Deportivo Pasto vs Atlético Nacional – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Colombian Primera A Deportivo Pasto - Atlético Nacional
Result
2:2
18/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera A - Clausura - Round 16
  • Referee: Montano W. (Col)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.211.23
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
2311
Shots on target
55
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
34
Passes
86% (335/390)76% (198/261)
Yellow Cards
80
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.211.23
xG on target (xGOT)
0.791.69
Total shots
2311
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
113
Blocked Shots
73
Shots inside the Box
124
Shots outside the Box
117
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
34
Touches in opposition box
149
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
820
Passes
86% (335/390)76% (198/261)
Long passes
58% (38/66)35% (18/52)
Passes in final third
71% (77/109)60% (41/68)
Crosses
42% (11/26)9% (1/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.020.31
Throw-ins
2315
Fouls
208
Tackles
73% (8/11)100% (7/7)
Duels won
4342
Clearances
1527
Interceptions
27
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
1.690.79
Goals prevented
-0.31-1.21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 7', Puello S. 🟨,
  • 13', 0 - 1, Asprilla D. ,
  • 27', Moreno M. 🟥,
  • 27', Caicedo L. 🟨,
  • 34', Mendez J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Mendez J. , Rendon K. ,
  • 46', Caicedo L. , Camacho D. ,
  • 53', 1 - 1, Rivas J. , Castano M. (A),
  • 57', Espinal F. 🟨,
  • 58', Rengifo J. , Campuzano J. ,
  • 58', Bauza J. , Sarmiento A. ,
  • 76', Asprilla D. , Batista F. ,
  • 77', Puello S. , Villa F. ,
  • 77', Espinal F. , Preciado P. ,
  • 84', Villa F. 🟨,
  • 88', Hinestroza M. , Candido C. ,
  • 89', Rivas J. , Ordonez W. F. ,
  • 90+3', 2 - 1, Camacho D. , Bone F. (A),
  • 90+11', Rendon K. 🟨,
  • 90+11', Gil N. 🟨,
  • 90+12', Cabezas V. 🟨,
  • 90+14', 2 - 2, Campuzano J. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Deportivo Pasto
14.1%
Draw
23.8%
Atlético Nacional
62.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
16.6% 25.9% 57.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.2% 25.3% 58.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportivo Pasto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • Atlético Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Pasto than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • Deportivo Pasto - Atlético Nacional Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.69
    (5.58)
    3.95
    (3.58)
    1.5
    (1.62)
    6.8%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Deportivo Pasto - Atlético Nacional?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Deportivo Pasto will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Atlético Nacional will win (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 19 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Pasto won 0.
    • Deportivo Pasto has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Atlético Nacional is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Deportivo Pasto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Atlético Nacional is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Pasto won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 12:30. (average 0.6:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Pasto won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 0.6:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Pasto - Atlético Nacional were as follows:
    29.04.2025 Atlético Nacional - Deportivo Pasto 3:0
    05.12.2024 Atlético Nacional - Deportivo Pasto 2:1
    24.11.2024 Deportivo Pasto - Atlético Nacional 0:1
    05.10.2024 Deportivo Pasto - Atlético Nacional 1:2
    24.03.2024 Atlético Nacional - Deportivo Pasto 1:0
    Latest results of Deportivo Pasto
    Latest results of Atlético Nacional
    Colombian Primera A Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bucaramanga17104329:131634
    2Atl. Nacional1787232:211131
    3Junior1794431:211031
    4Ind. Medellin1794436:27931
    5Fortaleza1787223:16731
    6Deportes Tolima1792622:15729
    7Llaneros1774616:16025
    8Aguilas1766526:23324
    9America De Cali1765618:16223
    10Alianza1765621:21023
    11Santa Fe1757517:16122
    12Once Caldas1764719:23-422
    13Millonarios1763820:24-421
    14Dep. Cali1755721:25-420
    15Pereira1746718:24-618
    16U. Magdalena1753920:27-718
    17Envigado1737714:20-616
    18Chico1737713:23-1016
    19Dep. Pasto1727819:27-813
    20La Equidad1725109:26-1711

          Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )