Result
3:0
29/04/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 16
- Referee: Montano W. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.28 | 0.04 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 67% | 33% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 1 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (578/655) | 81% (260/321) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.28 | 0.04 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 1 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 0 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 5 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 21 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (578/655) | 81% (260/321) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 67% (40/60) | 37% (19/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (146/200) | 58% (34/59) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (8/16) | 11% (1/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.77 | 0.13 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 7 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 21 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 24 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.50 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | -1.50 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 14', Roman A. 🟨,
- 24', Alarcon A. 🟨,
- 37', 1 - 0, Cardona E. ⚽, Uribe M. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Alarcon A. ↓, Castano M. ↑,
- 46', Torres G. ↓, Castillo D. ↑,
- 51', Bone F. 🟨,
- 55', Arce B. 🟨,
- 60', Arce B. ↓, Parra Atehortua K. ↑,
- 60', Uribe M. ↓, Rivero E. ↑,
- 61', Garcia S. ↓, Arias J. J. ↑,
- 61', Sarmiento A. ↓, Asprilla D. ↑,
- 64', Castilla J. ↓, Charrupi G. ↑,
- 64', Bone F. ↓, Vanegas R. ↑,
- 68', 2 - 0, Roman A. ⚽,
- 72', Quinones D. ↓, Morinigo N. ↑,
- 82', 3 - 0, Cardona E. ⚽, Morelos A. (A),
- 84', Campuzano J. ↓, Guzman S. ↑,
- 87', Vanegas R. 🟥,
- 89', Rivero E. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/yw9r3kz2
Chances of winning
Atlético Nacional
72.1% | Draw
18.9% | Deportivo Pasto
9.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Deportivo Pasto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Pasto than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Atlético Nacional - Deportivo Pasto Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.31 ↓
(1.32) |
4.98 ↓
(5.09) |
10.3 ↑
(9.41) |
6.4%
(6.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Atlético Nacional - Deportivo Pasto?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Atlético Nacional will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Deportivo Pasto will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético Nacional won 5.
- Atlético Nacional is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Deportivo Pasto is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Deportivo Pasto could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Recently Atlético Nacional have a series of guest games.
- In this match Atlético Nacional is the unquestionable favorite.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Atlético Nacional won 15 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 30:13 (average 1.5:0.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams Atlético Nacional won 9 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 20:8 (average 1.8:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Nacional won against Deportivo Pasto?
Atlético Nacional has won 7 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Pasto won against Atlético Nacional?
Deportivo Pasto has won 0 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Nacional - Deportivo Pasto were as follows:
05.12.2024
Atlético Nacional
-
Deportivo Pasto
2:1
24.11.2024
Deportivo Pasto
-
Atlético Nacional
0:1
05.10.2024
Deportivo Pasto
-
Atlético Nacional
1:2
24.03.2024
Atlético Nacional
-
Deportivo Pasto
1:0
24.08.2023
Atlético Nacional
-
Deportivo Pasto
2:0
Latest results of Atlético Nacional
Latest results of Deportivo Pasto
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Junior | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16:10 | 6 | 17 |
| 2 | Ind. Medellin | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 16 |
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 16 |
| 4 | Fortaleza | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 12:8 | 4 | 14 |
| 5 | Llaneros | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 14 |
| 6 | Atl. Nacional | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14:8 | 6 | 13 |
| 7 | Pereira | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 12 |
| 8 | Santa Fe | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | Bucaramanga | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13:8 | 5 | 10 |
| 10 | Envigado | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 10 |
| 11 | Dep. Cali | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:12 | -2 | 9 |
| 12 | La Equidad | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 9 |
| 13 | Alianza | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:12 | -4 | 9 |
| 14 | U. Magdalena | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:14 | -6 | 8 |
| 15 | Aguilas | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8:12 | -4 | 7 |
| 16 | Chico | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Dep. Pasto | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 5 |
| 18 | America De Cali | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 5 |
| 19 | Millonarios | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8:11 | -3 | 4 |
| 20 | Once Caldas | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6:11 | -5 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
