Result
1:1
13/12/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 14
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 40', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 87', 1 - 1, Mayo Arce M. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Aurrerá de Vitoria
30.9% | Draw
31.1% | Derio
38% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aurrerá de Vitoria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aurrerá de Vitoria's form might have worsened.Derio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aurrerá de Vitoria than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aurrerá de Vitoria, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derio than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
Aurrerá de Vitoria - Derio Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.96 ↑
(2.48) |
2.94 ↓
(3.15) |
2.4 ↓
(2.64) |
9.4%
(9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )).
- Recent performances by Aurrerá de Vitoria have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Derio is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Aurrerá de Vitoria has had a series of away games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Aurrerá de Vitoria won against Derio?
Aurrerá de Vitoria has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Derio won against Aurrerá de Vitoria?
Derio has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aurrerá de Vitoria - Derio were as follows:
Latest results of Aurrerá de Vitoria
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Portugalete | 27 | 21 | 4 | 2 | 58:17 | 41 | 67 |
| 2 | Leioa | 26 | 15 | 4 | 7 | 39:25 | 14 | 49 |
| 3 | Touring KE | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 36:26 | 10 | 47 |
| 4 | Derio | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 45:31 | 14 | 46 |
| 5 | Aurrera de Vitoria | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 35:30 | 5 | 46 |
| 6 | Lagun Onak | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 38:24 | 14 | 43 |
| 7 | San Ignacio | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 29:21 | 8 | 42 |
| 8 | Alaves C | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 41:30 | 11 | 39 |
| 9 | Durango | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 29:28 | 1 | 36 |
| 10 | Real Sociedad C | 26 | 11 | 3 | 12 | 27:32 | -5 | 36 |
| 11 | UD Aretxabaleta | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 43:44 | -1 | 35 |
| 12 | Santurtzi | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 25:35 | -10 | 28 |
| 13 | Pasaia | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 20:32 | -12 | 28 |
| 14 | Eibar C | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 29:40 | -11 | 27 |
| 15 | Anorga | 27 | 8 | 3 | 16 | 26:49 | -23 | 27 |
| 16 | Zamudio | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 30:45 | -15 | 26 |
| 17 | Zarautz KE | 27 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 22:50 | -28 | 22 |
| 18 | SD Deusto | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 18:31 | -13 | 21 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
