Result
3:1
29/09/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 10
- Referee: Merlos A. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | ESPN, ESPN Premium |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 China | K-Ball |
 Mexico | Disney+, Fanatiz |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
 World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.06 | 1.14 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (339/448) | 71% (300/420) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.06 | 1.14 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.77 | 0.58 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 40 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (339/448) | 71% (300/420) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (24/61) | 38% (33/86) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (118/171) | 47% (58/123) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (6/20) | 50% (3/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.00 | 0.69 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (14/20) | 65% (11/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 68 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 21 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.58 | 2.77 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.42 | -0.23 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 5', Sanchez A. 🟨,
- 14', 0 - 1, Bajamich M. ⚽,
- 31', Bouzat A. 🟨,
- 36', 1 - 1, Braian Romero ⚽, Pellegrini M. (A),
- 39', 2 - 1, Braian Romero ⚽, Galvan T. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 55', Pizzini F. 🟨,
- 60', Martinez D. 🟨,
- 64', Lopez K. ↓, Ruiz R. ↑,
- 64', Lamendola N. ↓, Godoy L. ↑,
- 64', Martinez D. ↓, Villa M. ↑,
- 67', Pellegrini M. ↓, Aliendro R. ↑,
- 70', Baeza C. 🟨,
- 73', Bajamich M. ↓, Abeldano G. ↑,
- 78', Galvan T. ↓, Valdes D. ↑,
- 78', Sanchez A. ↓, Franco N. ↑,
- 81', Franco N. 🟨,
- 84', Ortiz K. 🟨,
- 86', Bouzat A. ↓, Arias M. ↑,
- 87', Braian Romero ↓, Roldan L. ↑,
- 87', Pizzini F. ↓, Godoy D. ↑,
- 90+1', Ortiz M. 🟨,
- 90+2', 🟨,
- 90+4', 3 - 1, Valdes D. ⚽, Baeza C. (A),
Chances of winning
Vélez Sársfield
48.9% | Draw
29.8% | Atlético Tucumán
21.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vélez Sársfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)Atlético Tucumán has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Tucumán than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Vélez Sársfield - Atlético Tucumán Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.97 ↑
(1.96) |
3.14 ↓
(3.17) |
4.49 ↑
(4.28) |
5%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Vélez Sársfield - Atlético Tucumán?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Vélez will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Atlético Tucumán will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vélez: 16.1% – 74.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Vélez (votes: 3 - 50%). Atlético Tucumán (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vélez won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Vélez may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Vélez is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Vélez: Cavanagh T.
(Injury)
Fernandez T.
(Knee Injury)
Garcia J.
(Broken ankle)
Quiros A.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Atlético Tucumán: Brandan M.
(Calf Injury)
Infante J.
(Knee Injury)
Roman P.
(Inactive)
Tesuri R.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Vélez: Gordon J.
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Vélez won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 1:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vélez won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:3. (average 1.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Vélez Sársfield won against Atlético Tucumán?
Vélez Sársfield has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Tucumán won against Vélez Sársfield?
Atlético Tucumán has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vélez Sársfield - Atlético Tucumán were as follows:
01.06.2024
Vélez Sársfield
-
Atlético Tucumán
1:1
02.03.2024
Atlético Tucumán
-
Vélez Sársfield
0:0
09.10.2023
Vélez Sársfield
-
Atlético Tucumán
3:1
20.02.2023
Atlético Tucumán
-
Vélez Sársfield
1:1
Latest results of Vélez Sársfield
Latest results of Atlético Tucumán
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
AperturaGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Velez Sarsfield | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 18 |
| 2 | Estudiantes L.P | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 15 |
| 3 | Union de Santa Fe | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:5 | 6 | 14 |
| 4 | Independiente | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 13 |
| 5 | Platense | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 13 |
| 6 | San Lorenzo | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7:5 | 2 | 12 |
| 7 | Defensa y Justicia | 8 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 7:5 | 2 | 12 |
| 8 | Talleres Cordoba | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 11 |
| 9 | Boca Juniors | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 9 |
| 10 | Lanus | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9:9 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 | Instituto | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 | Central Cordoba | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3:6 | -3 | 8 |
| 13 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 8 |
| 14 | Dep. Riestra | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 | Newells Old Boys | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5:16 | -11 | 2 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 17 |
| 2 | Tigre | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14:7 | 7 | 15 |
| 3 | Belgrano | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 15 |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:6 | 4 | 14 |
| 5 | River Plate | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 11 |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 11 |
| 7 | Banfield | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:9 | 0 | 10 |
| 8 | Argentinos Jrs | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 9 |
| 9 | Barracas Central | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 9 |
| 10 | Huracan | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 9 |
| 11 | Racing Club | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 | Sarmiento Junin | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5:9 | -4 | 6 |
| 13 | Atl. Tucuman | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3:11 | -8 | 4 |
| 15 | Aldosivi | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2:8 | -6 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
