Vélez Sársfield vs Atlético Tucumán – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

29/09/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio José Amalfitani (Buenos Aires).

Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 10
Referee: Merlos A. (Arg)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN, ESPN Premium
Brazil	Disney+
China	K-Ball
Mexico	Disney+, Fanatiz
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
World	TyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.06	1.14
Ball Possession
52%	48%
Total shots
21	8
Shots on target
9	4
Big Chances
4	3
Corner Kicks
3	2
Passes
76% (339/448)	71% (300/420)
Yellow Cards
4	5
Expected Goals (xG)
2.06	1.14
xG on target (xGOT)
2.77	0.58
Total shots
21	8
Shots on target
9	4
Shots off target
7	4
Blocked Shots
5	0
Shots inside the Box
14	6
Shots outside the Box
7	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
4	3
Corner Kicks
3	2
Touches in opposition box
40	12
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
1	2
Free Kicks
16	10
Passes
76% (339/448)	71% (300/420)
Long passes
39% (24/61)	38% (33/86)
Passes in final third
69% (118/171)	47% (58/123)
Crosses
30% (6/20)	50% (3/6)
Expected assists (xA)
2.00	0.69
Throw-ins
21	19
Fouls
10	16
Tackles
70% (14/20)	65% (11/17)
Duels won
68	56
Clearances
14	32
Interceptions
10	21
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	6
xGOT faced
0.58	2.77
Goals prevented
-0.42	-0.23

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 1)
5', Sanchez A. 🟨,
14', 0 - 1, Bajamich M. ⚽,
31', Bouzat A. 🟨,
36', 1 - 1, Braian Romero ⚽, Pellegrini M. (A),
39', 2 - 1, Braian Romero ⚽, Galvan T. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Pizzini F. 🟨,
60', Martinez D. 🟨,
64', Lopez K. ↓, Ruiz R. ↑,
64', Lamendola N. ↓, Godoy L. ↑,
64', Martinez D. ↓, Villa M. ↑,
67', Pellegrini M. ↓, Aliendro R. ↑,
70', Baeza C. 🟨,
73', Bajamich M. ↓, Abeldano G. ↑,
78', Galvan T. ↓, Valdes D. ↑,
78', Sanchez A. ↓, Franco N. ↑,
81', Franco N. 🟨,
84', Ortiz K. 🟨,
86', Bouzat A. ↓, Arias M. ↑,
87', Braian Romero ↓, Roldan L. ↑,
87', Pizzini F. ↓, Godoy D. ↑,
90+1', Ortiz M. 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,
90+4', 3 - 1, Valdes D. ⚽, Baeza C. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning

Vélez Sársfield
48.9%

Draw
29.8%

Atlético Tucumán
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.1%

29.8%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

29.9%

22.1%

Vélez Sársfield - Atlético Tucumán Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.96)	3.14 ↓ (3.17)	4.49 ↑ (4.28)	5% (6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Vélez Sársfield - Atlético Tucumán?

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Vélez will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Atlético Tucumán will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vélez: 16.1% – 74.9%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Vélez (votes: 3 - 50%). Atlético Tucumán (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vélez won 2.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Vélez may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Vélez is the team to beat.
There will not play in Vélez: Cavanagh T. (Injury) Fernandez T. (Knee Injury) Garcia J. (Broken ankle) Quiros A. (Red Card)
There will not play in Atlético Tucumán: Brandan M. (Calf Injury) Infante J. (Knee Injury) Roman P. (Inactive) Tesuri R. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Vélez: Gordon J. (Ankle Injury)
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Vélez won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 1:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Vélez won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:3. (average 1.5:0.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Vélez Sársfield won against Atlético Tucumán?

Vélez Sársfield has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Tucumán won against Vélez Sársfield?

Atlético Tucumán has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Vélez Sársfield - Atlético Tucumán were as follows:

01.06.2024 Vélez Sársfield - Atlético Tucumán 1:1

02.03.2024 Atlético Tucumán - Vélez Sársfield 0:0

09.10.2023 Vélez Sársfield - Atlético Tucumán 3:1

20.02.2023 Atlético Tucumán - Vélez Sársfield 1:1

Latest results of Vélez Sársfield

23.09.2025 Racing - Vélez Sársfield 1:0 ✺

19.09.2025 San Martín de San Juan - Vélez Sársfield 1:2 ✺

16.09.2025 Vélez Sársfield - Racing 0:1 ✺

12.09.2025 Huracán Buenos Aires - Vélez Sársfield 0:0 ✺

06.09.2025 Vélez Sársfield - Central Córdoba 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Atlético Tucumán

20.09.2025 Atlético Tucumán - River Plate 2:0 ✺

12.09.2025 Newells Old Boys - Atlético Tucumán 2:0 ✺

01.09.2025 Gimnasia La Plata - Atlético Tucumán 1:0 ✺

23.08.2025 Atlético Tucumán - Talleres de Córdoba 3:0 ✺

18.08.2025 Sarmiento de Junín - Atlético Tucumán 2:2 ✺

Argentinian Liga Profesional Table

Apertura

Group A

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Velez Sarsfield	4	3	1	0	6:3	3	10
2	Lanus	4	2	2	0	8:6	2	8
3	Estudiantes L.P	4	2	2	0	4:2	2	8
4	Defensa y Justicia	4	2	2	0	4:2	2	8
5	Platense	4	2	1	1	4:3	1	7
6	Boca Juniors	4	2	0	2	5:4	1	6
7	Independiente	4	1	3	0	4:3	1	6
8	San Lorenzo	4	2	0	2	4:4	0	6
9	Gimnasia Mendoza	4	2	0	2	2:5	-3	6
10	Union de Santa Fe	4	1	1	2	5:3	2	4
11	Talleres Cordoba	4	1	1	2	5:6	-1	4
12	Central Cordoba	4	1	1	2	1:2	-1	4
13	Instituto	4	0	1	3	3:6	-3	1
14	Dep. Riestra	4	0	1	3	1:4	-3	1
15	Newells Old Boys	4	0	1	3	4:8	-4	1

Group B

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Ind. Rivadavia	4	4	0	0	7:3	4	12
2	Tigre	4	3	1	0	10:3	7	10
3	Belgrano	4	2	2	0	4:2	2	8
4	River Plate	4	2	1	1	4:4	0	7
5	Sarmiento Junin	4	2	0	2	4:4	0	6
6	Gimnasia L.P	4	2	0	2	5:6	-1	6
7	Barracas Central	4	1	2	1	3:2	1	5
8	Rosario Central	4	1	2	1	4:4	0	5
9	Huracan	4	1	2	1	4:4	0	5
10	Argentinos Jrs	4	1	2	1	2:2	0	5
11	Banfield	4	1	1	2	3:4	-1	4
12	Aldosivi	4	0	3	1	2:4	-2	3
13	Racing Club	4	1	0	3	5:8	-3	3
14	Atl. Tucuman	4	0	2	2	3:5	-2	2
15	Estudiantes Rio Cuarto	4	0	1	3	1:5	-4	1

Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)