Result
12/04/2026 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Toluca
69.4% | Draw
18.4% | Atlético San Luis
12.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toluca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Atlético San Luis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toluca than the current prediction. (-6.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Toluca that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético San Luis than the current prediction. (+1%)
Toluca - Atlético San Luis Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.35 ↑
(1.32) |
5.04 ↓
(5.11) |
7.59 ↓
(7.78) |
7.3%
(8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toluca won 5.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- In this match, Toluca is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Toluca won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 24:10. (average 2:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Toluca won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:7. (average 2.3:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Toluca won against Atlético San Luis?
Toluca has won 6 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético San Luis won against Toluca?
Atlético San Luis has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Toluca - Atlético San Luis were as follows:
29.08.2025
Atlético San Luis
-
Toluca
1:3
16.04.2025
Atlético San Luis
-
Toluca
0:1
25.08.2024
Toluca
-
Atlético San Luis
2:1
19.04.2024
Atlético San Luis
-
Toluca
1:5
29.10.2023
Toluca
-
Atlético San Luis
3:1
Latest results of Atlético San Luis
Mexican Liga MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Guadalajara Chivas ✔ | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 27:13 | 14 | 31 |
| 2 | Cruz Azul | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 24:14 | 10 | 27 |
| 3 | Toluca | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 19:8 | 11 | 26 |
| 4 | Pachuca | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 25 |
| 5 | UNAM Pumas | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 23:14 | 9 | 24 |
| 6 | Club America | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14:12 | 2 | 18 |
| 7 | Atlas | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | 18 |
| 8 | Tigres UANL | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 18:15 | 3 | 17 |
| 9 | Necaxa | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 16:17 | -1 | 16 |
| 10 | Juarez | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 20:22 | -2 | 16 |
| 11 | Club Leon | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 15:24 | -9 | 16 |
| 12 | Club Tijuana | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 13:14 | -1 | 15 |
| 13 | Monterrey | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 19:17 | 2 | 14 |
| 14 | Atl. San Luis | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 20:22 | -2 | 14 |
| 15 | Puebla | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 11:16 | -5 | 13 |
| 16 | Queretaro | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 10:17 | -7 | 12 |
| 17 | Mazatlan FC | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 15:25 | -10 | 11 |
| 18 | Santos Laguna | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 15:31 | -16 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Guadalajara Chivas is Qualified for Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
