
-
Atlético Nacional
0:1
05.10.2024
Deportivo Pasto
-
Atlético Nacional
1:2
24.03.2024
Atlético Nacional
-
Deportivo Pasto
1:0
24.08.2023
Atlético Nacional
-
Deportivo Pasto
2:0
Latest results of Atlético Nacional
Latest results of Deportivo Pasto
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Junior | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13:5 | 8 | 13 |
2 | Llaneros | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 11 |
3 | Santa Fe | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 9 |
4 | Atl. Nacional | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 8 |
5 | Fortaleza | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 8 |
6 | Ind. Medellin | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 7 |
7 | Pereira | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
8 | Deportes Tolima | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 7 |
9 | Envigado | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 5 |
10 | Chico | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 5 |
11 | Alianza | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 5 |
12 | La Equidad | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 5 |
13 | Dep. Cali | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 5 |
14 | Bucaramanga | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 4 |
15 | Dep. Pasto | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:4 | 1 | 4 |
16 | America De Cali | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
17 | U. Magdalena | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 4 |
18 | Aguilas | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 2 |
19 | Once Caldas | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 1 |
20 | Millonarios | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )